future library.

Chapter 127 21 Points (3)

Cheng Jinzhou has never practiced blackjack card counting, but he knows a lot about its principles.

In fact, blackjack card counting is a simplified process of calculating probability.Its principle is to calculate the probability of the player's victory based on the cards on the board. Under this guidance, an average win can be obtained-that is, if the game schedule is long enough, a certain winning rate means success.

For example, when the card in the player's hand is 11 points, since the largest of all the cards is only 10 points, the probability that his next card will not explode is 100%, so there is no doubt that he will choose to add cards, and when the player When the card in the hand is 12 points, the probability of the next card not bursting is reduced to 69.4%, and the probability of the next card not bursting at 13 points is 61.5%.

The disadvantage of the dealer is that if the point is below 17, he must ask for a card, and when the point is 17 or above, he must stop the card. In fact, the croupier himself has no judgment.

The most elementary card counting technique is to take these probabilities into consideration, and then sort them out to give a direct answer.For example, at 10 o'clock, you need a card, and at 12 o'clock, of course, you should also ask for a card, and so on.

Of course, the actual problem is much more complicated, but the basic idea is so simple.

If it was Cheng Jinzhou in the past, even if he knew this principle, it would be difficult to use it in casinos without three or two years of research. After all, it would take at least ten minutes to analyze the different probabilities of the two parties. , the dealer can't always wait for you to calculate.

However, for the astrologists of this era, they can understand that probability is one thing, and it is completely impossible to fully apply probability to blackjack card counting. Even in China in the new century, they can do There are not too many mathematicians on such topics.

Not to mention the gentlemen who haven't even figured out the probability itself.

But to put it another way, for example, the binary machine "George" that can perform calculations by itself does not use any modified card counting techniques, but usually calculates directly with probabilities. The little ones would often overheat their shells to the point of burning, eventually killing the entire Ken Olstone team—they were one of the few card counters who ended up in jail.

Cheng Jinzhou felt that he may not be able to achieve the high speed of a computer, but there are elementary mental arithmetic tutorials, and it is not too difficult to calculate it reluctantly.

After all, casinos in the 21st century, in order to reduce card counting as much as possible, use 8 decks of cards to be shuffled together, and one and a half decks are cut off. Today's priests only use two decks of cards.

And like the original blackjack players, they used both decks to the end.This way, by the 21s, Las Vegas casinos were no longer used.

Cheng Jinzhou silently thought about some probability formulas, and continued to try to calculate over and over again.

Mu Yin looked at Cheng Jinzhou more and more discriminatingly. He had about 1500 taels of silver on hand, which was equivalent to 40 RMB. It was already a lot to carry with him.Especially compared with Cheng Jinzhou's betting of 50 taels of silver each time, his bets are much higher, at least 100 taels of silver each time. If he encounters the same board, he will often split the cards, that is, become Two decks of cards double the bet.

Cheng Jinzhou didn't understand why the other party couldn't understand him, but that was the way things were, so he simply acted as if he didn't know the two of them and made preparations.

He is now at least 2 to 3% sure that he can maintain a winning rate of more than 40%. If he is lucky, a winning rate of 1% is also possible. In this case, as long as the betting amount reaches [-], he can basically win [-] Ten thousand taels of silver.

If you don't want to make a profit and just pass through the money in your hand, the speed of betting 1 taels of silver is very fast.

After looking at a few more hands, Cheng Jinzhou was sure that there was no risk. When the priest reshuffled the cards, he threw the biggest wooden chip on the table.

1000 taels of silver.

Mu Yin let out a "huh" and sarcastically said, "Could it be that you lost it by mistake?"

Cheng Jinzhou nodded to the pastor, and the corner of his mouth flicked towards Mu Yin.

The young man couldn't stand the excitement, and Mu Yin threw all the 10 hundred taels of chips on his table into it as soon as he got hot-headed.

"Fourth." The man Shi Qingshan, who was sitting opposite Cheng Jinzhou, looked a little unhappy and said, "Don't let others lead you."

"Brother. Could it be that he can win for sure." After Mu Yin said this, Shi Qingshanan also uttered a word.

These astrologists who gamble in the holy religion are either interested in gambling, or they just want to get some resources from the holy religion. With some mathematical skills, as long as they work hard, they probably won't lose too much, but Not thinking about winning money.As for things like steady wins, the more self-righteous a mathematician thinks it is impossible.

After all, their research on probability is not deep enough.

Cheng Jinzhou sneered a little, of course he didn't enter the game casually.Because the pastor will deal out the cards every time, and turn out all the cards after each time, if you are good at remembering cards, you can easily know how many big and small cards there are in the remaining cards.

The rest of the cards are called boot cards in the casino. The boot cards with more big cards have a lower chance of winning for the casino. Therefore, in modern casinos, players are usually not allowed to join the game in the middle of a round, but they cannot prevent them from playing. Gamblers upped the ante.

If you reduce the bet on the upper shoe card and increase the bet on the lower shoe card, in the long run, the probability of winning may even exceed 20%. However, when the number of cards increases to 8, you should learn from two and only use half of them at the same time. Under the circumstances, the advantage of the boot brand will be lost.

