Reborn Tech Maniac

Chapter 706 Who can survive the global stock market disaster alone?

Chapter 706 Who can survive the global stock market disaster alone?
……

If there is a God's perspective that can see all the troubles on the entire earth, we will find that the sporadic negative energy scattered around the world is converging into a hammer of destruction and hitting the globally integrated capital market.

Tang Huan couldn't be sure whether other people had such a God's perspective, anyway, he basically achieved the golden wind before the cicada dawned.

In fact, the higher you stand, the more you will find that all living beings drift with the crowd, which is the so-called herd mentality.

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached its highest point in late August this year, professionals, not gamers like Tang Huan who combined computers and financial models, reminded investors in a serious manner that a new economic cycle might be about to begin. .

But people who are in the mood are more willing to believe the information they see and hear. After all, there are no bad signs of impending disaster in the overall economic situation.

Tang Huan, who is already the richest man in the United States, is destined to be significantly different from most investors or speculators in pursuit.In the face of any big opportunity, he wants to gain more than wealth, and then his mind can be said to be intoxicated and sober.

On the other hand, Tang Huan dare not say that he is the richest, but he can't go wrong if he is very rich, and his actual financial situation is far better than what the outside world knows. Naturally, there is no need to gamble all his money like the Hunter family who speculated on silver futures. We pin all our plans on the reappearance of the global stock market crash in 1987 in the original time and space.

In other words, Tang Huan will not put all his eggs in one basket on speculation, and the chips will also increase with the appearance of advance omens.

After entering this week, as various signs and memories in his mind coincided, he finally determined that "Black Monday" is very likely to be staged wonderfully, and in the midst of this great turmoil, some goals should also be dealt with .

New York, which belongs to the West Fifth District, is five hours later than London Standard Time, which makes it one of the world's major financial markets with a late opening and closing.

Sometimes, the impact of jet lag on the capital market cannot be ignored.Just like the Plaza Accord in 1985, it stipulated that the Deutsche Mark and the Japanese Yen should appreciate against the US dollar respectively.According to common sense, Japan was the first to bear the brunt, but because of the oriental festivals ignored by Westerners, the Tokyo market was closed, and the Germans took the test by surprise.

Now, jet lag continues to work the same wonders.

The New York capital market, which closed later, invisibly absorbed all the negative energy, including the panic caused by the sudden suspension of the London capital market due to the storm that day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 108.35 points; and when it closed, Those other capital markets that closed first could only wait until the two rest days of Saturday and Sunday were over before they could respond accordingly on Monday.

Perhaps, through these two days of happy, people's panic can be swept away.Next week, everyone will play happily as usual.The worries of US Treasury Secretary James Baker are just a routine reminder.

……

Tang Huan listened to the analysis of his subordinates calmly while staring at the chart on Fangyuan's laptop.

This is a somewhat alternative data analysis, focusing on the relationship between the rise and fall of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the trading volume, which is somewhat similar to the concept of "acceleration" in physics.

The reason for this reflects Tang Huan's way of observing the capital market situation.

In the original time and space, the cause of the 1987 global stock market crash was divided and there was no consensus.

Among them, one theory that most people agree with is that the stock market crash was caused by a programming flaw in the electronic trading system.

When the electronic trading system is constantly calculating stock price changes and trading strategies, when the stock price drops, the computer program will sell the stock according to the established mechanism, which will accelerate the stock price drop; This in turn caused the computer program to sell more stocks, eventually creating a vicious cycle.

On this basis, some people even believe that the stock market boom before "Black Monday" was simply a gorgeous illusion created by a computer program that simply chased the downs and chased the ups and downs.

Naturally, Tang Huan took this theory as a basis, trying to observe the possible impact of the computer program logic in the electronic trading system on the rise and fall of the stock market.

In his view, this statement still has some truth.After all, the capital trading market at this stage has not yet officially introduced a "circuit breaker mechanism", that is, in the trading process of the stock market, when the price fluctuation range reaches a certain limited target - the fuse point, the rule of suspending trading for a period of time .

Even if the computer program that simply kills the downs and chases the ups and downs is not the culprit of "Black Monday", it will make waves without restraint in this great turmoil, and even make the situation worse and add fuel to the fire.

