Consumer male god

"Judging from the current situation, next Monday and next Tuesday will be important positions for our fund. Students who have enough pocket money can buy some. We will talk about the specific topics to buy later. Let's first solve the problem of how to judge the market trend. The problem.

This is very simple and can be easily accomplished with hard work.

We open the Great Wisdom, Flush or Oriental Fortune software, which contains the historical trends of A-shares. Before actually entering the market, I divided the historical trends of Shanghai, Shenzhen and GEM into about 15 intervals, and then divided them one K line and one K line. Go and research.

Look, there is a star above each K line. Click to open it and there is some news.

We only need to study why each K-line moves like this at each stage, what the corresponding off-site news is, and what policies emerged at that time, and then review the macroeconomics at that time to extract the overall economy at that time. status, you can roughly understand the large and small cycles in the stock market.

For example, the bull market in 2007, what were its specific causes?

What does the corresponding K-line performance look like?

How do sectors rotate?

What is the corresponding relationship and fluctuation coefficient between quantity energy and price?

As long as you understand all these big and small problems, know what they are, and even better understand why they are the case, you will easily be able to fully grasp the overall operating trend of the stock market.

It took me a full month and a half to do this.

Including reviewing every K-line in history, searching for news, supplementing macroeconomics, modeling and summarizing the relationship between volume and price, remembering the capital performance at the beginning and the end of the cycle, etc...

You are all the proud ones who are more powerful than me, top academics in the same college. I believe that when you master the correct method, it will be easier and shorter to do the same thing... "

Before he finished speaking, there was a buzz from the audience.

Chen Yanfei was stunned.

Does this person say anything? !

Is it possible for humans to figure out so many things in one and a half months?

Let alone the so-called top academics from SISU, bring over the top picks from Qingbei and see if they can do it? !

Chen Yanfei deliberately turned her head to look at Ding Xiang's performance, wanting to know how she felt.

Lilac: (⊙⊙)

Xiao Bai was completely dizzy, his eyes were spinning, and he felt as if he was extremely confused.

But her lack of understanding did not prevent her from admiring Han Lie. Stars were shining in her big, confused eyes. She held her hands in front of her chest and muttered quietly: "Brother Lie is so awesome!"

Chen Yanfei rolled her eyes vigorously and wanted to ignore her.

In addition, the sound of deliberately suppressed discussions continued to be heard all around.

Fang Xing: "Why do I feel that Han Lie's method is so unreliable?"

Ronaldinho: "That's too ridiculous..."

Huang Li: "The method itself may be reliable or even very correct, but it may take a lot of time..."

Fat girl: "Yes, yes, give me a year, I may not be able to finish that much content!"

Xiaoqing: "How many points did you score in the college entrance examination?"

Fat girl: "671."

Everyone:"……"

In the front row, Vice President Liu quietly asked the head of the Department of Finance: "Can Han Lie's method be promoted in your department?"

A dignified PhD in economics from UW-M, a master's degree in finance from MIT, an expert who has trained many doctoral students, and one of the few second-level finance professors in Shanghai universities...

Director Xu, who had so many prefixes, smiled bitterly at the principal and shook his head.

"Why don't you make things difficult for the children if I can't even do it?"

"Oh? So difficult?" Vice Principal Liu's pupils shrank.

"It's not a question of whether it's hard or not...it's kind of..."

Director Xu carefully considered his words, and finally squeezed out one sentence: "It is the kind of method that belongs to genius alone - it seems stupid at first glance, but it seems that it only requires hard work.

However, the basic knowledge and thinking structure required to do this kind of thing requires at least a 985 master's degree.

If the student's foundation is not enough and he studies the K-line carefully as required, but cannot draw any valuable conclusions and experiences, then what is the point of reviewing it?

Therefore, in fact, everyone can learn from Han Lie to review the game, but how much valuable things can be obtained, how long it takes, and what kind of framework is formed vary from person to person..."

Director Xu spoke very objectively, and the leaders around him understood it——

If you can't learn it, you can't learn it. Once you learn it, you will lose it!

Vice Principal Liu was immediately discouraged, Mommy, isn’t this just a joke?

Just as he was sighing, a burst of warm applause and random cheers suddenly broke out from behind.

Oops, do any students understand?

I looked back in surprise and saw that it was the group of gangsters from the humanities, having fun there.

"Brother Lie is awesome!"

"The God of Fire is the most handsome!"

"I love you so much!"

Good guy, Liu Yingjun, Yin Qin, Yu Yun and that group of academic scumbags, not one of them understands, not one of them cheers...

It doesn’t matter whether what he said is correct or not, and whether it is universal or not, as long as he is handsome, that’s it!

