Crossover in the Anime World
Vol 2 Chapter 2522: Murphy's Law
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Existence x was dragged into the endless debate career by the nuclear bomb Buddha, unable to intervene in the world, so the world finally developed atheism at ease, and finally developed its own power step by step.
The clone of the Nuclear Bomb Buddha will walk the world as a mortal to spread his thoughts, allowing humans to cultivate into a nuclear bomb. But this will take a long time, and Duran believes that the world will return to peace one day.
"We want to make the world a better place without setting a framework." Duran said so.
"Yes." Tan Ya agreed with Duran's words very much.
The world will get better. The Empire did not make a big fuss about the Federal State’s attack. It just said that it was an unauthorized action by a small wave of militarists, trying to keep the situation within a certain range, and the Federal State was clearly aware of its dependence. It is impossible to defeat the empire with a single strategic weapon. After all, it is not a second dimension.
In the second dimension, human beings always like to use decisive weapons to determine the world. Generally speaking, such decisive weapons will be picked up by high school students. In the end, high school students will be burdened to save mankind and reverse the unfavorable situation.
I have to say that this kind of final weapon is only a small country with limited resources and the people will believe that relying on a weapon to solve war is a naive fantasy, and it is useless for a big country. In fact, the real war between a country and a country compares the overall strength and the endurance of the people, and a single weapon of decisive battle is of little value.
It is a pity that the basis of the second element is a small country with few people, so decisive weapons have repeatedly become the key point of the second element to turn defeat into victory, and even high school students have to take on the responsibility of saving mankind again and again in armor.
However, in the face of the empire's strong comprehensive strength, the cohesion of the people and the organization of the world's top countries, if the Federation wants to take a decisive battle weapon and a battle to determine the world, it will definitely not work.
The Commonwealth State also realized that it was impossible to determine the universe in one battle. If a war started, they would face the absolute fighting power of the Empire. The empire and the federation are bordered, and the federation is not easy to fight when it really fought.
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Therefore, for a long time, the Federation, Hezhou State, and Leahy will form a powerful situation. Now any two sides are irrational, and they are doing wedding dresses for others.
With the emergence of belief in nuclear bombs and eukaryotic bombs, peace in the future will be very long until there is a common enemy of mankind. Maybe it's a virus, maybe it's an alien, maybe it's the cancer of mankind, or maybe it's a god. When that happens, mankind may, possibly, or maybe it will promote great unity.
In short, everyone can work hard in this direction.
"Everything is good or bad. We can’t expect that the good part will be taken up by us, and that the bad part will be transferred to others. People who think this way will definitely suffer. What we can do is to take on the mistakes again and again. And work hard to make everything better. Now that we know Murphy's law, then we should cheer up and prevent Murphy's law from appearing."
Murphy's law, everything will develop towards bad expectations. In fact, the reason for this law is that everyone has anticipated the possibility of failure before doing things, but when doing things they are lucky, instead of eliminating mistakes as much as possible.
When this law was put forward, it was because Nasa designed seventeen expensive devices that can be successful as long as one device runs, but in the end all the seventeen devices went down, and they still appeared on the same unstable line. This is obviously a fluke. Knowing that the equipment is unstable, they made seventeen devices, but in fact, they did not rule out the root cause of the instability. They just luckily thought that the more equipment, even the small probability of success will definitely be. occur. But in the end it proved that this kind of thinking is completely self-deception.
Seventeen devices were damaged due to the same reason, and the mission failed completely, so Murphy's law was born.
But in fact, when people think of Murphy's Law, they realize the possibility of failure, so they should work hard to eliminate the cause of failure, instead of copying the possibility of failure 17 times, and finally leaving the outcome to fluke. This is wrong. of.
Some people say that this is a question of probability. The probability of a coin tossing both positive and negative at one time is fifty-five percent, but when a coin is tossed one hundred times, the probability of positive and negative one is not fifty-five percent by the time it reaches the hundredth time.
Then this probologist will explain the reason plausibly, why one throw is 50-50, and one hundred times is not 50-50.
Throwing 50% at a time is because there is little data to understand and less information to collect. Just knowing that a coin has two sides, then it is naturally 50%.
And a hundred times toss, then the collected data is more, more information, the previous ninety-nine coin toss action has provided new information, no longer just the coin has two sides, the characteristics of this coin has passed ninety-nine times The repeated use is shown, so the probability of the last time is not 50-50, but is closely related to the data collected ninety-nine times in the past. For example, if the first ninety-nine times were heads, then the last time may be heads. It can even be concluded that both sides of the coin may be heads and no backs at all.
It is impossible to know whether the coin is full-faced or full-faced by tossing it once. But after tossing it ninety-nine times, it might be known. This is the problem of probability. The probability results obtained when the same thing happens alone and when it happens continuously are different.
One machine copying seventeen machines is actually a coin toss problem. If the seventeen machines are regarded as separate events, then each machine will win or lose 50-50. No amount of copying can increase the probability of victory.
But if the first sixteen have failed, then the last one can basically be sentenced to death. As a continuous overall incident, as more and more machines fail, the probability of subsequent machine failures rises sharply. of. The more you copy, the more you fail.
It will be clearer to explain Murphy's law with probability. UU reading www.uukanshu.com will understand the terrible copy error. The more errors are copied, the more proof that humans cannot avoid this error.
Before leaving, Duran gave another popular science class to let everyone know Murphy's law, and also explained it with probability. In summary: "Don't copy mistakes, don't have a fluke mentality, if you realize that you may If you fall into Murphy's law, you must reflect in time, correct your mistakes and then continue. Otherwise, Murphy's law will happen."
Probability has been explained. The probability of Murphy's law happening is that the more events repeat, the more they happen, so don't get lucky.
"Are you leaving?" Tan Ya was really reluctant, because Dulan, the backer, was really too reliable.
"Yes, why are you interested in my trip? You can join me if you like." Duran invited.
But Tan Ya refused: "I want to stay here and watch this country embark on the road of prosperity and strength." She has her own choice, and she wants to build her second hometown.
"Come on, Leahy will leave it to you." Duran did not take away a cloud, but hid his merit and fame.
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