Reborn Financial Overlord
Page 181
"That's right. House prices can only fall if no one buys a house and tens of millions of people cut off their mortgages. But that's simply not possible."
"It looks like an extremely stupid investment."
"But it looks like, Shen, doesn't look like a stupid person."
"Maybe you don't understand the Chinese. When they have money, they will inflate. There is a word called nouveau riche, yes. It is nouveau riche. Chinese people will always be arrogant when they have money.
Once I met a client who was said to be a coal boss from Shaanxi who came to Hong Kong for a tour. Guess what?Because he thought the coffee was too bad, he even said that he wanted to buy our bank. "
"My God. How ignorant. What happened next?"
"Later, I told him that he could inquire about the stock price of HSBC to see if he could buy [-] shares. There was no later."
"Ha ha!"
"..."
"They Chinese also have an idiom called young and frivolous."
"It's really crazy, haha!"
"..."
In the chief position, Meriwether shrugged while listening to the discussions of his colleagues.
"Then what do you think we should do?"
"This is HSBC. There are idiots who want to send us money. Is there any reason for us not to?"
of course not.
Even children will not refuse the New Year's money given by adults, although they will always be very humble and embarrassed to say no, no.
Central Plaza, Capital One Central Office.
Shen Jiannan was lying on the sofa, leaning on Lu Xinyue's lap and playing with her smooth hair. After hanging up the call from HSBC, the guy raised his eyebrows.
"New moon. I think those guys must think it's a very stupid investment. Probably, and call me an idiot."
"I also think this is stupid. The current Thai market is very close to Hong Kong's past development, and there is almost no possibility of any decline in housing prices. The mortgage interest rate in Thailand is as high as [-]%. Our investment in real estate is expected to There won’t be much profit, and a large sum of money has to be paid to HSBC, even if you can make money, it’s not all working for HSBC.”
"Haha! Xinyue, you think I want to hedge the risk of Thai baht assets."
"Is not it?"
Shen Jiannan smiled wickedly and shook his head.
Immediately, Lu Xinyue's curiosity was aroused.
"It's not hedging the risk of Thai baht assets, so what do you want to do?"
"The last two words."
"If I beat you to death, I'll know how to be a hooligan in a day."
As she said that, Lu Xinyue began to beat Shen Jiannan, but the woman's curiosity finally got the upper hand.Looking at the treacherous Shen Jiannan in her arms, Lu Xinyue leaned over and acted coquettishly.
"Say it. What do you want?"
"think."
"Rogue, get down to business."
"It's done now?"
"If you play hooligan again, I will kill you.",
Lu Xinyue raised her fist to threaten.
Shen Jiannan remained unmoved, holding the catkin in his hand and still smiling playfully.
"Guess it."
"Hmph! People can guess and ask you!"
Lu Xinyueqiong's nose wrinkled slightly when she was so cute, causing Shen Jiannan to twitch her index finger.
"You promise me one condition. I'll tell you."
"What conditions."
Shen Jiannan said with a wicked smile.
"Judge Han Chuo parked in Qinhuai."
"..."
Lu Xinyue's face was blushing leisurely, and her eyes were full of resentment, but in the look of anticipation from her lover, she still obeyed the bastard's intentions.
After a long time, Lu Xinyue raised her head and straightened her scattered hair, her eyes were full of mist, looking at her family who had no regular lover all day long.
"I'm satisfied now."
satisfaction.
Of course I am satisfied.
Lu Xinyue is no better than Aso Zhiyue and Xinchuan Masako, to be able to achieve this step, it is not because she loves someone very much, how can she be willing.
Shen Jiannan felt great love and pity, and pulled him into his arms. The orchid breath came from the tip of his nose, and he felt the tenderness and delicacy in his arms, which made people feel infinitely satisfied.
"You said what would happen if we bought a $[-] million credit default swap and Thailand's real estate collapsed."
Lu Xinyue wriggled her throat and thought about it.
But still, I didn't think of the possibility of a collapse in Thailand's real estate.
"It's impossible. Thailand's economy is developing very well, and there is no reason for it to collapse."
"You forgot neon."
"Neon is different. Didn't you say that Neon chose to give in? There is no reason for Thailand to do so, and it is impossible to do so."
"That's right. If you think so, HSBC will definitely think so too. Otherwise, how could it be possible to do business with us knowing that it will lose money."
