Reborn 60 years ago, became a god thanks to the prophet
Chapter 402 Just don’t understand
"Then?"
Under Ye Chen's playful and smiling expression.
After being stunned, Li Changfeng continued, "Brother Ye, now countless capital speculators have poured into the international crude oil industry, and no one is even willing to sell in the futures market. It can be foreseen that on the other side of the ocean and in the Middle East, Under the war and conflict, the price of international crude oil is bound to soar again and again. At the moment, it is said that many capital speculators are crazy about bargain hunting. Although the current price of international crude oil is only more than forty dollars, many capital speculators have already I offered fifty dollars or even more, just to seize this opportunity!"
"what are you thinking?"
Instead of immediately rushing to play devil's advocate, Ye Chen put away his fun and asked seriously.
"Brother Ye, based on the summary of information from various sources, I think this wave of international crude oil price increases will definitely exceed 100 US dollars. This possibility is more than 90.00%. But you said before that it could only rise by 50.00% at most. At that time you You may not have expected that many people in the Middle East would be killed and injured in an air strike on the other side of the ocean, and the general-level commander in the Middle East would also be killed. Otherwise, your expectation would definitely be more than just a 50.00% price increase. It is precisely because For these reasons, I came with Jingshan and wanted to hear your next analysis and judgment!" Li Changfeng said.
"Are you certain that the price of crude oil will exceed 100 US dollars a barrel? You want to get the corresponding recognition from me that you are certain, right?" Ye Chen said.
Li Changfeng hid it without any pretense.
nodded.
"Brother Ye, it is undeniable that I really want to get recognition from you regarding the fact that the price of crude oil will exceed 100 US dollars a barrel in the future! However, I think that international crude oil will be affected by the war and conflicts between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean. It’s not just me who has broken through the $100 mark, there are also many capital speculators who have entered the market!”
however.
Ye Chen shook his head.
Said, "I understand your determination, but I still maintain my previous view, fifty points at most! International crude oil cannot break through the 100 US dollar mark, let alone 100 US dollars, it is estimated that it will not be able to break through 70 US dollars!"
"Brother Ye, you..." Li Changfeng frowned.
He wanted to question Ye Chen's statement, but he couldn't say those words.
As far as the current situation is concerned, once the Middle East launches a retaliatory counterattack against the other side of the ocean, it will mean that the Middle East will once again become a meat grinding ground. In this case, $100 a barrel of crude oil?This is still relatively cheap!
"I know that the reason why you...including those capital speculators you call so sure that crude oil will see a crazy surge exceeding $100 is based on your belief that the war and conflict between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean will evolve into an incandescent fight! It is true that if the conflict really reaches the stage of incandescence, the crude oil price of 100 US dollars per barrel must be a certainty, and even the starting point of the price! But what if the conflict does not develop to that extent? What if it becomes a thunder in the end? What if the sound is loud and the raindrops are small? Do you think there is still the possibility of such a crazy surge?"
Ye Chen continued, "I remember I told you before in the Cloud Cafe that I think the conflict is limited. Even if there are many casualties in the Middle East, even if even general-level commanders are killed, I I still don’t think the two sides will come to the point of life and death! It’s very simple. First, the other side of the ocean will no longer fight this kind of war. Second, the Middle East side doesn’t want to get itself involved in this kind of war vortex anymore. If we really start fighting, it will only be a lose-lose situation, but the current situation is that neither side can afford to lose!"
"Brother Ye, this isn't right. If there won't be such wars on the other side of the ocean, then they provoked conflicts and killed the other party's general-level commanders. What's the point? Also, everyone in the Middle East was What happened to the bullying? Now the whole country is furious, and the Middle East has even issued wild words of revenge to the whole world. Is this justified if we don't start a fight?" Zhang Jingshan immediately followed.
Li Changfeng, who had wanted to respond, stopped speaking now, obviously agreeing with Zhang Jingshan's thoughts.
"Yes, what you said is correct, but if you want to ask what is being planned on the other side of the ocean, I guess no one can answer this question. After all, the person who gives the orders is the lunatic who does not act according to common sense. It may be his whim, it may be He was bored and wanted to find something to do to keep him entertained! As for the Middle East, let alone the people, no matter how angry the people are, when it comes to a war with unimaginable consequences, it is impossible for their senior officials to follow the public opinion below. Let's do something, don't look at the joyful shouting in the Middle East, if they can find a step, this storm will probably be over!" Ye Chen said.
"No, if it's really what you said, Brother Ye, then wouldn't this be too bloody?" Zhang Jingshan was confused.
