1890 King of Southeast Asia

"How did things develop in this direction? Have there been secret negotiations between the countries?" Liu Yiming asked with a frown.

"The intelligence department did not receive any news of secret negotiations between the two camps, but the communication between them became very frequent."

"We guess that this is the first camp-level confrontation in which the camps acted in unison."

"The intelligence we have obtained is very limited at present, and we cannot confirm further information, but it is basically certain that all countries are expanding their military forces."

"This military expansion is mainly concentrated in the army. No country has such a huge demand for the army in peacetime."

Jiang Wang sat opposite Liu Yiming and took out a stack of documents from his briefcase.

The top one is called "Social Analysis Department" and is signed by Hu Xihua.

"Is this Hu Xihua the diplomatic ambassador to the Netherlands during the South-Netherlands conflict?" Liu Yiming has some impression of this person.

Or he has an impression of the "Dutch Social Survey Report" he drafted, which fully analyzed the social status quo in the Netherlands and predicted the reaction of the Netherlands.

After that, this person successively served as ambassador or counselor of South China to Britain, France and Germany.

But in fact, Hu Xihua joined the intelligence department after the South-Netherlands conflict and mainly engaged in social research.

"Yes, he is now the ambassador of the embassy in Germany and the director of the social survey center of the intelligence department."

"In order to keep it confidential, he has multiple names." Jiang Wang nodded.

Liu Yiming opened the file. The file was not thick and was divided into parts such as Britain, France, Germany and Russia. Each country could get at most three sheets of paper.

"Very clear, at a glance."

Liu Yiming opened the relevant British documents and began with a paragraph.

"How much Britain competes with Germany. Although Britain is tit-for-tat with Germany in public opinion, military and diplomacy, in fact, Britain is not ready to go to war with Germany."

Then there is a data survey form, public opinion analysis, and analysis of Britain's national situation and interests.

The core of the problem is to start from Britain's fundamental interest point - sea power, and bring in the national policy of great power status and Britain's offshore balance.

The final conclusion is that Britain does not want a war to break out in Europe, and Britain does not want France or Russia to win.

If a war breaks out, Britain is likely to sit back and do nothing, unless one side presents an overwhelming advantage, Britain will help the other side to promote balance.

Liu Yiming nodded, Britain is really such a thing.

Then the second one, Germany.

"Germany is a monarchy with great nobles and big capital as the main forces. After the Franco-Prussian War, the industry developed rapidly..."

"Germany's industrial capital expansion has reached a bottleneck period. In a short period of time, Germany cannot provide enough cheap raw materials and high-quality markets for industrial capital."

"Germany has been increasing its military investment in the past forty years. This high cost and the bottleneck of industrial capital are destined to make Germany win the war, otherwise Germany will collapse."

Then there is Germany's economic accounting table, the development of industrial output value in forty years, development distribution, market distribution, etc.

Basically, Hu Xihua believes that Germany will be the most staunch supporter of the war, because without war, Germany will lose its development prospects (rapid development prospects).

Once Germany's development stagnates, there will be a large-scale unemployment wave, and society will become turbulent, threatening the stability of the empire.

Hu Xihua reviewed the background of Germany's military expansion. He believed that the Germans' military expansion was a necessary means of delaying the intensification of social contradictions. It was unknown whether they were preparing for war.

But he also said in the report that war was absolutely inevitable. If Germany did not start a war, it would only perish.

Seeing this, Liu Yiming nodded with satisfaction, put down the document, and did not open the rest.

"We haven't done much yet, just preparing for the war against Japan, and things are running in an irreversible direction."

"Although it saves us time to work, it also makes things develop beyond our expectations."

"We need to start a war against Japan on the eve of the start of the European war, and confirm that European and American countries are unable to intervene in the battle between us during the war."

"Any suggestions?"

Liu Yiming crossed his fingers and looked at Jiang Wang.

"The two camps are in opposition and are ready to fight."

"But our intelligence system has confirmed that they are not ready, at least not in the short term."

"We can..."

Jiang Wang was interrupted by Liu Yiming before he finished speaking.

"Don't set a time. The whole world is sitting on a powder keg. It only takes a spark to trigger a huge explosion."

"This spark can be us or someone else. The Balkans, Central and South Africa, the Mediterranean coast, Near East Arabia, or North Africa can all be the fuse."

"There are too many possibilities. We can't control all factors, so don't set a time, even for a short time."

"We must be prepared, ready for the next second, a full-scale hot war between the two camps, and be prepared to fight to the death."

Liu Yiming emphasized.

What was the fuse for the outbreak of World War I? The crown prince was attacked by an assassin?

