Rebirth in 1989: Creating the Chinese Technology Empire
Chapter 39: Lecture to the Boss: On the reasons why the Gulf War must be fought
"Commanders, I don't know if you have noticed. This period here is a bit uneasy..."
Xu Huasheng walked to the world map and pointed directly to Iraq.
"Dear heads, the eight-year Iran-Iraq war has left Iraq heavily in debt, and weak Kuwait is one of Iraq's largest creditors. In the past two years, Iraq has been trying to join forces with OPEC to reduce production and increase oil prices. However, Kuwait not only failed to cooperate with Iraq's production reduction and price increase, Instead, it increased production and went against Iraq. The reason for this is very simple. Kuwait and Iraq have border disputes, and Kuwait wants to use this matter to force Iraq to compromise..."
Xu Huasheng's words made several leaders nod. They knew this.
"But Kuwait made the wrong calculation this time. Who is Saddam? Would such an arrogant person agree to this? Saddam has always felt that Iraq serves as a buffer zone between Arab countries and Iran. The Iran-Iraq war is a substitute for Iraq. It was the Arab countries that suffered the pain of the war. So Saddam has been asking Saudi Arabia and Kuwait to forgive Iraq's tens of billions of debts in the past two years. Do you think Saudi Arabia and Kuwait will agree to this request?"
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone laugh. What a joke, I wouldn't agree if I were the one.Whose money is blown by the strong wind, not to mention that this is tens of billions of dollars in debt.
"Everyone looks at the location of Kuwait. This is the throat for Western countries to transport oil to them from the Middle East. The Soviet Union must also know this. So, I guess that the Soviet Union will never let go of this opportunity, and they will definitely encourage Saada behind his back. Well, as long as Iraq occupies Kuwait, it will be equivalent to the Soviet Union blocking the throat of Western oil. At that time, Western countries will have only two choices for Iraq, to fight or not to fight..."
Xu Huarong's words made everyone couldn't help but nod. It seemed that this was really what happened.With the Soviet style of doing things, this would definitely be done.The Soviet Union was too good at playing the proxy war routine.
"If we fight, Western countries may fall into the quagmire of war. By then, this may become the second Afghan battlefield. If we fight for ten or eight years, it will directly drag down the Western countries led by the United States to death. Even if it cannot be delayed, it can be alleviated. Soviet pressure.”
"If we don't fight, the oil lifeline of Western countries will be in the hands of the Soviet Union. When the Soviet Union wants to raise prices, it will raise prices, and if it wants to ruthlessly slaughter Western countries, it will ruthlessly..."
"As long as Iraq invades Kuwait, whether the Western countries fight or not, the Soviet Union will win..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone look serious.They figured this out instantly.
This move is not a loss at all.Fighting or not fighting, the Soviet Union would take advantage.
"So, I guess that Iraq will definitely invade Kuwait, and it must invade Kuwait, because the Soviet Union will not allow it not to invade. From Iraq's perspective, Iraq's successful invasion of Kuwait will have many benefits. Not only will Iraq save hundreds of With a debt of [-] million, Kuwait can still be included in the pocket, which has [-]% of the world's oil reserves. By then, Iraq will not only increase oil prices, but also have more oil. With Saddam's character, how could he let it go? What about this opportunity? You know, Saddam always thought he was the third best in the world..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone's eyes instantly clear. The situation turned out to be so clear.
Now they understood why Xu Huasheng wanted to speculate in oil.Because once Iraq invades Kuwait, international oil prices will definitely soar.
"What if Iraq doesn't invade?"
An old man couldn't help but ask.
"If you don't invade, you won't invade. If you don't invade, the international oil price will not plummet. Now global oil demand is strong. In the future, with the economic development of various countries, global oil demand will definitely continue to increase. The possibility of a plunge in oil prices is very small... "
Xu Li's words made everyone suddenly realize.
Yes, oil prices are not volatile at present. With the development of the global economy, the demand for oil will definitely increase, so the price of oil will definitely rise.
Stock trading, isn’t it just about the probability?
"Little guy, if Iraq really occupied Kuwait, what do you think would happen? Would the United States dare to take action?"
The old man asked curiously.This question also made everyone look at Xu Huasheng.
"It's not a question of whether you dare or not, but the United States and they will definitely take action."
Xu Huasheng said directly.
"why?"
An old man couldn't help but ask, Xu Huasheng's words are so certain.