"You are smart."
"Of course. If I'm not smart, how can I get both money and money."
"It's cheap and good. Bad stuff."
"Want something bad?"
"Damn it. Get down to business."
"Thailand is one of the leaders of ASEAN. Now that the Soviet Union is in jeopardy and the Cold War is over, do you think that when the United States recovers, it will give ASEAN a chance to grow?"
"..."
The autumn wind did not move the cicadas foreknowledge.
History has already proved that the development and economic operation of things have their tracks and precursors.
Based on this logic.
A large part of HSBC's wealth management products in Asia are invested in the financial and real estate industries in Southeast Asian countries.
How could HSBC do this if it didn't see the opportunity.
The current economies of Southeast Asian countries are just like the bull market that has just started in the securities market. People’s income is good, their willingness to buy houses with loans is increasing, and housing prices are rising steadily. The economic cycle of the real estate industry is moving for decades or even upwards. For a hundred years, the situation is very good, how can it be possible to say that it will fall.
HSBC Building, VIP reception room on the top floor.
Meriwether looked at Shen Jiannan like a fool. After confirming that Shen Jiannan was not joking, Meriweather's face twisted while holding back a smile.
Thailand, but the country second only to Singapore among Southeast Asian countries, has fully liberalized its financial market. God knows how much capital will continue to flow into Thailand.
"Are you sure you want to target real estate in Thailand?"
"of course."
"how do you want to do it?"
Shen Jiannan raised his eyebrows, took a sip of the free coffee from HSBC.
With HSBC's net worth to receive the highest-level customers, it is natural not to prepare rubbish.
unknown coffee.
Bitter with mellow, but the taste is really not bad.
"I want your bank to tailor a financial contract for me, and then use the contract to short."
"What good advice do you have?"
"For example, take the current prices of all real estate properties in the capital of Thailand as the subject matter to make a comprehensive weighted average house price index, and then based on this weighted average index, your bank will create a standardized financial contract for me."
Chapter 10 I am worried that your bank has no money to compensate me
Done.
Shen Jiannan started to taste the free coffee, and Charlie Cao immediately took out the contract he had prepared and handed it to the HSBC team.
There are five copies in total, one for each person.
The HSBC group looked at each other with a suppressed smile on their faces, and they had to grit their teeth and restrain themselves.
This is well prepared.
How arrogant and defiant it would take to be so stupid.
The market has already proved an idiom.
The strong stay strong.
Thailand came from behind to stand out from the four tigers and ranked first. Thanks to the opening of the Bank of Thailand to the financial market, it will attract capital from all over the world to Thailand like a magnet.
With the influx of countless capitals, it is impossible for Thai real estate to fall even if they want to.
stupid?
From the perspective of HSBC, this is indeed a very stupid investment, and from the perspective of Shen Jiannan, this is also a very stupid investment.In other words, anyone who is proficient in economics, finance, and trading, etc., will feel that this is a very stupid investment.
Whether it is securities, futures, resources, etc., there will be a certain pattern in the rise and fall of its price.
This pattern can be called a trend.
The formation of a trend is caused by a combination of various reasons. It can be said to be the general trend, or it can be said to be the inevitable result of the game of various comprehensive factors.
Just like countless small rivers flowing into a big river, the roar of the big river can hardly be resisted.
Simply put, the formation of a trend does not happen in a day.
In the same way, when a trend comes to an end, it will not collapse in a day.
In terms of probability and statistics.
in an uptrend.
The probability of reaching the highest level is very low.
Calculated on the basis of 360 five days per year, then there is only one peak in this year. If statistics are made over ten years, then this probability is one in 650.
The real estate industry has a cycle of several decades, so the probability of the price becoming the highest is one in tens of thousands.
This is one of the simplest logic math problems.
But because of the simplicity.
It is as simple as the securities market, the futures market, or the material and real estate markets.
There will always be people who think they can sell the highest or buy the lowest.
Every year, every day.
In a falling market, there will always be countless smart people who choose to buy and buy bottoms, and in a rising market, there will always be countless smart people who choose to short sell.
Human beings are smart in that they like to complicate simple things.
In this regard, Cohen Meriwether has seen too much.
If you are reluctant to bear meat, you will not be able to catch wolves.
Shen Jiannan was well aware of Meriwether's thoughts.
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