Seeing that the discussion is almost over—although everyone’s opinions are basically unanimous that the inflection point of the stock market is just around the corner, but no one has yet opened their minds and shouted "the stock market is about to crash." Tang Huan coughed lightly and conclusively said Instructed: "Continue to be short, I hope to get as many shares as possible in Oceanic Bank of America."

The bank listed as a prey by the richest man is the 13th largest bank in the United States. In 1980, HSBC acquired 50.00% of the equity, becoming the "three benches" of its international expansion strategy - Asia, Europe, and the Americas. An important part.

Due to its loans to Latin America, the American Ocean Bank became a victim of the Latin American sovereign debt crisis and suffered serious losses. It has been relying on HSBC, a local rich man who is not short of money, to provide hundreds of millions of blood transfusions to survive.

Tang Huan couldn't even take care of his partner bank. Naturally, he wouldn't be sincere about the money-losing bank of the United States Ocean Bank. He focused on it entirely for the sake of HSBC.

The idea of ​​the richest man is very simple. Since HSBC has recruited people to besiege Qinhe in Xiangjiang, then he will fight back in the United States and beat one leg of the internationalization bench that HSBC has placed high hopes on.

When HSBC found out that the godson of Oceanic Bank of America, who was dedicated to providing for him with all his heart, was actually called the old enemy uncle, he didn't know how it would react.

Thinking of Tang Huan here, he sneered secretly, and then continued: "Saturday and Sunday these two days, everyone, work harder, and continue to stay in the office to make various plans. After the Christmas project is officially over, I will send Big gift package rewards you and your family."

"The boss is guarding here personally, what else do we have to say." Everyone echoed.

……

Compared with the U.S. stock market Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is more willing to be considered as a normal adjustment, which has been falling for several days, the Hong Kong stock market Hang Seng Index has been running happily above 4000 points for more than a month.

The reason why the scene is so hot is related to the fact that the Qinhe Group, which belongs to the Hang Seng Index, has been fully acquired and the stock price has been sought after soaring.

This is an unprecedented and probably unprecedented carnival party in the Hong Kong capital market. It is not only talked about throughout Hong Kong, but also attracts close attention from other parts of the world.

The Qinhe Group on the defensive side, in addition to returning the more than 100 billion Hong Kong dollars "drawn" from the stock market by the previous super rights issue to the market again, also obtained from Japanese banks, American banks and other financial institutions that are not within HSBC's sphere of influence. Constantly lending to build a line of defense; the HSBC Alliance on the offensive side spared no expense, launching waves of charges one after another.

I don't know that there are many speculators following the trend, dancing and shouting "I'm making money, I'm making money, I'm done," and then turned around and greedily continued to devote themselves to it.

As all investors think, there is nothing impossible in the magical stock market, only unexpected, it depends on your courage.

Up to now, as the beginning of this takeover battle - Heung Kong Electric, the stock price has not only reproduced the grand occasion of more than 200 Hong Kong dollars when Milk Company was fully acquired by Heung Kong Land more than ten years ago, but also hit a new high, at more than 300 Hong Kong dollars. The interval lingers and forgets to return.

At the same time, the stock prices of Dairy Milk International, Mandarin Hotel, Qinhe Infrastructure, etc. competing for targets have also followed suit.

The fierce scene where many heavyweight companies entered into the "comprehensive acquisition" competition at the same time made the big bull market in Xiangjiang almost suffocating.

In this regard, the opinions of observers began to gradually converge.

Even if the main companies of the Qinhe Group will not change hands, it is inevitable that they will be infiltrated by other powerful investors and form a joint rule.As for whether Qinhe's vitality is seriously injured, and if he is depressed, it depends on the strength of the richest man's blood transfusion.

In short, the outcome of this capital war will never be simple understanding of who wins and who loses, who wins and who loses, but a complicated reorganization of business forces.

……

In the brightly lit meeting room, Pu Weishi, Li Bancheng, Guo Henian, Liu Luanxiong, Huang Yulang and others were discussing the final arrangement of their side, who is the main attacker in this takeover battle.

Even though Qinhe continued to set up obstacles, these new major shareholders finally followed the rules and joined the boards of directors of Xiangjiang Electric, Dairy International, Mandarin Hotel, Qinhe Infrastructure, and thus grasped the commercial secrets they should enjoy.

Unsurprisingly, their eyes widened and their mouths drooled.