"It's very simple. First, it is absolutely impossible for the United States and Western countries to allow Iraq to challenge their authority and the world order they have created. Especially the petrodollar system created by the United States, which will be the biggest weapon for the United States to rob the world in the future. Who dares to challenge This system is the absolute enemy of the United States, and it is the lifeblood of the United States..."
Xu Huasheng said seriously, which made these old people think deeply.They have also been discussing the petrodollar system in recent years, and some have even seen the nature of the petrodollar.
"Second, the United States needed a war to kill the Soviet Union..."
When Xu Huasheng said the second sentence, everyone's expressions changed.
"Little guy, your words are too alarmist. Can the United States kill the Soviet Union? You know the Soviet Union is the most powerful country in the world..."
An old man retorted directly, with a serious expression.Hearing this, Xu Huasheng laughed.
"Chief, the Soviet Union used to be the most powerful country. But it is not necessarily the case now. Although the Soviet Union has the most powerful military power in the world, its economy is in a mess. There is serious domestic corruption and a shortage of daily necessities. The people They don’t have enough to eat, but the oligarchs eat with tears. Why did the Soviet Union withdraw its troops from Afghanistan? It’s not because it ran out of money. Leaders, the giant Soviet Union is sick, and it’s terminally ill. It can’t hold on any longer. Say no. To put it nicely, leaders, why do we need to reform and open up?”
Xu Huasheng's rhetorical question made everyone suddenly look serious.
Why?It’s not because it won’t work if I don’t change it.
The boss also looked at Xu Huasheng. Today, Xu Huasheng gave him too much shock.
This vision, this overall view of the world, this judgment of various situations, are amazing.
"Little guy, are you saying that if the United States takes action, the Soviet Union will not send troops?"
The boss asked directly, Xu Huasheng nodded.
"The Soviet Union no longer has the ability to send troops. Chief, you should have some understanding of the current situation in the Soviet Union. The country is in a mess now, and the Soviet Union has no ability to send troops to fight the United States face to face. The most it can do is support Iraq secretly. What a pity. …”
Xu Huasheng sighed, which made everyone curious again.
“Iraq must lose?”
An old man asked rhetorically.
"There is no doubt that it will fail, and it will be a clean defeat. Leaders, if this war starts, the United States will never let it drag on for too long. The United States has a deep memory of the lessons of the Vietnam War. Once the war starts, you will know that steel The torrent is outdated. The war of the future will be precise, informatized, and integrated with air and space."
Xu Huasheng said directly, which made everyone's eyes widen with disbelief on their faces.
Xu Huasheng walked to the world map and pointed directly to Iraq.
"Dear heads, the eight-year Iran-Iraq war has left Iraq heavily in debt, and weak Kuwait is one of Iraq's largest creditors. In the past two years, Iraq has been trying to join forces with OPEC to reduce production and increase oil prices. However, Kuwait not only failed to cooperate with Iraq's production reduction and price increase, Instead, it increased production and went against Iraq. The reason for this is very simple. Kuwait and Iraq have border disputes, and Kuwait wants to use this matter to force Iraq to compromise..."
Xu Huasheng's words made several leaders nod. They knew this.
"But Kuwait made the wrong calculation this time. Who is Saddam? Would such an arrogant person agree to this? Saddam has always felt that Iraq serves as a buffer zone between Arab countries and Iran. The Iran-Iraq war is a substitute for Iraq. It was the Arab countries that suffered the pain of the war. So Saddam has been asking Saudi Arabia and Kuwait to forgive Iraq's tens of billions of debts in the past two years. Do you think Saudi Arabia and Kuwait will agree to this request?"
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone laugh. What a joke, I wouldn't agree if I were the one.Whose money is blown by the strong wind, not to mention that this is tens of billions of dollars in debt.
"Everyone looks at the location of Kuwait. This is the throat for Western countries to transport oil to them from the Middle East. The Soviet Union must also know this. So, I guess that the Soviet Union will never let go of this opportunity, and they will definitely encourage Saada behind his back. Well, as long as Iraq occupies Kuwait, it will be equivalent to the Soviet Union blocking the throat of Western oil. At that time, Western countries will have only two choices for Iraq, to fight or not to fight..."
Xu Huarong's words made everyone couldn't help but nod. It seemed that this was really what happened.With the Soviet style of doing things, this would definitely be done.The Soviet Union was too good at playing the proxy war routine.
"If we fight, Western countries may fall into the quagmire of war. By then, this may become the second Afghan battlefield. If we fight for ten or eight years, it will directly drag down the Western countries led by the United States to death. Even if it cannot be delayed, it can be alleviated. Soviet pressure.”