No, it wasn't.

It was the conflict and conflict of interests between the Austro-Hungarian Empire and Tsarist Russia in the Balkans.

But what really led to the official outbreak of the war was the diplomatic mistakes of Tsarist Russia.

As an inefficient feudal country, the Tsar followed the normal process and issued a mobilization order to deter the Austro-Hungarian Empire, hoping that the Austro-Hungarian Empire would back down.

In the eyes of the old empires such as the German-Austrian camp, issuing a mobilization order means that the war has entered the preparation stage.

According to the efficiency of the Germans, it only takes three weeks from issuing a mobilization order to arming one million reserves.

The Russians have already issued a mobilization order, and the Germans must consider whether the Tsarist Russian army will expand by one million or more in three months.

Germany must think clearly in a short period of time whether to issue a mobilization order to respond or to immediately give in to Russia.

Obviously, Germany does not accept military threats and chooses to fight and also issues a mobilization order.

As a country with a complete mobilization mechanism, mobilization is equivalent to starting a war machine.

What about Tsarist Russia? After the mobilization order is issued, it will take three months to gather a group of farmers who have just put down their hoes.

"Yes, but if we don't set a time, we can't determine the execution time of many plans, including war preparations." Jiang Wang said puzzledly.

"Then do it immediately. Where is the Java Island?" Liu Yiming asked.

Jiang Wang was stunned for a moment. This was a military matter. Although he knew it, according to the procedure, he should not be asked.

"Five hundred nautical miles northeast of the Ryukyu Islands, that location should have been exposed." Jiang Wang thought about it and said honestly.

"Japan is almost at the end of its rope. If it does not start a war, it can only last for three months at most."

"After three months, they will lose the strength to start a war."

"If they don't want the government to collapse, Japan will definitely start a war within three months, and the target must be China."

"In a month, the two battleships ordered during the Qing Empire will be delivered. The battleships will be on their way back, which is Japan's best opportunity."

"If I guess correctly, the Japanese Navy should have conducted many interception simulations in the East China Sea."

Liu Yiming fiddled with the map and didn't care about the exposure of the location of the most advanced battleship.

If Japan wants to fight Nanhua, the battle line will span thousands of kilometers. Even Nanhua needs to prepare for many years in advance. What about Japan's poor place? Heh...

"The Japanese Combined Fleet has not been disbanded, and its recent activities have indeed become more frequent. The Ryukyu Naval Base has strengthened its vigilance for this." Jiang Wang suddenly realized.

"Okay, let's start the operation. The Japanese Combined Fleet attacked our naval fleet without reason and declared war. No one can find fault with this excuse for war..."

"Yes..."

…………

In early November, amid the sound of lively firecrackers, a large ship held a delivery ceremony at the Surabaya Shipyard.

More than 700 sailors from Huaxia (or Nanhua), who have been trained in Nanhua for a year (or served for several years), are now on the deck wearing Huaxia Navy uniforms similar to those of the Nanhua Navy.

"These guys are so energetic!"

"That's right, did you see the tall guy at the stern? That's my nephew, isn't he handsome?"

"Your nephew, we've been neighbors for more than ten years, how come I didn't know you had a nephew?"

"You don't know this, right? That's my nephew from my hometown, my second grandfather's grandson, my cousin's son."

"Huo! He's really a relative, why haven't you mentioned him? This guy is just right for my daughter."

"Come on..."

Nanhua has only been established for more than 20 years, and 60% to 70% of its population comes from China.

Especially for people in the age group of 30 to 40, almost 80% are immigrants from China, and the rest are Chinese and overseas Chinese in Southeast Asia.

As for the indigenous people, those who don't cooperate have either gone to see their gods who don't know what they are called, or are still living in thatched houses deep in the rainforest.

This kind of thing is absolutely unfair and absolutely despised by the world, but society is like this, life is like this.

Life has always been a competitive relationship. Competition within a tribe is better, at least there are people to restrain it. Competition between tribes has always been naked blood and killing.

"Kameda, are you sure?"

"Yes, I saw it myself. A battleship, not any battleship currently in service in Nanhua. It is not big, but it is also equipped with twelve heavy guns." Kameda nodded fiercely.

"Okay! The Empire will not forget you. Now, go to generate electricity and send a message to this address, saying that a fishing boat has been ordered." The man handed Kameda an address in Shanghai.

"Hey!" Kameda looked at the address, muttered, and saw the man's fierce eyes. Finally, he lowered his head in submission and turned around and left in a hurry.

"Humph! If Nanhua's control was not too strict, I would not need to use such an idiot!" The man kicked a stone and snorted coldly.