My 1999
Chapter 279 Shocking and enlightening
Xu Liang smiled, retracted his gaze and continued: "Netflix is just one case of the Internet, and more cases are emerging now.
For example, Hongmeng Music and Napster have subverted the record industry. I can conclude that it will not be long before music CDs will no longer be ordinary consumer goods, but exclusive to collectors.
Online music will completely surpass offline and become the main form of music promotion.
Similar examples include games, novels, film and television, advertising, etc. Computers and the Internet will bring profound changes to this society.
This will be the era of Web2.0, or the era of PC.
The main feature of this era is B2C in a broad sense.
That is, institutions and individuals.
It is more professional and sophisticated than the Web1.0 "portal era" in the barbaric period.
But B2C is not the end, but the beginning of everything.
Everyone knows Moore's Law.
The number of transistors that can be accommodated on an integrated circuit doubles every 18 to 24 months. In other words, processor performance doubles roughly every two years while prices drop to half what they were previously.
Therefore, we can understand one thing. With the advancement of hardware technology, computers will become smaller and smaller, and the network speed will become faster and faster.
Then we will enter a new era, Web3.0 - the mobile Internet era.
The sign of this era is that mobile phones will replace computers and become the new terminal of the Internet.
Some people may think that this era is still far away.
But I want to tell you that it will come to us within ten years at most, or even less.
Whoever can seize it will become an entrepreneurial leader in the new era. "
After a pause for everyone to digest, Xu Liang continued.
"Some people may have asked, what will happen after the mobile era?
I boldly predict that it should be the ‘artificial intelligence era’.
Why?
it's actually really easy.
As mobile phones become Internet terminals, there are billions of people in the world, and everyone is generating a large amount of information every day. This huge amount of information requires powerful supercomputers and databases.
It's too huge.
If you want to find the data you want from these vast databases, you need very, very clever algorithms. The advancement of algorithms will give rise to simple artificial intelligence.
The progress of artificial intelligence will greatly improve the efficiency of production and life, and profoundly change the social division of labor. "
After finishing his words, looking at the silent conference room and the students who were listening attentively with thoughtful eyes, Xu Liang smiled and said: "This is the Internet as I understand it.
The portal era, the PC era, the mobile era and the era of artificial intelligence. As for longer-term changes, I'm sorry, I am not an omnipotent god and cannot see that far.
Okay, I’ll stop here today, I hope you all like it. "
Wow….
Thunderous applause sounded, and many people stood up excitedly.
Reed Hastings next to him couldn't help but look respectful.
After a long time, the applause subsided slightly.
Peter Elkind picked up the microphone and said with emotion: "There are always many geniuses in the world who can guide the public in the way forward, so that our society can develop better, so that the public and the people can have a better future.
There is no doubt that Mr. Xu is such a genius.
His four eras are thought-provoking and impressive.
I think today's speech will definitely affect the entire Internet and even the entire technology industry, allowing more people to enter this industry and changing the development pattern of the technology industry.
Let us once again give our most sincere and respectful applause to Mr. Xu for his wonderful speech. "
Wow….
More intense applause broke out.
Xu Liang's "Four Era" speech based on the experience of his previous life is in line with the reality of social development and is more deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.
After the applause stopped, Peter Elkind looked at Xu Liang.
"Mr. Xu, next is the question-asking session for students. How many questions are you going to answer?"
"Same as Mr. Hastings, three."
"good."
Elkind looked down, "Let's see who are the three lucky ones today?"
Wow….
All arms were raised.
Almost everyone raised their hands, and the scale was far greater than when Hastings had spoken previously.
"Mr. Xu, why don't you choose it yourself?"
Xu Liang nodded, picked up the microphone in his hand, searched around it, and then reached out and pointed.
"Third row, the classmate in the red coat."
A very beautiful white girl wearing a red trench coat and long blond shawl hair stood up.
For Xu Liang, a scumbag, beautiful girls make him more interested in communication.
"Mr. Xu, I am Natalie McLean from the School of Finance. You can call me Natalie."
"Okay, classmate Natalie, do you have anything to ask?"
"Do you have a girlfriend? What kind of girl do you like?"
Xu Liang was stunned.
Many people were also a little surprised.
But the girls all understood that this Bitchi asked the question they wanted to ask the most.