However, these offensive and defensive stories between casinos and players will attract the attention of casinos only when they actually happen.Gentlemen who have never experienced it do not know how powerful it is.

第一局，程晋州就拿到了14点，庄家明面上的牌则是7。玩家不爆的几率是53.6%，庄家停止于17点到21点的几率则是75%。

"Continue." Cheng Jinzhou smacked the table twice with a weight.

Xue Yin got 12 points, and also said without showing any weakness: "Continue."

Others at the poker table just smiled and let the dealer deal the cards.

Cheng Jinzhou successfully got 5 points, and the 19 points were naturally suspended.

What the dealer got was an 8, and if nothing else happened, he might have exploded.

Under such circumstances, the green-shirted man, Cao Feng and others lost their cards one after another. Xue Yin looked at his 17 points, but he waved his hand again with some embarrassment: "Continue."

The pastor handed him a 7 without saying a word, then raised his hand and said, "Boom."

Cheng Jinzhou couldn't help but laugh.

"The banker blows up, and you will pay." The pastor turned over his cards, and then paid Cheng Jinzhou 1000 taels of silver.

Mu Yinze didn't make any money. Both sides exploded, so naturally it was the banker who took the money.This is also the bookmaker’s biggest advantage.

next.The pastor played another round with the cards in his hand. Cheng Jinzhou threw in 1000 taels of silver and still won.It was completely different from his result of dozens of times just now, but it attracted more people's attention.

Mu Yin did not believe in evil and followed two rounds, one round was 1000 taels, and the other round was 500 taels. He lost both rounds, and his face turned green immediately.

Not only is he unlucky, but more importantly, he doesn't follow the rules. In the blackjack winning method, the best expectation is that the dealer will blow up, and the second expectation is that he has more points than the dealer. There has never been any kind of expectation. I have more points than other players.

It's just that this astrologer doesn't have a lot of silver in his hands, but he doesn't care much about money. Most of the anger on his face is directed at Cheng Jinzhou.

"Do you have any more bets?" Cheng Jinzhou also lowered his head and began to calculate.He will record some commonly used figures on paper to increase efficiency.

Mu Yin waved his hand to borrow money, but was interrupted by his elder brother: "In Xiatian Shimin, let's get to know Mr. Cheng again."

Obviously, Cheng Jinzhou's accurate bet surprised him.

In the casino of the Holy Church, any kind of game has skills, especially mathematical skills, which is also the focus of the propaganda of the gentlemen of the Holy Church.Tian Shimin played at the blackjack table for a long time, but he didn't see Cheng Jinzhou's methods, so he was naturally curious.

"Hello." Cheng Jinzhou shook hands with him across the gaming table, and asked in a friendly manner, "Your brother seems to be quite dissatisfied with my humble servant?"

Now that he has Warlock Cao Fengxing and that idiot Lu Xu by his side, he is naturally full of confidence and speaks a little more forcefully.In the final analysis, it is the factor of dudes who bully the soft and fear the hard.

Tian Shimin didn't expect Cheng Jinzhou to be so direct, and said with a wry smile: "Since your Excellency asked, I will tell you frankly that my fourth younger brother, Mu Yin, and Zhao Quanxiang are aunt cousins, and they have always played very well. So ..."

After Zhao Quanxiang came to the capital, apart from the original grievances with Cheng Jinzhou, he hadn't had time to forge other grievances.Others are justifiably skeptical.In fact, if it weren't for Cheng Jinzhou's status as a two-star warlock, he would have been forcibly captured by the Ministry of Punishment for questioning last time.

At this point in what they said, Mu Yin also turned his head and said with a temper: "The recent incident has nothing to do with you."

At the same time, Mu Yin stared at Cheng Jinzhou with vicious eyes.

Xiao Cheng gave an "oh" with his expression unchanged, and said to the croupier watching: "Continue to deal the cards. I won 2000 taels, so I have 4000 taels to buy things?"

The croupier seemed to have just woken up, and answered after a while: "That's right."

"For 4000 taels of silver, is there a star array that can be bought?"

"Level 0 throwing and wind spells should all be below this value." The croupier thought about it and explained: "They are the most basic star formations. Throwing skills can allow you to use star formations, etc. , the judgment of the direction is more accurate, and the wind blowing technique can blow some breeze, the wind speed is low, but it can blow some medicines and other things."

Mu Yin's eyes hurt from staring, and he only waited for Cheng Jinzhou to say "Oh", his anger rose instantly, and he interjected: "The throwing star array needs more than 8 star points, I don't believe you can use it." "

Those who can bear 10 star points are first-level star warlocks. Cheng Jinzhou has not chosen the star array now, and he does not have 8 star points available.In fact, even if there is, it is impossible to use all the star points to bear a supporting star array.

"50 taels." Cheng Jinzhou still put a wooden sign on the table, and said calmly, "Zhao Quan is a bastard. If he dies, he will die. It has nothing to do with me. Don't mention this in front of me in the future." name."

The croupier continued to deal the cards, and Mu Yin also threw in the few remaining weights in his hand, secretly observing Cheng Jinzhou's movements.

……

(End of this chapter)