"Yes, it's so bloody! It's just because the person at the helm on the other side of the ocean is a lunatic who doesn't act according to common sense. He only cares about his heartbeat and his head, and he doesn't care about the consequences!" Ye Chen said.
"So what do you think, Brother Yiye, is that there will definitely be no war between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean?" Li Changfeng frowned.
He still more or less reserved his own opinions on Ye Chen's analysis.
At this point, is it possible for this conflict to end peacefully?
If the Middle East does not retaliate, the other side of the ocean may not necessarily accept the situation as soon as it gets better. In this way, the possibility of a violent escalation of the conflict may be reduced to a very low level.
but.
The Middle East has been attacked in this way, and the public opinion in the country is so angry that they want everyone to carry guns and march into the battlefield. Is it possible that the Middle East, which has already sent a counterattack signal, can endure the humiliation and stop?
This is unrealistic!
And if the Middle East launches a counterattack, in the name of the self-proclaimed world hegemon on the other side of the ocean, how can it pay to withdraw its troops and settle the matter?
No, this is unjustifiable, or impossible!
No matter how incomprehensible the lunatic on the other side of the ocean is who occasionally has fits of psychosis, it is impossible for him to make the kind of concessions that will calm down the situation in the context of personally provoking a war...
However, this time, he, Li Changfeng, overestimated the other party...
"If we can't fight, at most the Middle East will make some so-called counterattacks that may seem like a big fight but are actually not very powerful, just to find a way forward for ourselves!" Ye Chen said lightly.
"Is this the case on the other side of the ocean?" Li Changfeng's frown became more intense.
He really doesn't understand——
"Otherwise? Fighting with the Middle East? What are you trying to achieve? Are they successful? Have they paid a small price in the Middle East over the years? Are they going to fall into the quagmire of war again? You must know that this is different from the past. Those opponents we face this time will be enough to cause them trouble once they go crazy!" Ye Chen said.
"In this case, why are they provoking war and conflict on the other side of the ocean? I still can't figure it out. If it is like what you said, Brother Ye, then the other side of the ocean will be embarrassed and frustrated this time. It's damaging to the image!" Li Changfeng shook his head.
"It's okay if you can't figure it out. I can't figure it out either!" Ye Chen smiled.
Li Changfeng fell into a puzzled silence.
After a brief moment.
Ye Chen chuckled and said, "You came to me specifically to support your analysis. Why, 50.00% profit can't satisfy you. Are you still thinking of moving to a higher position?"
Under Ye Chen's playful and smiling expression.
After being stunned, Li Changfeng continued, "Brother Ye, now countless capital speculators have poured into the international crude oil industry, and no one is even willing to sell in the futures market. It can be foreseen that on the other side of the ocean and in the Middle East, Under the war and conflict, the price of international crude oil is bound to soar again and again. At the moment, it is said that many capital speculators are crazy about bargain hunting. Although the current price of international crude oil is only more than forty dollars, many capital speculators have already I offered fifty dollars or even more, just to seize this opportunity!"
"what are you thinking?"
Instead of immediately rushing to play devil's advocate, Ye Chen put away his fun and asked seriously.
"Brother Ye, based on the summary of information from various sources, I think this wave of international crude oil price increases will definitely exceed 100 US dollars. This possibility is more than 90.00%. But you said before that it could only rise by 50.00% at most. At that time you You may not have expected that many people in the Middle East would be killed and injured in an air strike on the other side of the ocean, and the general-level commander in the Middle East would also be killed. Otherwise, your expectation would definitely be more than just a 50.00% price increase. It is precisely because For these reasons, I came with Jingshan and wanted to hear your next analysis and judgment!" Li Changfeng said.
"Are you certain that the price of crude oil will exceed 100 US dollars a barrel? You want to get the corresponding recognition from me that you are certain, right?" Ye Chen said.
Li Changfeng hid it without any pretense.
nodded.
"Brother Ye, it is undeniable that I really want to get recognition from you regarding the fact that the price of crude oil will exceed 100 US dollars a barrel in the future! However, I think that international crude oil will be affected by the war and conflicts between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean. It’s not just me who has broken through the $100 mark, there are also many capital speculators who have entered the market!”
however.
Ye Chen shook his head.
Said, "I understand your determination, but I still maintain my previous view, fifty points at most! International crude oil cannot break through the 100 US dollar mark, let alone 100 US dollars, it is estimated that it will not be able to break through 70 US dollars!"
"Brother Ye, you..." Li Changfeng frowned.
He wanted to question Ye Chen's statement, but he couldn't say those words.
As far as the current situation is concerned, once the Middle East launches a retaliatory counterattack against the other side of the ocean, it will mean that the Middle East will once again become a meat grinding ground. In this case, $100 a barrel of crude oil?This is still relatively cheap!
