The Godfather of Greenery

Chapter 126 The layman's intuition

Chapter 126 The layman's intuition
Ever since the time travel, Ye Qiu has always had a lingering sense of crisis in his heart.

That is the butterfly effect!
Sometimes he will suddenly feel very scared, afraid that everything he knows about the next few years will all become rubbish, and the players he is familiar with will become useless one by one, and it will be caused by various reasons. The original genius was wasted.

This sense of crisis makes him work hard, because he always believes that the reason for this sense of crisis is that his own strength is not strong enough. Only with enough strength and coaching ability, he can overcome this kind of crisis. sense of crisis.

It has been two years since he traveled here, and he has become more and more integrated into this new world, and he has gradually discovered many things.

The so-called butterfly effect is not so terrible in the first place. Many things will happen as they should, and many players will become talents as they should, because in this world, many things are doomed.

Just like Zlatan Ibrahimovic, he insists on adding physical resistance and flexibility training every day, and maintains half an hour of basic movement training every day. These are the reasons why he has rapidly improved his strength in the past year , and with his talent and talent, coupled with his hard work, can it be unsuccessful?
In the same way, there are a group of players such as Robben, van der Vaart, and Sneijder. They are now full of desire for success, and they have outstanding talents, and they are willing to work hard for it. The discipline of nature, the possibility of natural success is very high.

It is precisely because Ye Qiu knew very well that the butterfly effect is not so terrible, that's why he dared to put all his wealth into the stock market before handing it over to Elisa to run the Standard & Poor's. What he was sure of was, The butterfly effect brought about by oneself has not yet been able to cross the Atlantic Ocean.

Just kidding, he has never even been to the United States in his life, and he doesn't know what the United States looks like. It would be unbelievable if the butterfly effect can still pass.

And the facts once again proved that his bet was indeed right this time.

On the morning of Tuesday, September 9, New York time, the 11 incident occurred.

Not long after, Ye Qiu finished his lunch break in Amsterdam, got up and sat in the office watching the news, and when he saw this breaking news, he felt relieved at the time, because he knew that this time he let himself escape again. It's over.

As he said, many things are preordained.

Regardless of whether there was Ye Qiu or not, the 911/[-] incident was planned this year.

After reading this report, Ye Qiu immediately called Eliza.

"There was a terrorist attack in New York, the United States. The New York Stock Exchange has just announced that it will suspend today's stock market trading. The specific recovery time is to be determined!" As soon as the call was connected, Eliza told Ye Qiu her latest news. information.

Ye Qiu was already mentally prepared for this. The World Trade Center in New York was attacked by terrorists, and the closing of the market was expected.

"How is the situation now?" Ye Qiu asked with concern.

"In the past August and early September, the S&P fell below 8 points, but yesterday, Monday, the 9th, the S&P made a big improvement, and even almost rushed back above 1100 points at one point, and finally closed At 10, the vast majority of people are very bullish on the S&P back above 1100."

When talking about this, Eliza couldn't believe it, "But with this terrorist attack, I guess the U.S. stock market is going to plummet, and it may fall very badly!"

Almost anyone with a little analytical mind can draw such a conclusion, because this is the most serious and tragic terrorist attack in the history of the United States.

During World War II, Japan attacked Pearl Harbor by surprise. At that time, Pearl Harbor was in Honolulu, that is, Hawaii, which is far away from the mainland of the United States and is isolated in the Pacific Ocean. At that time, the war broke out, but it is different now. In peacetime, another surprise attack on New York, the financial center of the United States, will cause a huge psychological shock to investors all over the world.

The reason why the United States has been able to rise rapidly in the past few hundred years is that it has no strong opponents around it. The United States in North America does not need to worry about being attacked from the outside world. Investors have a strong confidence in him.

But now, this indestructible confidence will be completely collapsed with the occurrence of the 911/[-] incident, and after becoming the world's policeman, the United States has made many enemies. God knows where it will attack the World Trade Center today, and where will it attack tomorrow?Where is the day after tomorrow?This unpredictable psychological shadow is bound to hang over the United States for a long time.

Eliza on the phone made the inference that the U.S. stock market plummeted because of this.

The stock market, or finance, can never escape the influence of politics.

"To be honest, why did you always swear that the S&P would plummet?" Eliza suddenly thought of what Ye Qiu said before. Was it really just a coincidence?

Ye Qiu chuckled, "Didn't you say that I have inside information? The terrorists told me!"

The more he talked nonsense with a smiley face, the less Eliza believed him, "I believe you are a fool!"

"I'm optimistic that the US S&P will fall. Look, won't it fall in August?" Ye Qiu asked.