"If we don't fight, the oil lifeline of Western countries will be in the hands of the Soviet Union. When the Soviet Union wants to raise prices, it will raise prices, and if it wants to ruthlessly slaughter Western countries, it will ruthlessly..."
"As long as Iraq invades Kuwait, whether the Western countries fight or not, the Soviet Union will win..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone look serious.They figured this out instantly.
This move is not a loss at all.Fighting or not fighting, the Soviet Union would take advantage.
"So, I guess that Iraq will definitely invade Kuwait, and it must invade Kuwait, because the Soviet Union will not allow it not to invade. From Iraq's perspective, Iraq's successful invasion of Kuwait will have many benefits. Not only will Iraq save hundreds of With a debt of [-] million, Kuwait can still be included in the pocket, which has [-]% of the world's oil reserves. By then, Iraq will not only increase oil prices, but also have more oil. With Saddam's character, how could he let it go? What about this opportunity? You know, Saddam always thought he was the third best in the world..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone's eyes instantly clear. The situation turned out to be so clear.
Now they understood why Xu Huasheng wanted to speculate in oil.Because once Iraq invades Kuwait, international oil prices will definitely soar.
"What if Iraq doesn't invade?"
An old man couldn't help but ask.
"If you don't invade, you won't invade. If you don't invade, the international oil price will not plummet. Now global oil demand is strong. In the future, with the economic development of various countries, global oil demand will definitely continue to increase. The possibility of a plunge in oil prices is very small... "
Xu Li's words made everyone suddenly realize.
Yes, oil prices are not volatile at present. With the development of the global economy, the demand for oil will definitely increase, so the price of oil will definitely rise.
Stock trading, isn’t it just about the probability?
"Little guy, if Iraq really occupied Kuwait, what do you think would happen? Would the United States dare to take action?"
The old man asked curiously.This question also made everyone look at Xu Huasheng.
"It's not a question of whether you dare or not, but the United States and they will definitely take action."
Xu Huasheng said directly.
"why?"
An old man couldn't help but ask, Xu Huasheng's words are so certain.
"It's very simple. First, it is absolutely impossible for the United States and Western countries to allow Iraq to challenge their authority and the world order they have created. Especially the petrodollar system created by the United States, which will be the biggest weapon for the United States to rob the world in the future. Who dares to challenge This system is the absolute enemy of the United States, and it is the lifeblood of the United States..."
Xu Huasheng said seriously, which made these old people think deeply.They have also been discussing the petrodollar system in recent years, and some have even seen the nature of the petrodollar.
"Second, the United States needed a war to kill the Soviet Union..."
When Xu Huasheng said the second sentence, everyone's expressions changed.
"Little guy, your words are too alarmist. Can the United States kill the Soviet Union? You know the Soviet Union is the most powerful country in the world..."
An old man retorted directly, with a serious expression.Hearing this, Xu Huasheng laughed.
"Chief, the Soviet Union used to be the most powerful country. But it is not necessarily the case now. Although the Soviet Union has the most powerful military power in the world, its economy is in a mess. There is serious domestic corruption and a shortage of daily necessities. The people They don’t have enough to eat, but the oligarchs eat with tears. Why did the Soviet Union withdraw its troops from Afghanistan? It’s not because it ran out of money. Leaders, the giant Soviet Union is sick, and it’s terminally ill. It can’t hold on any longer. Say no. To put it nicely, leaders, why do we need to reform and open up?”
Xu Huasheng's rhetorical question made everyone suddenly look serious.
Why?It’s not because it won’t work if I don’t change it.
The boss also looked at Xu Huasheng. Today, Xu Huasheng gave him too much shock.
This vision, this overall view of the world, this judgment of various situations, are amazing.
"Little guy, are you saying that if the United States takes action, the Soviet Union will not send troops?"
The boss asked directly, Xu Huasheng nodded.
"The Soviet Union no longer has the ability to send troops. Chief, you should have some understanding of the current situation in the Soviet Union. The country is in a mess now, and the Soviet Union has no ability to send troops to fight the United States face to face. The most it can do is support Iraq secretly. What a pity. …”
Xu Huasheng sighed, which made everyone curious again.
“Iraq must lose?”
An old man asked rhetorically.
"There is no doubt that it will fail, and it will be a clean defeat. Leaders, if this war starts, the United States will never let it drag on for too long. The United States has a deep memory of the lessons of the Vietnam War. Once the war starts, you will know that steel The torrent is outdated. The war of the future will be precise, informatized, and integrated with air and space."
Xu Huasheng said directly, which made everyone's eyes widen with disbelief on their faces.
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