Han Lie on the stage was indeed handsome, high-spirited and scolding Fang Qiu, even more domineering than the boss in the novel.

Pan Ge put his chin in his hands and looked at the stage with a smile, feeling very good.

Xi Luting crossed his arms and leaned on the seat like a boss, with a straight face, but his eyes were soft and watery.

The handsomeness of a man has never been about his stunning appearance, but his splendid aura and the strong aura that exudes from the inside out.

A woman's desire to be strong is an instinct engraved in her genes. Who can not love a strong and handsome man?

It's a pity that he is so impersonal...

Han Lie's journey of pretending to be beeping continues.

“We have roughly figured out the cyclical laws in the stock market, and we can effectively buy the bottom and escape the top, and enjoy the natural exponential growth of each bull market.

But this is too slow.

The characteristics of my country's stock market are bullish short and bearish long, and it does not completely follow the rules of value investment.

Therefore, a complete understanding of the market and cycles can only allow everyone to make money safely and stably, but not develop quickly.

What to do?

Continue to understand sector rotation rules and individual stock performance.

As of January 10, 2014, there were a total of 2,509 stocks in the two cities, and 25 stocks could be memorized in one day, which took a little more than three months to complete.

Of course, I am not asking everyone to memorize every K line of them. I can't do it myself.

Just remember their sector and related concepts, industry abbreviation, main business direction, profitability level, industry prospects, core competitiveness, degree of attention in the province and city to which they belong, the operating ability of the actual controller, as well as stock nature and history Just simple information such as performance.

It's actually very easy.

You may not be used to it at first, but as long as you work hard to remember it, you will gradually form a conditioned reflex.

There are only 2,500 companies. When we take the English level 6 exam, who is not allowed to memorize 5,500 words? "

Depend on!

Do you compare English words with those things?

The SISU students in the audience were so angry that they almost vomited blood.

According to Han Lie, each stock needs to memorize 10 levels of information. Each level has more or less information, ranging from dozens of words to as much as 32K of information.

To cultivate things, you let us carry 25 horses on our backs a day? !

Chen Yanfei finally realized belatedly that this guy on the stage really didn't want to be a human being anymore.

Where's the chicken soup you promised?

Stop showing off. If you show off again, your heart will be completely cold. Please give us something warm to drink!

Chen Yanfei was cursing when suddenly a boy on the left side of the auditorium stood up and asked loudly: "Teacher Han, you said that you can make money safely and stably if you master the cycle rules. Can you explain it in detail?

You know, in every bull market, many investors lose money because they can't bear to trade stocks randomly.

What is your safe and stable way to make money? "

After hearing the boy's question, many people turned their heads and looked over, and then started a murmur.

"Ah, it's Li Zican!"

"Who?"

"You're the president of the School of Economics and Management! You don't even know the current student union president?"

"He also participated in this stock competition, right?"

“Not only did I participate, but I also advanced to the third week of the virtual competition. This is our school’s best result.”

"Is that pretty awesome?"

"Quite impressive! But it doesn't matter who you compare with..."

"That's right, the guy on the stage is the 8-week champion!"

"The gap is not that big. Everyone has times when they do particularly well, and there are also times when things don't go so well. Han Lie just happened to be in his explosive period."

"Every time comes, heaven and earth all work together?"

"Don't brag. I still don't know what's going on. I always feel that it's not that simple. The water in the domestic stock market is too muddy. You know..."

Listening to the discussions around her, Chen Yanfei felt very uncomfortable.

Except for her classmates and friends, it seemed right for the entire school to look down on Han Lie.

The gap between three books and 211 makes it difficult for a considerable number of people to accept the fact that Han Lie is so much better than them, and various suspicions and conspiracy theories emerge in endlessly.

Our tough guys are awesome, what's bothering you?

Chen Yanfei firmly believed this, but she actually didn't know how powerful Han Lie was and whether he could handle the provocations of those finance students.

After all, she doesn't understand the stock market.

Ding Xiang had the same worries as hers. She glared angrily at the handsome Li Zichan, clenched her little fists and gritted her teeth.

What makes you stand out?

Hate!

However, the humanities scumbags in the row behind were not worried at all. Including Pan Ge and Xi Luting, their confidence in Han Lie was almost blind.

A bunch of so-called academic masters who are nothing but want to question our fierce gods?

Do you know how much money dogs make in the market?

Yin Qin: 1.75 billion! (Breaking sound)

Han Lie glanced at the student who asked the question with a smile and raised his eyebrows.

Oh, this guy is so handsome!

It would be a pity not to be a duck...

He didn't feel provoked, although he did feel the dissatisfaction in the other person's eyebrows.

Young people always like to question authority.