Without waiting for Elisa to answer, Ye Qiu said again, "The reason why I am optimistic about the long-term decline is because I have an intuition that the US stock market has risen too fast. Just imagine, from the mid-90s, Internet technology stocks soared. At that time, the U.S. stock market was like building a building in the sky, and it doubled several times, just like riding a rocket!"

"After the Internet technology stock bubble burst in 2000, I thought at the very least that we should rest for a while, because we Chinese have a saying that is right, sickness comes like a mountain, and sickness goes like a thread. The same is true for the stock market. You need to first Lay a foundation, get a solid foundation, and then slowly rise, but you don't find it, the speed of its rise can almost catch up with the speed of its fall!"

"You mean, the foundation is unstable?" Eliza understood Ye Qiu's judgment a little bit.

"Yes, the foundation is unstable, and he will have problems sooner or later, and the faster the rise, the more painful the fall, so when the rise is hovering around 1200-1300 points, I think it should be about time, and not only In this way, I even dare to conclude that if the matter this time is not handled well, there will continue to be problems in the future!"

In order to convince Eliza, Ye Qiu had already started preparing such words, because he knew very well that Eliza would definitely be surprised by his judgment, and wanted to use a reason to convince this frighteningly clever woman, The best way to describe it is gut feeling!

Because human intuition is the most inexplicable!
"Hearing what you said, I think that most investors in the world should hang themselves. They are not as accurate as your layman's intuition!" Eliza obviously believed his words.

The basis of these judgments listed by Ye Qiu in this reasoning may seem like a layman, but in fact it is similar to the principles of the stock market. As early as 2000, when the Internet technology stock bubble burst, there were already some economics Everyone has raised such concerns, but a group of Wall Street people who are used to making quick money don't pay attention to them at all.

"It's not that they don't have this awareness, but they are too eager for quick success!" Ye Qiu said with a chuckle.

Some decisions, in a short period of time, may be very stupid, but when you magnify them to a certain extent, you will find that they are beneficial for thousands of years, just like Emperor Yang of the Sui Dynasty opened the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal. When he died, everyone said he was wrong, and he was wrong too much, but without this Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal, would there be a prosperous Tang Dynasty later?
In the same way, there is also the Qin Dynasty, Qin Shihuang's great actions created the future Han Dynasty, can it be wrong?
Let’s not talk about the distant ones, but in the short term, Ye Qiu has invested so much in Ajax’s youth training camp, perfecting the scouting system, improving the software and hardware facilities of the youth training camp. In a short period of time, it is a loss. They are spending money, but after another two or three years, the whole system will start to work well, and will continue to provide Ajax with talent reserves in the future. Is it a loss or a profit?
People don't understand a lot of truths, but they don't want to do them.

"Then what do you think now?" Eliza asked with concern.

Ye Qiu thought for a while, "I guess, there shouldn't be a sharp drop in a short period of time, and there may even be a period of increase, because everyone expected things, those who don't want to see the U.S. stock market plummet People can also see it, but the overall trend must be down, so we must be prepared for a long-term battle.”

If he remembers correctly, it seems that in 2002, the US Standard & Poor's fell to the lowest point in more than ten years.

"Okay, listen to you!" Eliza no longer doubts his intuition now, but feels that this guy's intuition is really accurate, at least, his layman's several judgments are very accurate .

…………

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The New York Stock Exchange did not resume trading until September 9, the first Monday after the September 17 incident. However, on the first day of the resumption of trading, it plummeted sharply, falling a full 911 points in one day. as much.

But Ye Qiu still clearly distinguishes the priorities. For him, trading in the U.S. stock market is just a part-time job. His main job is coaching Ajax. This is what he should really care about. Elisa is responsible for all the business transactions, while he devotes himself to the Eredivisie league.

On September 9th, Eindhoven had another upset away game and lost 15:0 to Breda. This undoubtedly surprised the whole Netherlands, because Gretz's team had a very unsatisfactory start in the league and only played 2 rounds , but there have been 5 defeats, and Van Nistelrooy's departure has indeed led to the weakening of Eindhoven's offensive line.

The combination of the twin towers of Hesselink and Brookink seems beautiful, but in fact there are many shortcomings. As long as they are slightly restricted and utilized, it is still unknown how much effect this pair of twin towers can produce. Card's departure from the team, Kezhiman's performance after being pulled to the wing, these are all tests for Gretz.

In another match with Eindhoven at the same time, Van Marwijk's Feyenoord successfully defeated Graf Sharp 2-0, while Ajax's game was a little later, Ye Qiu prepared In the group opener of the European Champions Cup in the middle of the week, they played against Alkmaar with a semi-main lineup.

In the second half, seeing that the situation was not good for his side, Ye Qiu decisively replaced Van der Vaart and Sneijder. The result was the latter's pass, which assisted Van der Vaart to drive the ball in from the right and then cut into the penalty area. Ajax scored the only goal of the game for Ajax.