Who doesn’t want an entrepreneurial elite who is young, rich, and has a bright future? Most importantly, he is handsome.
Xu Liang shook his head inwardly, Western girls are unrestrained.
"Thank you for asking, but I already have a girlfriend. As for what kind of girl I like? Haha, like all young men, I like beautiful and young girls."
"Ha ha……."
Most of the men in the auditorium laughed like they were like-minded.
As for the remaining small part, according to the later classification methods of the United States and the United States, they belong to the middle group.
What a genius idea.
Afraid that Natalie would ask some embarrassing questions, Peter Elkind quickly interrupted.
"Let's move on to the next question."
Xu Liang didn't want to be asked personal questions, so he cooperated by calling someone with obvious East Asian appearance.
"Hello, Mr. Xu. I admire your conclusion of the 'Four Era' very much. I would like to ask, if you choose to start a business, which direction do you think will have a higher success rate?"
Xu Liang picked up the microphone and said, "I'm afraid this is also a question that most people here want to know. Let me briefly explain it.
We will not talk about the portal era, it is now a thing of the past.
We are talking about the beginning of the PC era.
The hallmark of the PC era is the rapid growth in the number of Internet users and the growing demand for the Internet.
We all know that as the population increases, there will be a more detailed social division of labor.
The same goes for the Internet.
In the past, when we shopped online, we used complex shopping websites like Amazon and eBay. In the PC era, websites that specialize in selling women's shoes, men's clothing, or bags can also do well, or even be listed on the market.
I call this kind of website ‘category e-commerce’ or ‘vertical e-commerce’. In investment terms, it can be called a ‘branch track’ on the ‘e-commerce’ track.
In the future, there will be many websites that focus on specialized content, which is also a direction for your business.
Then we can use Mr. Hastings’ Netflix example again.
The Internet has subverted DVD rental. In the same way, you can subvert music, car rental, real estate, and even all walks of life in society. As long as you find the right method, you can create value.
Okay, let me just say this, hoping it can help you and other students. "
The student thanked him seriously and sat down.
There was a wave of applause.
"A very wonderful answer. Mr. Xu's words gave me the urge to start a business." After Peter Elkind finished speaking with a smile, he turned his eyes.
"Mr. Hastings, what do you think of Xu's answer?"
"It's very exciting. Mr. Xu's knowledge and understanding of the Internet exceeds mine. Especially the answer just now, if I didn't already have Netflix, I would definitely choose to start a business immediately."
"Thank you both. It's easy to talk about it. When you actually start a business, you will encounter all kinds of problems. It is very difficult to persevere and achieve success." Xu Liangdao.
Reed Hastings nodded in agreement.
"Okay, let's see who the third lucky winner is?"
Xu Liang randomly clicked on the white boy closest to him.
"Hello, Mr. Xu. I would like to know how long do you think it will take for the 'artificial intelligence era' you mentioned to appear? What is the basis for your judgment? Why artificial intelligence and not other new technologies such as computers and mobile phones? hardware?"
Xu Liang thought for a while, "You have three questions."
"Yes. I sincerely hope that I can continue to communicate with you instead of being restricted to a few issues."
Xu Liang nodded, "I can answer you, but my words only represent my personal views."
After a pause, he organized his words.
"Let me answer your first question. In fact, we already have artificial intelligence products, but their application scope is very narrow, such as smart homes.
We can call it level one ‘artificial intelligence’.
That is, objects and systems that cannot interact with humans for information.
Then there is the second level of ‘artificial intelligence’.
It can interact with humans for information, but its control program and database will not change since its birth. For example, chess, Texas Hold'em, etc. that are currently popular on the Internet are all applications of second-level artificial intelligence.
So we can see that level one and level two artificial intelligence are already around us.
But once ‘artificial intelligence’ reaches the third level, everything will change.
For example, the library system developed by Netflix can intelligently recommend movies according to members' preferences. It is a simple third-level artificial intelligence program.
It combines algorithms and large amounts of data to automatically filter out and recommend movies that customers like.
Therefore, we come to the judgment criteria for the third level of artificial intelligence: the ability to interact with humans and program and information upgrades through external devices. "
After speaking, Xu Liang paused for a moment. Many of his memories regarding the classification of artificial intelligence have been blurred.
So the language needs to be reorganized.
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