"I know that the reason why you...including those capital speculators you call so sure that crude oil will see a crazy surge exceeding $100 is based on your belief that the war and conflict between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean will evolve into an incandescent fight! It is true that if the conflict really reaches the stage of incandescence, the crude oil price of 100 US dollars per barrel must be a certainty, and even the starting point of the price! But what if the conflict does not develop to that extent? What if it becomes a thunder in the end? What if the sound is loud and the raindrops are small? Do you think there is still the possibility of such a crazy surge?"
Ye Chen continued, "I remember I told you before in the Cloud Cafe that I think the conflict is limited. Even if there are many casualties in the Middle East, even if even general-level commanders are killed, I I still don’t think the two sides will come to the point of life and death! It’s very simple. First, the other side of the ocean will no longer fight this kind of war. Second, the Middle East side doesn’t want to get itself involved in this kind of war vortex anymore. If we really start fighting, it will only be a lose-lose situation, but the current situation is that neither side can afford to lose!"
"Brother Ye, this isn't right. If there won't be such wars on the other side of the ocean, then they provoked conflicts and killed the other party's general-level commanders. What's the point? Also, everyone in the Middle East was What happened to the bullying? Now the whole country is furious, and the Middle East has even issued wild words of revenge to the whole world. Is this justified if we don't start a fight?" Zhang Jingshan immediately followed.
Li Changfeng, who had wanted to respond, stopped speaking now, obviously agreeing with Zhang Jingshan's thoughts.
"Yes, what you said is correct, but if you want to ask what is being planned on the other side of the ocean, I guess no one can answer this question. After all, the person who gives the orders is the lunatic who does not act according to common sense. It may be his whim, it may be He was bored and wanted to find something to do to keep him entertained! As for the Middle East, let alone the people, no matter how angry the people are, when it comes to a war with unimaginable consequences, it is impossible for their senior officials to follow the public opinion below. Let's do something, don't look at the joyful shouting in the Middle East, if they can find a step, this storm will probably be over!" Ye Chen said.
"No, if it's really what you said, Brother Ye, then wouldn't this be too bloody?" Zhang Jingshan was confused.
"Yes, it's so bloody! It's just because the person at the helm on the other side of the ocean is a lunatic who doesn't act according to common sense. He only cares about his heartbeat and his head, and he doesn't care about the consequences!" Ye Chen said.
"So what do you think, Brother Yiye, is that there will definitely be no war between the Middle East and the other side of the ocean?" Li Changfeng frowned.
He still more or less reserved his own opinions on Ye Chen's analysis.
At this point, is it possible for this conflict to end peacefully?
If the Middle East does not retaliate, the other side of the ocean may not necessarily accept the situation as soon as it gets better. In this way, the possibility of a violent escalation of the conflict may be reduced to a very low level.
but.
The Middle East has been attacked in this way, and the public opinion in the country is so angry that they want everyone to carry guns and march into the battlefield. Is it possible that the Middle East, which has already sent a counterattack signal, can endure the humiliation and stop?
This is unrealistic!
And if the Middle East launches a counterattack, in the name of the self-proclaimed world hegemon on the other side of the ocean, how can it pay to withdraw its troops and settle the matter?
No, this is unjustifiable, or impossible!
No matter how incomprehensible the lunatic on the other side of the ocean is who occasionally has fits of psychosis, it is impossible for him to make the kind of concessions that will calm down the situation in the context of personally provoking a war...
However, this time, he, Li Changfeng, overestimated the other party...
"If we can't fight, at most the Middle East will make some so-called counterattacks that may seem like a big fight but are actually not very powerful, just to find a way forward for ourselves!" Ye Chen said lightly.
"Is this the case on the other side of the ocean?" Li Changfeng's frown became more intense.
He really doesn't understand——
"Otherwise? Fighting with the Middle East? What are you trying to achieve? Are they successful? Have they paid a small price in the Middle East over the years? Are they going to fall into the quagmire of war again? You must know that this is different from the past. Those opponents we face this time will be enough to cause them trouble once they go crazy!" Ye Chen said.
"In this case, why are they provoking war and conflict on the other side of the ocean? I still can't figure it out. If it is like what you said, Brother Ye, then the other side of the ocean will be embarrassed and frustrated this time. It's damaging to the image!" Li Changfeng shook his head.
"It's okay if you can't figure it out. I can't figure it out either!" Ye Chen smiled.
Li Changfeng fell into a puzzled silence.
After a brief moment.
Ye Chen chuckled and said, "You came to me specifically to support your analysis. Why, 50.00% profit can't satisfy you. Are you still thinking of moving to a higher position?"
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