Football giants
Chapter 334 Invincible Algorithm
Chapter 334 Invincible Algorithm
"Let's all analyze this attack, why did it fail?"
In the tactical conference room on the second floor of Southampton, Bielsa pointed casually, and a video appeared on the big screen behind him.
This video is a scene from Southampton's away game against Chelsea.
Drogba retreated to get the ball in the front court, and Terry was stuck behind him. Drogba had no chance and was forced to pass back.
Pogba ran forward and was blocked by Lampard when he grabbed the ball, unable to pass the ball forward.
The two flanks, Neymar and Sturridge's forward sprints, have become useless.
Everyone watched the whole process first, and Bielsa asked Martin Hunt to replay it before Drogba received the ball.
Then the whole situation became clear.
The reason why Pogba can't pass the ball is because he needs to run up to receive the ball.
And the reason why he had to run was because he came in late.
Theoretically speaking, if Pogba catches the ball earlier and quickly divides into two wings, both Neymar and Sturridge can form a deadly threat, and Drogba can also quickly turn around and plug in, echoing in the middle.
In this way, the entire offense is completely alive!
Drogba was the first to stand up after watching the video.
"At that time, I carried Terry with my body and noticed Neymar and Sturridge, but I couldn't turn around, and there was Mikel in front of me, so I could only pass like this!"
There are people behind you and people in front of you, so you can only pass it diagonally.
Drogba's choice is reasonable.
Pogba also raised his hand and stood up, "I was a little hesitant to insert it because I didn't see the lower back."
In Southampton's tactics, the two central midfielders have the responsibility and obligation to help the midfielder fill the position.
"I've already run over, but I'm not in place yet, but if I run over, it proves that I'm here, and you can press on it."
Matic also stood up and defended himself.
Bielsa heard this and nodded, "This is a very regrettable offensive failure. The reason I brought it up for discussion is to tell everyone that it is very necessary to maintain good communication and communication!"
"If Matic communicates with Pogbado, then the latter will be able to press up with confidence, then there will be no situation of being blocked by Lampard after receiving the ball, and he will be able to divide into two wings in time. That is a very threatening attack!"
"Let's see the next one!"
With Bielsa waving his hand, the big screen immediately turned to the next topic of discussion, which was also a video of the game.
Yang Huan was standing outside the tactical meeting room on the second floor, watching the scene in the meeting room.
At the Southampton tactical discussion meeting, the coaching staff will raise some topics, and anyone can speak, express their own personal feelings, thoughts at the time, or some opinions of outsiders.
A football game lasts at least nine and 10 minutes, and there are ever-changing changes. Anyone can make mistakes at any time.
From the perspective of probability, every attack will encounter serious damage to the defense and fail, which is a necessity.
On the contrary, the success of the attack that can complete the scoring goal is a kind of accident!
So players will make mistakes, and they will continue to make mistakes.
Even players like Matic and Toni Kroos, who have an astonishingly high pass success rate, are making mistakes.
For example, it is clear that one player has a better chance, but it is passed to another.
Or didn't see it, missed a good pass opportunity, and so on.
According to Yang Huan's thinking, all mistakes and problems should be brought up for discussion, and everyone can express their opinions.
At first, the coaching staff was worried that such discussions would hurt the unity atmosphere within the team.
But after trying it a few times later, I found that the effect is quite good.
If you have any thoughts and any displeasure, you can say it out, and it will be easier to let go.
And there is a good saying, good advice, dissatisfaction from teammates, maybe it can promote the player's progress.
As for some players whose personalities cannot accept this kind of discussion, but the atmosphere in the general environment is such that a small number of them can only accept it, and gradually integrate into it and adapt to this atmosphere.
No, Harvey Martinez and Gary Cahill were arguing over a defense when they almost had an own goal in judgment. The quarrel was so intense that even Neuer was involved.
The three of them were arguing in the conference room until their faces were red and their necks were thick.