After this battle, Ajax continues to lead the Eredivisie standings!
On September 9, Ajax ushered in the opponent of the first match of the European Champions Cup group stage at the Arena Stadium, Barcelona!

The two teams in the UEFA Cup final last season met in the first match of the Champions League group stage, which undoubtedly attracted a lot of media attention, especially this season Ajax's start to the European war was quite amazing, directly in Monaco The Louis II Stadium overthrew Bayern Munich, which can be described as a head start.

In contrast to Barcelona, ​​in the third round of the UEFA Champions League qualifying round, they encountered Krakow in Poland, but the performance of the La Liga giants could not be said to be outstanding. They won 4:3 away and 1:0 at home. Two games Winning both was thrilling, and Rexach's team was never convincing.

The same is also in La Liga. Unlike Ajax's winning streak in the Eredivisie, Barcelona encountered an embarrassing record of 1 win and 2 draws in the first three rounds of La Liga. Compared with the slogan, Rexach's achievements can be described as a bit embarrassing.

But it is precisely because of this that after leading the team to Amsterdam, Rexach vowed to beat Ajax and make a good start for this season's Champions League, and he was unable to resist Ajax last year. Compared with offense, Barcelona's signings in the midfield this season are not small.

First of all, in order to improve the height of the team's defense line, Barcelona introduced Swedish central defender Patrick Anderson from Bayern Munich. He is the one who made Schalke 04 miss the championship with a goal in the last round of the Bundesliga. The central defender is also a teammate of Zlatan Ibrahimovic in the national team.

At the same time, they also introduced Christan Wahl from Monaco, France. These two central defenders are both tall and confrontational players.

Because many people were dissatisfied with the two full-back combination of Sergi and Pettit last season, as a result, the 30-year-old Sergi was sidelined by Rexach and replaced by Puyol, a young player of the second team. , Petit is away from the Premier League Chelsea, and on the left, Barcelona introduced the Italian international Koko from AC Milan.

In order to strengthen the thickness and strength of the midfield, Barcelona introduced midfielder Roschenback from the Brazil international team, while the striker introduced Saviola, and planned to use Saviola and Kluivert Garrivardo to reorganize the ball. The team's offensive trident.

In order to highlight the importance attached to this game, Barcelona Chairman Gaspart personally led the team to Amsterdam, hoping to stimulate the team's fighting spirit and morale and help Barcelona get out of the current predicament.

Santa Cruyff, who is respected by both Ajax and Barcelona fans, also returned to Amsterdam for the purpose of being able to watch this game in person, and he also commented on the upcoming game in his column In a game, he believes that both sides have a half chance of winning.

"Ajax's overall tactical framework has stabilized. Ye Qiu spent a year building up Ajax's overall tactical framework, and his achievements have proved the advancement and feasibility of his tactics. I believe that Ajax will continue to move forward along this road, and the overall combat effectiveness will become stronger and stronger."

"Relatively speaking, Barcelona's players are even better, and almost all of them are world-renowned stars. However, after the summer reorganization, Rexach's team has encountered trouble and can play at the Arenal Stadium. How much strength you have, this is an unknown number."

"But Barcelona has an advantage. They have played two rounds of Champions League qualifiers, but Ye Qiu and most of the players in his team are appearing on the stage of the Champions League for the first time, which will undoubtedly be inevitable. The game has some adverse effects, the key depends on how the coaches of both sides resolve it!"

"It can be predicted that both sides are very aware of the importance of this game, so this will not be a wonderful game, because the pressure on both sides is very high. For Barcelona, ​​​​the most important thing is how to avoid relying too much on certain players. A star, how to better integrate his personal abilities into the whole, so that he has a chance to beat Ajax, which is very comprehensive."

"For Ajax, Ye Qiu and his team have become better and better, impeccable, the key lies in their experience, as well as their performance in the game and their tolerance for pressure. It's their weakness!"

"All in all, there are many unfavorable factors in Barcelona's away game, and many people are less optimistic about them, but it is not easy for Ajax to win, they need to work harder!"

Cruyff's pre-match comments are more like both sides, which is no wonder, because he is not only a symbol of Ajax, but also a national treasure of Barcelona. Such comments happen to be both sides, and his analysis is not unreasonable .

Ye Qiu said at the press conference before the game that he and his team came here with a learning attitude, but he will not give up his football Faith, that is to strive for the victory of every game.

"There is no doubt that this game will be difficult because we are facing Barcelona, ​​but I still have the confidence to lead the team to beat the opponent!"

Barcelona's coach Rexach vowed, "We will regain the rhythm of the team's winning at the Arena, because there is no more suitable opponent than Ajax. We want to beat this team." Support the team that made us suffer last season and say goodbye to the shame of our past!"

(End of this chapter)

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