I just want to be a quiet scholar

Chapter 340 It's Scary

After obtaining Shen Qi's consent, the US weekly "Science" included Shen Qi's paper "Research on New Earthquake Models" and sent reporters to interview Shen Qi.

The current IF value of "Science" is 37.212, which is slightly lower than that of "Nature". They rejected Shen Qi's paper on condensed matter physics before because Shen Qi's writing was too profound and theoretical, which was not suitable for most ordinary papers. Readers read.

In this "Research on New Earthquake Models", Shen Qi's writing style is more scientific in nature. He omitted the complex mathematical deduction and calculation of the long speech, and most people with university knowledge can understand what he wrote.

System: "New achievement! The host publishes a physics paper on "Science", the basic reward is 5 Xueba points, multiplied by the IF value of 37.212, and the final reward is 1860600 Xueba points."

Seismology belongs to a branch of physics, and the more than 180 million Xueba points are counted in physics.

A reporter from "Science" asked: "Professor Shen, how do you evaluate the famous paper "Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted" published in "Nature" last year?"

"This is misleading." Shen Qi said very directly, he did not quite agree with the views of those famous seismologists: "The article "Earthquakes cannot be predicted" puts forward two assumptions, one is that since most people If earthquakes are considered to be a self-organized critical phenomenon, then earthquakes cannot be predicted. Second, earthquake prediction has not been successful so far, so it will not be successful in the future.”

"Hehe." Shen Qi smiled, and said again: "If it is deduced from these two assumptions that earthquakes cannot be predicted, then physics has no meaning of existence, and seismology should be classified under the umbrella of philosophy or theology."

"Many earthquake models that study self-organized criticality use the spring-slider model, that is, the Bridge-Nopov model. This model does not take into account the physical problems and mathematical treatment of earthquakes well."

"For example, what kind of mathematical and physical model relationship exists between the aftershock and the main shock, can it deny quantitative description? We must know that many earthquakes we have encountered are actually aftershocks of previous major earthquakes, and we cannot simply use the self-organized criticality theory. Come to the conclusion that earthquakes cannot be predicted.” Shen Qi expounded his academic point of view.

The reporter marked the key points in the small notebook: "So, Professor Shen, your research results and prediction accuracy have dealt a heavy blow to the 'Earthquake Unpredictability faction'."

Shen Qi: "Hey, man, you said that, I never said that."

The reporter asked again: "As far as I know, in addition to the New Zealand Seismic Network, Professor Shen also sent similar warning emails to the US Seismic Network and the Russian Seismic Network on the same day?"

The news from the media was so well-informed that Shen Qi knew that this matter could not be concealed, so he simply said: "Yes, one day more than a month ago, I sent three letters to the Seismic Network of the United States, Seismic Network of Russia, and Seismic Network of New Zealand. Email, provided four coordinates."

"Okay, thank you." The reporter's interview mission ended.

After the "Science" interview with Shen Qi was published, the experts and scholars of the "Earthquake Unpredictability School" were not happy.

Professor Wellington of the University of California, Los Angeles, who once published an article in "Nature" and the head of the "Earthquake Unpredictability School", made a public speech: "I don't think Shen Qi's so-called new earthquake model is better than the classical model, yes. , he guessed the 188-magnitude earthquake in the sea 5.5 kilometers south of Campbell Island, and once or twice good luck happens to everyone, which doesn’t prove anything.”

The US Seismic Network and the Russian Seismic Network take a wait-and-see attitude. They tell the people not to believe anyone's words easily, and the only authoritative and responsible early warning information will only come from their own government.

Shen Qi remained silent. He entered the field of nonlinear dynamics research and devoted himself to learning, only to find the two key keys: time and intensity.

Ouye became more and more uneasy, she secretly went to the hospital for a checkup since she hadn't had her period for two months.

The test results showed that Ouye was not pregnant, and the doctor also pointed out: "Miss Ou, you are very anxious, and this is not good for your health."

Anxious enough to scare the aunt away, a woman's intuition is sometimes inexplicably accurate.

Just one hour after Ouye left the hospital, the International Earthquake Center released the latest news:
“格林尼治时间今日19时03分左右，南太平洋科拉布礁以西（南纬55度47分，西经164度11分）127公里发生里氏7.0级地震，震源深度38公里。”

The predicted coordinates previously given by Shen Qi were 55 degrees south latitude and 167 degrees west longitude.

This coordinate is located in the hinterland of the South Pacific Ocean. There are no human settlements within a radius of 2000 kilometers, and occasionally scientific research ships and whaling ships pass by.

Corab Reef is a coral reef, completely unsuitable for human survival, and its existence is to serve as a reference coordinate for scientists and navigators.

Just now, an earthquake measuring 7.0 on the Richter scale occurred in the waters west of Korab Reef. The coordinates at 55 degrees south latitude were consistent with Shen Qi's prediction, with a deviation of 3 degrees in longitude.

The international earthquake community was shaken, and the whole world was shocked.

Earthquakes occurred near the two coordinate points in the southern hemisphere given by Shen Qi, one with a magnitude of 5.5 and the other with a magnitude of 7.0.

"This... another earthquake..." Even Shen Qi himself was shocked, and even a little worried.

The latitude of the epicenter of the Colab Reef earthquake is consistent with the data calculated by Shen Qi, and the deviation in longitude is the deviation in the east-west direction.

There are two remaining coordinates that have not been confirmed. They are both located in the Bering Sea in the northern hemisphere and belong to the United States and Russia.

What Shen Qi is most worried about is the safety of life and property of residents on Nikolskoye Island in Russia.

One of the coordinate points (55 degrees north latitude, 167 degrees east longitude) is only 50 kilometers away from Nikolskoye Island. Considering the prediction error, the epicenter may be on the island.

"It's really unbelievable."

Shen Qi spread out the world map and took a pencil to connect (55 degrees north latitude, 167 degrees east longitude), (55 degrees north latitude, 167 degrees west longitude), (55 degrees south latitude, 167 degrees east longitude), (55 degrees south latitude , west longitude 167 degrees) four coordinate points.

The figure obtained by connecting four points is a square, which is logically said that the distribution of seismic zones should not be like this.

There is also a possibility that humans do not really understand the principles of seismic zones and seismic models.

We have created a systematic theory of seismology, but we cannot prevent earthquakes from harming us.

The next day, Shen Qi saw on the TV news that 22 residents of Nikolskoye Island in Russia, under the organization of the Russian government, evacuated the island nervously and orderly...

(End of this chapter)