People who don't know must think that they are going to fight.
But actually?
After the quarrel, they gave each other a high five and a handshake, and it was all right!
Yang Huan was very satisfied with the situation and liked the atmosphere, so he nodded and laughed while watching it outside.
"Not bad, really good!"
"That's why your original proposal worked!" Marcus Du Satoy said with a smile.
"Who said it wasn't? When you proposed to do this, Young Master Huan, everyone had their opinions, but now, we are planning to promote it to the work of our various groups!" Howard Hamilton also laughed.
Yang Huan waved his hand, "It's fine, it's fine, don't be too good to learn, just learn the bastard's flattering skills of Sun Yue!"
All three laughed in unison.
"I heard that your recent research has achieved some initial results?"
"Yes!" Marcus du Sartoy nodded.
Only when you have results can you talk, if you can’t see the results, you always keep investing, which hurts the hearts of investors!
"Let's hear it!" Yang Huan was also quite interested.
The two experts looked at each other and smiled.
"Let's talk about it!" Howard Hamilton pointed to Marcus du Sartoy.
The latter nodded, and this is just the beginning.
"Hey, don't make up those professional terms, keep it simple and straightforward, I can't understand it if it's too profound!"
The two suddenly became helpless and funny again.
"Master Huan, the research we conducted is called regression to the mean in statistics, and regression to the mean in finance."
"The meaning is very simple. Let me give you an example. If a player's level is an average of five points, then when he reaches six points in one game, there is a certain probability that he will return to five points in the next game. There is also a certain probability that he will perform higher than six points, but it will definitely not be six points."
"If the performance reaches seven points, the probability of returning to five points in the next game will be higher, and the probability of higher than seven points will be lower. Eight points, nine points, and ten points will gradually increase the probability."
"By the same token, if the player's condition is not good and his performance falls to four points, then he also has a high probability of returning to five points in the next game, and then three points, two points and one point, gradually increasing."
Yang Huan understood the meaning, "What's the use of this?"
Howard? Hamilton finally couldn't hold back, and interrupted with a smile.
"It's very simple. From the perspective of a certain player, we need to analyze his probability and predict his performance in the next game from his performance in the last game."
"If the study of this phenomenon is enlarged to the entire team, then we can accurately predict the state of the team."
Yang Huan was full of amazement, but couldn't believe it, "Is this possible?"
You know, Redknapp once asked the data analysts to do this.
But the answer given by the data analysts in Southampton at that time was, it can't be done!
Marcus du Sartoy nodded very positively, "Possible, absolutely possible!"
Howard? Hamilton also kept nodding.
"It's not just about looking at your own team's data, but also analyzing your opponent's data, and even detailing each position, each player, and even the various changes after players in different positions are misplaced, and then combining the analysis with the team's own situation to finally calculate a relatively accurate probability."
"Once we have mastered such a set of algorithms, we can even predict which player to start or substitute in a certain position in the next game, and which combination of players to use can maximize the team's winning probability, and then recommend it to the head coach to use!"
Yang Huan was a little dumbfounded.
If you can really master this set of invincible algorithms, wouldn't Southampton be invincible in the future?
But when he threw the question out, Marcus du Sartoy and Howard Hamilton both shook their heads and laughed.
"Master Huan, you have to know that there is always only relative in this world, and there can be no absolute. What we can calculate is only a probability, and it cannot be [-]%."
"Yes!" Howard? Hamilton also nodded.
"It's like a matchup between wide players, Neymar vs. Ivanovic. Assuming one-on-one, Neymar has 70.00% confidence not to concede the ball, but the problem is that each matchup triggers this probability independently, each time is 70.00%, so the possibility of conceding the ball is always 30.00%."
Yang Huan immediately understood, "It's like throwing dice, every time you throw it, the probability of rolling is the same."
"Right, so, the more times Neymar and Ivanovic play one-on-one in a game, the more likely they are to concede a goal in theory, and the same goes for attacking and defending."