Especially those who are outstanding in a small closed circle, looking at the front and back, they are invincible, so they have developed huge self-confidence and feel that everything in the world is just like this.

My favorite thing is to educate such self-righteous children...

"Good question, please take a seat first."

Han Lie pressed down with one hand and put his left hand in his pocket, looking like a lazy boss.

Show off, he's a professional.

After casually flipping through a few pages of PPT, Han Lie didn't find what he needed as expected. He simply closed the PPT and opened the stock software.

Come on!

"Actually, if you are a good student who has a thorough understanding of financial knowledge, you don't even need to fully grasp the cyclical laws to make stable profits."

Han Lie smiled slightly and opened the K-line chart of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index.

“There are so many ways, really.

Due to time constraints, I will briefly tell you one today to inspire some ideas.

The first core principle——

We only buy the SSE 50 ETF, code 510050, or the CSI 300 ETF, code 510300.

The second core principle——

We divide all our available funds into several shares and make continuous purchases in the form of fixed investments instead of buying them all at once.

The third core principle——

We only buy at the right time and sell at the right time.

So, now the question we need to solve becomes: When is the right time to buy or sell?

It’s very simple. There is an indicator called [Equity Risk Premium Index]

Under normal circumstances, the indicator we use to price market valuation is called the price-to-earnings ratio, which anyone who has studied a little bit of finance should understand.

The P/E ratio is the stock's current price divided by earnings per share.

Conversely, it is the earnings-to-price ratio, that is: earnings per share/current price = a percentage

Understood from a mathematical abstraction, it represents the maximum equity and dividends that a listed company can give you.

Taking the price-to-earnings ratio and subtracting the ten-year Treasury bond yield, it represents how much more money we can make in addition to the basic Treasury bond yield.

It is the Equity Risk Premium Index.

When its number is greater than 5.5, we start to invest in the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF or the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 ETF, for example, one investment per day for 1,000 yuan.

Wait until its number is greater than 6, double it and invest 2000 every day.

When it is greater than 7, double it again to 4,000 per day.

Until we invest all our own funds and wait for the sell signal.

This is essentially a left-side trading method with the main purpose of amortizing costs. It is to copy the bottom of the index, earn profits from the rise in the index, and steadily outperform the market.

The cost of making a fixed investment on the brokerage client is extremely low, and the security of strictly following the model is extremely high.

Although it cannot double in a short period of time like grabbing the leading stocks, it does not require you to spend too much thought. You can spend your energy on your studies and just open the software and take a look every day.

Is it safe, stable and simple enough? "

Han Lie looked at the handsome boy with a half-smile, his face turned white and red, and he frowned and said nothing.

The audience was noisy again.

The astonished students kept discussing with an unbelievable attitude, so intense that they almost overturned the ceiling of the auditorium.

The equity risk premium index fixed investment method is not a new thing in later generations, and many stable investors know it, but at the current point in time, among the immature college students, it is definitely a dragon-slaying knife.

Once you master it, you can make money with your eyes closed.

Not very explosive, but anyone can do it.

Han Lie looked at the chaos in the audience, smiled calmly and stood there for about 10 seconds.

Then, casually open the CSI 300 Index interface.

"We are destined to meet each other. Come, let me help you calculate the current equity risk premium index."

The audience suddenly became quiet.

As Han Lie extracted data, opened the calculator, and typed numbers, he finally came up with a number that stunned everyone.

"Ha! 6.98... matches my judgment on the market, doesn't it?"

Han Lie casually smeared twice on the K-line chart of the stock index, sketched out a few lines, and said with a chuckle: "When I was giving a lecture at Pudong Development Bank, I told them: Once the market touches below 2000 points, increase leverage and go in with all your strength. rush.

Now, I want to tell you: the best window period for fixed investment is here, but don’t worry, you still have at least half a year to save pocket money, living expenses, work to make money, or convince your parents.

The stock index will not move too quickly, and the CSI 300 ETF will be launched later than small and mid-cap stocks.

Before that, the most important thing you should do is think.

It’s up to you to decide what to think about specifically and to what extent. I won’t say more.

There are always opportunities in the stock market, and opportunities outside the stock market are everywhere. It’s no big deal if you miss it once or twice.

Now, when you and I are the same age, I already have a net worth of 9 figures, and by this time next year, it may be 10 figures.

Having money does not mean success, but when I stand here to share with you an effective way to make money and give you a chance to catch up with me, you should applaud instead of continuing to question or remain indifferent. "

Han Lie's "kind reminder" made the entire small auditorium completely quiet.

It was almost silent, but still echoed with heavy breathing.

At that moment, everyone looked at the young man on the stage with their mouths agape, confused and their minds went blank...

****

Still persisting, I may be one of the few people in our city who has slipped through the net...