Among them, Pu Weishi's sentence "I haven't seen it for many years, and the once old Jardine assets have been managed so vigorously" is the most representative illustration of everyone's unexpected ecstasy, which is worth the fare, and the investment How could Baoshan return empty-handed and so on with relief.

Although Xiangjiang Electric, Milk International, Mandarin Hotels, and Qinhe Infrastructure are all publicly listed companies, and a lot of information must be disclosed to the outside world, there is always some information that deserves the most attention, which is blocked behind dazzling financial statements.

Since parting ways with Jardine, which has turned into a member of Qinhe, HSBC has not known much about its former close partner, but now it can see the true face of Lushan, and then has to admire what it has achieved after being under the command of the richest man. rich results.

The Chinese mainland market has aroused the interest of countless investors, and they gathered in Xiangjiang, taking this small place, which is currently the only window in the mainland, as a bridgehead.

Otherwise, how could the recovery speed of Xiangjiang Real Estate industry be so fast, and how can it be so prosperous now!The structure of Xiangjiang is doomed to be unable to play without the mainland. If it wants to develop, it must borrow money from the favorable conditions of the mainland.

But it is obvious that investors are not able to open up the situation smoothly and achieve satisfactory results as long as they are interested in the mainland China market.

Restricted by many factors, including environmental adaptation, many investors are helpless.

Big figures like Pu Weishi, Li Bancheng, and Guo Henian, who are at the top of the business circle, naturally have a better understanding of this.

And Qinhe Group's Heung Kong Electric, Dairy Milk International, Mandarin Hotel, Qinhe Infrastructure, and their achievements in mainland China have made their eyes shine.

In addition, the business expansion of these companies in Canada and Australia is also remarkable and worthy of praise.

"Everyone, it's time to finish the work. Let's talk about your most real plans." Pu Weishi spoke first.

HSBC has noticed the panic caused by the sudden shutdown of the London financial trading market caused by the typhoon. In view of the satisfactory results of the originally airtight and self-contained Qinhe system being beaten into a sieve, the rich man decided to Just accept it as soon as you see fit.Of course, Pu Wei Shi will not say this reason explicitly.

"I can accept the current result." Guo Henian said with a smile.Compared with the previous dilemma of the Guo family being unable to open up business in Hong Kong, let alone entering the mainland, he is more willing to break into the already fruitful companies of Milk International and Mandarin Hotel, and play the tricks of corporate politics. .

"If possible, I will ask Qinhe to exchange part of Qinhe's infrastructure rights with Xiangjiang Electric." Li Bancheng obviously does not intend to be entangled in the company's internal struggle like Guo Henian.

As long as Qinhe Yishen is not monolithic, Pu Weishi nodded slightly with satisfaction.

"I have narrow shoulders and a narrow head, and my abilities are far behind those of the big guys. I have encountered obstacles at every turn in Xiangjiang Electric Lighting, so I want to cash out and leave." Liu Luanxiong said dullly.

Pu Weishi frowned and thought for a while, then nodded and said, "That's okay. HSBC won't treat Huang Sheng badly. I'll help you contact bulk buyers."

……

In the midst of different thoughts, Saturday and Sunday passed quickly.

On Monday, October 1987, 10, the global capital markets opened as usual.

Also due to the wonderful time difference, major capital markets around the world have to queue up one after another.

First of all, the stock market in Sydney, Australia opened without any change.

At 10 a.m. Hong Kong time, the Hong Kong stock market opens on time.

Various negative energies further gathered. Affected by the fall of the New York stock market last Friday, the Hang Seng Index immediately panicked and dropped 120 points.

At the midday close, the Hang Seng Index continued to fall by 235 points.

By the end of the day, the Hang Seng Index had dropped a total of 420.81 points.At the same time, the futures index in each month fell by more than 300 points.

The game of dominoes begins.

Affected by the sharp drop in the Xiangjiang stock market, the stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region followed suit, and gradually expanded to the European market due to time zone differences, and finally circled the world and passed it to New York—the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell sharply by 508 points throughout the day, a drop of More than 20.00%.

Black Monday fell from the sky, and the tragic global stock market crash of 1987 broke out. Who could be spared?

PS: Sorry, I woke up in the morning and found out that the power was out at my residence and several nearby buildings. I found a place to get online and updated everything.

(End of this chapter)

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