Marcus? Du? Satoi can't help nodding.
"So, we can only calculate one probability forever, there is no 100% win, and as long as there is a probability, there will always be a small probability of happening. What we can do is to use this set of algorithms to suppress the occurrence of small probability events as much as possible, and ensure that there is nothing wrong with it!"
This is Murphy's law.
If you're worried about something happening, it's likely to happen.
Therefore, on the football field, it is never possible to eliminate the occurrence of small probability upsets.
Although Yang Huan was a little disappointed that he was not absolutely sure of winning, after all, everyone hoped that their team would always win.
But if it is really possible to make the team always have a high probability of winning, or let the team know how to beat the opponent in every game, then the research in this area is worthwhile!
Besides, as long as Southampton is strong enough, combined with such a set of algorithms and analysis, may I ask, in professional football, which team is there to be afraid of?
Isn't the entire European football world letting Southampton gallop?
"I understand!" Yang Huan nodded approvingly.
"You two, feel free to continue researching boldly. This is very useful to us. If you need anything, just ask, and I will fully cooperate!"
Marcus Du Satoy and Howard Hamilton were still worried that Master Huan would be disappointed.
Unexpectedly, Yang Huan would give them such strong support again, and he was overjoyed immediately.
After sending away the two great figures in the field of data, Yang Huan walked towards the lounge by himself without disturbing the coaching staff and players who were having a meeting inside.
The little prince of Qatar who just started playing Clash of Clans is now completely fascinated by this game.
If it's just him, then forget it.
He also brought in a group of friends, and he formed a Hamad tribe, which is a group of rich local players who treat money like dung and spend money like water.
Yang Huan had just walked outside the door of the lounge when he heard triumphant shouts from inside.
"Wow, Kaka, it's so enjoyable, killing a gooseberry Rick, haha, let's see if Uncle Sam dares to come to our Middle East to play wild again in the future, it's so satisfying, so satisfying!"
That voice, that momentum, not to mention how rich he is!
(End of this chapter)
"Let's all analyze this attack, why did it fail?"
In the tactical conference room on the second floor of Southampton, Bielsa pointed casually, and a video appeared on the big screen behind him.
This video is a scene from Southampton's away game against Chelsea.
Drogba retreated to get the ball in the front court, and Terry was stuck behind him. Drogba had no chance and was forced to pass back.
Pogba ran forward and was blocked by Lampard when he grabbed the ball, unable to pass the ball forward.
The two flanks, Neymar and Sturridge's forward sprints, have become useless.
Everyone watched the whole process first, and Bielsa asked Martin Hunt to replay it before Drogba received the ball.
Then the whole situation became clear.
The reason why Pogba can't pass the ball is because he needs to run up to receive the ball.
And the reason why he had to run was because he came in late.
Theoretically speaking, if Pogba catches the ball earlier and quickly divides into two wings, both Neymar and Sturridge can form a deadly threat, and Drogba can also quickly turn around and plug in, echoing in the middle.
In this way, the entire offense is completely alive!
Drogba was the first to stand up after watching the video.
"At that time, I carried Terry with my body and noticed Neymar and Sturridge, but I couldn't turn around, and there was Mikel in front of me, so I could only pass like this!"
There are people behind you and people in front of you, so you can only pass it diagonally.
Drogba's choice is reasonable.
Pogba also raised his hand and stood up, "I was a little hesitant to insert it because I didn't see the lower back."
In Southampton's tactics, the two central midfielders have the responsibility and obligation to help the midfielder fill the position.
"I've already run over, but I'm not in place yet, but if I run over, it proves that I'm here, and you can press on it."
Matic also stood up and defended himself.
Bielsa heard this and nodded, "This is a very regrettable offensive failure. The reason I brought it up for discussion is to tell everyone that it is very necessary to maintain good communication and communication!"
