soul of baseball

Chapter 385 Data Analysis Model and Pan Yuan

It is obvious to all that the United States is willing to spend money on athletes in major sports. The NBA Olympic Cruise is amazing, right? But in terms of salary alone, MLB really kills the rest. Of course, the development of American baseball to what it is today is naturally due to protection from an early age. of.

Compared with the cruel Koshien in Japan, the United States protects, protects, and protects. Even in this kind of ordinary games where there are no regulations on the number of balls used and rest days, they will deliberately set rules for their players. How is it in the profession? Here That’s it!
So Shen Qin, who played the final game in Taiwan, sat on the bench in the first game in the Netherlands, but he had no time to spare. He had to use this moment to communicate with his pitching partner Scherzer in the second game. He was not good at speaking at this time That's a big disadvantage.

As a good catcher, how can you not have a sharp tongue?

But how to talk~ Shen Qin poked Sherzer on the side: "Persian cat~"

what?Sherze wanted to roll his eyes. Although he knew that Shen Qin's title was not malicious, he still found it strange~
"Have you remembered the password?"

Scherzer was stunned for a while, right? "Aren't you memorizing my original password? You know I have a bad memory." As I spoke, I remembered that I had already guessed that the relationship between Shen Qin and Kou Chi was SM, but didn't something like that happen a while ago~ I was so busy coughing Twice: "Or you can change it now, I will try to remember!"

"No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no."

"No."

"Then which type of ball do you personally think is the best? We are partners for the first time, and it is always good to know more."

Scherzer thought for a while: "They are all good. The slider and the shifting should have the highest degree of completion. But I don't think there are any other problems."

There is nothing wrong with this. In fact, in Shen Qin's view, Scherzer now has the style of a big pitcher. The ball type is sufficient, the ball speed is beautiful, and the suppression force is strong. The only problem is probably the risk assessment of the pitching posture.

In contrast, Coach is not bad, but he is definitely not at the starting level now. The ball speed is too fast and there are not enough types of balls. If he wants to start, he must slow down the ball speed.Of course, these are not problems, just adjust it in the minor leagues.

In fact, major league pitchers are at the major league level, and speed reduction is a key point.

Of course, there are always gods who are exceptions, the ace Tiger King of the Detroit Tigers (this timeline is still Tiger).He is the god who still has a ball speed of 101 in the seventh inning, and can rush to 100 in the ninth inning.

This kind of super big pitcher can adjust his body very well and distribute the ball speed as needed. He can slow down the speed if he wants to, and it is easy to speed up if he wants to.

Self-control!It's a very important point.

Coach lacks the ability in this area now: "Then how fast can you drive the ball now?"

"The four-seam was 99, the slider was 56, the curveball was 79."

Shen Qin pursed his lips. It was really scary. Fortunately, Coach was the main pitcher, otherwise he would not have much advantage compared with these terrifying pitchers.What's even more frightening is that Shelzer is still a two-handed swordsman~ tsk~
"Hello." Scherzer suddenly said, "That guy named Pan Yuan, does he play data baseball? I saw him building a model."

Now baseball is very, very important to this piece of data, and it can make a huge difference.

Jeff was an economics guy who had never played college baseball, let alone the pros.However, he was one of the fastest-promoting and highly effective scouting officers of the St. Louis Cardinals, and brought many good seedlings to the Cardinals. After 2000, he helped the team win two World Series championships and more than N He also gave advice on Yuri's original pick in the draft.

The change happened when the big names in the energy industry bought the Houston Astros, that is, the year Yuri was let go in exchange for resources.Then they hired Jeff to be the general manager of the team, believing that Jeff and his computer could bring new life to the team that had never won a championship.

What Jeff's computer does is the data analysis model.

The Astros are in a complete rebuild and have lost nothing for three consecutive years!

But then the data analysis model and data prediction model brought about unexpected changes.As an aside, his decision-making department is an assistant brought from the Cardinals. (distressed~)

After that, we dug out cheap pitchers with questionable statistics and terrible results to make improvements. After additional training on the necessary slider, we completely eliminated the bad pitches and strengthened the pitcher's rotation speed. (I don’t know why the pitcher’s rotation speed increases when the pitcher goes to the Astros, no one knows~)

After that, he improved and signed a pitcher with a not-so-bad record but no outstanding points to match the pitch of the left and right hitters.

These are all due to the data model, which can analyze the given impression more accurately.As a classic saying goes in major league circles, numbers don't lie.

There's no doubting the authenticity of the Houston Astros' impressive record of evaluating, predicting and revamping their pitchers.The collocation of high straight ball and curve ball can be described by verifying the degree of coincidence in a strange way, and if it is not possible, it can also be recognized with the accuracy of a real person in a simulated environment.

Furthermore, after the model, it was also verified that the sinker is less effective against left hits, unless the speed of the sinker is too fast for the hitter to judge.

In fact, the model is not difficult to build. As long as you have the knowledge of artificial intelligence, generally speaking, it is not a problem if you don't know baseball.The difficulty is that baseball is a very old-fashioned sport, more old-fashioned than you can imagine.

Remember speed guns and stuff?This has long since been eliminated in the major leagues.There are also statistical data such as the number of wins and batting average. In fact, it was not useful decades ago, but it still inevitably appears in every report!corny!unwilling to innovate.

Video and image processing technology for speed measurement is completely useless~ If not, I am afraid there will still be many people on the court holding speed guns to watch the ball~
As we all know, scouting is a key, and scouting reports are also a key, but with the establishment of data models, they are more accurate than scouting.From the basic data to the trajectory of the ball, the speed and angle of the attack, and even the defensive position, it can be accurate. The speed and accuracy are proven. But will the major leagues give up scouts and only believe in data?

Obviously not!

Does that ignore batting average?Less likely!
Will it ignore the pitcher's winning pitch?Absolutely impossible!
look!Baseball is so old fashioned!It is very, very difficult for new things to occupy a place!
So now when Shen Qin heard about this, he remembered the chat with Pan Yuan. He can't play professionally, but he wants to work in baseball, so the data model is indeed a good entry point.

Even if baseball is unwilling to make big reforms now, it will definitely do so in the future. From batting to formation, from adjustment to analysis, none of it can be separated from data!
每年一支球队的162场比赛，30支球队！再并上小联盟从3A到A再到菜鸟联盟。一个球队下面还附属着4、5甚至6个球队！仅仅靠人？谁做的到？
　These chapters are boring but must be written~~No way~
　　
　
(End of this chapter)