"If Matic communicates with Pogbado, then the latter will be able to press up with confidence, then there will be no situation of being blocked by Lampard after receiving the ball, and he will be able to divide into two wings in time. That is a very threatening attack!"
"Let's see the next one!"
With Bielsa waving his hand, the big screen immediately turned to the next topic of discussion, which was also a video of the game.
Yang Huan was standing outside the tactical meeting room on the second floor, watching the scene in the meeting room.
At the Southampton tactical discussion meeting, the coaching staff will raise some topics, and anyone can speak, express their own personal feelings, thoughts at the time, or some opinions of outsiders.
A football game lasts at least nine and 10 minutes, and there are ever-changing changes. Anyone can make mistakes at any time.
From the perspective of probability, every attack will encounter serious damage to the defense and fail, which is a necessity.
On the contrary, the success of the attack that can complete the scoring goal is a kind of accident!
So players will make mistakes, and they will continue to make mistakes.
Even players like Matic and Toni Kroos, who have an astonishingly high pass success rate, are making mistakes.
For example, it is clear that one player has a better chance, but it is passed to another.
Or didn't see it, missed a good pass opportunity, and so on.
According to Yang Huan's thinking, all mistakes and problems should be brought up for discussion, and everyone can express their opinions.
At first, the coaching staff was worried that such discussions would hurt the unity atmosphere within the team.
But after trying it a few times later, I found that the effect is quite good.
If you have any thoughts and any displeasure, you can say it out, and it will be easier to let go.
And there is a good saying, good advice, dissatisfaction from teammates, maybe it can promote the player's progress.
As for some players whose personalities cannot accept this kind of discussion, but the atmosphere in the general environment is such that a small number of them can only accept it, and gradually integrate into it and adapt to this atmosphere.
No, Harvey Martinez and Gary Cahill were arguing over a defense when they almost had an own goal in judgment. The quarrel was so intense that even Neuer was involved.
The three of them were arguing in the conference room until their faces were red and their necks were thick.
People who don't know must think that they are going to fight.
But actually?
After the quarrel, they gave each other a high five and a handshake, and it was all right!
Yang Huan was very satisfied with the situation and liked the atmosphere, so he nodded and laughed while watching it outside.
"Not bad, really good!"
"That's why your original proposal worked!" Marcus Du Satoy said with a smile.
"Who said it wasn't? When you proposed to do this, Young Master Huan, everyone had their opinions, but now, we are planning to promote it to the work of our various groups!" Howard Hamilton also laughed.
Yang Huan waved his hand, "It's fine, it's fine, don't be too good to learn, just learn the bastard's flattering skills of Sun Yue!"
All three laughed in unison.
"I heard that your recent research has achieved some initial results?"
"Yes!" Marcus du Sartoy nodded.
Only when you have results can you talk, if you can’t see the results, you always keep investing, which hurts the hearts of investors!
"Let's hear it!" Yang Huan was also quite interested.
The two experts looked at each other and smiled.
"Let's talk about it!" Howard Hamilton pointed to Marcus du Sartoy.
The latter nodded, and this is just the beginning.
"Hey, don't make up those professional terms, keep it simple and straightforward, I can't understand it if it's too profound!"
The two suddenly became helpless and funny again.
"Master Huan, the research we conducted is called regression to the mean in statistics, and regression to the mean in finance."
"The meaning is very simple. Let me give you an example. If a player's level is an average of five points, then when he reaches six points in one game, there is a certain probability that he will return to five points in the next game. There is also a certain probability that he will perform higher than six points, but it will definitely not be six points."
"If the performance reaches seven points, the probability of returning to five points in the next game will be higher, and the probability of higher than seven points will be lower. Eight points, nine points, and ten points will gradually increase the probability."
"By the same token, if the player's condition is not good and his performance falls to four points, then he also has a high probability of returning to five points in the next game, and then three points, two points and one point, gradually increasing."
Yang Huan understood the meaning, "What's the use of this?"
Howard? Hamilton finally couldn't hold back, and interrupted with a smile.
"It's very simple. From the perspective of a certain player, we need to analyze his probability and predict his performance in the next game from his performance in the last game."
"If the study of this phenomenon is enlarged to the entire team, then we can accurately predict the state of the team."
Yang Huan was full of amazement, but couldn't believe it, "Is this possible?"
You know, Redknapp once asked the data analysts to do this.
But the answer given by the data analysts in Southampton at that time was, it can't be done!
Marcus du Sartoy nodded very positively, "Possible, absolutely possible!"
Howard? Hamilton also kept nodding.
"It's not just about looking at your own team's data, but also analyzing your opponent's data, and even detailing each position, each player, and even the various changes after players in different positions are misplaced, and then combining the analysis with the team's own situation to finally calculate a relatively accurate probability."
"Once we have mastered such a set of algorithms, we can even predict which player to start or substitute in a certain position in the next game, and which combination of players to use can maximize the team's winning probability, and then recommend it to the head coach to use!"
Yang Huan was a little dumbfounded.
If you can really master this set of invincible algorithms, wouldn't Southampton be invincible in the future?
But when he threw the question out, Marcus du Sartoy and Howard Hamilton both shook their heads and laughed.
"Master Huan, you have to know that there is always only relative in this world, and there can be no absolute. What we can calculate is only a probability, and it cannot be [-]%."
"Yes!" Howard? Hamilton also nodded.
"It's like a matchup between wide players, Neymar vs. Ivanovic. Assuming one-on-one, Neymar has 70.00% confidence not to concede the ball, but the problem is that each matchup triggers this probability independently, each time is 70.00%, so the possibility of conceding the ball is always 30.00%."
Yang Huan immediately understood, "It's like throwing dice, every time you throw it, the probability of rolling is the same."
"Right, so, the more times Neymar and Ivanovic play one-on-one in a game, the more likely they are to concede a goal in theory, and the same goes for attacking and defending."
Marcus? Du? Satoi can't help nodding.
"So, we can only calculate one probability forever, there is no 100% win, and as long as there is a probability, there will always be a small probability of happening. What we can do is to use this set of algorithms to suppress the occurrence of small probability events as much as possible, and ensure that there is nothing wrong with it!"
This is Murphy's law.
If you're worried about something happening, it's likely to happen.
Therefore, on the football field, it is never possible to eliminate the occurrence of small probability upsets.
Although Yang Huan was a little disappointed that he was not absolutely sure of winning, after all, everyone hoped that their team would always win.
But if it is really possible to make the team always have a high probability of winning, or let the team know how to beat the opponent in every game, then the research in this area is worthwhile!
Besides, as long as Southampton is strong enough, combined with such a set of algorithms and analysis, may I ask, in professional football, which team is there to be afraid of?
Isn't the entire European football world letting Southampton gallop?
"I understand!" Yang Huan nodded approvingly.
"You two, feel free to continue researching boldly. This is very useful to us. If you need anything, just ask, and I will fully cooperate!"
Marcus Du Satoy and Howard Hamilton were still worried that Master Huan would be disappointed.
Unexpectedly, Yang Huan would give them such strong support again, and he was overjoyed immediately.
After sending away the two great figures in the field of data, Yang Huan walked towards the lounge by himself without disturbing the coaching staff and players who were having a meeting inside.
The little prince of Qatar who just started playing Clash of Clans is now completely fascinated by this game.
If it's just him, then forget it.
He also brought in a group of friends, and he formed a Hamad tribe, which is a group of rich local players who treat money like dung and spend money like water.
Yang Huan had just walked outside the door of the lounge when he heard triumphant shouts from inside.
"Wow, Kaka, it's so enjoyable, killing a gooseberry Rick, haha, let's see if Uncle Sam dares to come to our Middle East to play wild again in the future, it's so satisfying, so satisfying!"
That voice, that momentum, not to mention how rich he is!
(End of this chapter)
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