Soviet Union 1991

First update

In Victor's hand, he held a list of weapons handed to him by Yanayev. The list was divided into two parts, with a dense list of weapon types. If you look carefully, you will find that the items inside have long been eliminated by the front-line troops, and there are even some old items in stock. For example, SAM 7 anti-aircraft missiles, Buk anti-aircraft missiles, akm rifles replaced by the Russian army, and even a MiG fighter jet and some anti-aircraft artillery.

"Eh? General Secretary Yanayev, are you going to carry out a new round of arms replacement?" Victor asked curiously, but he took a closer look and found that there were some subtle differences between the two lists. One list is mainly composed of eliminated light weapons, which according to his keen vision are weapons more suitable for guerrilla warfare, while the other list is mainly composed of eliminated heavy weapons, and mostly consists of anti-aircraft weapons. Victor guessed that these two lists should be prepared for different customers.

As expected, Yanayev asked Victor a question, "Do you know anything about the current situation in Yugoslavia? I want to hear your views on Yugoslavia."

Victor was slightly startled. Did Yanayev mean that he wanted him to go to Yugoslavia to sell arms? Although a series of independence wars occurred last year, the countries of Yugoslavia are still in a peaceful period.

"I know. The Ten-Day War between Slovenia and the Yugoslav government in June last year had already begun their disintegration. The three main ethnic groups of Yugoslavia, Muslims, Serbs and Croats, had serious differences over the future of Bosnia and Herzegovina: The Muslims advocated secession from the former Yugoslavia. independence, establishing unity A centralized country; Croatia also advocates independence, but hopes to establish a loose confederal state; the Serbs firmly oppose the actions of the Muslims and Croats. Serbian President Milosevic even said that if Bosnia and Herzegovina dares to split, they will use iron. Maintain the integrity of the territory with blood.”

"But Milosevic can indeed do this. Serbia's fanatical nationalism over the past few decades has cultivated a large group of such crazy racist elements. What's more, when Yugoslavia withdrew from Bosnia and Herzegovina, it left a large number of Serbs behind. Officers and soldiers, as well as some heavy artillery, our Soviet tanks, and some fighter jets, without external interference, the Bosnian Serbs are much more likely to win than the Croats and Muslims.”

Victor almost blurted out the situation in Yugoslavia, for his part. Any country in the world where a local war breaks out is the focus of Victor's attention.

Yanayev nodded. On the 3rd of this month, the Bosnian Parliament will officially declare the independence of Bosnia and Herzegovina despite the objections of Serb members. Then next month, April 6th and 7th. The European Community and the United States have successively recognized Bosnia and Herzegovina's independent sovereignty. Then the Yugoslav Civil War broke out, which was the largest local war in Europe after the war.

Emotionally speaking, Yanayev did not like this socialist country that always hindered the Soviet Union from inserting its sphere of influence into the Mediterranean. After Tito's death and the loss of NATO assistance, Yugoslavia's economy declined day by day. It also caused ethnic conflicts that had been concealed by economic prosperity to resurface.

"Yes, Yugoslavia is now a precarious boat, and they are not far from death." Yanayev put down his pen and said to Victor, "Split is the general trend, even if Serbian President Milosevic And Karadzic of Bosnia and Herzegovina is just a pawn against the trend.”

Under the influence of Greater Serbism, Yugoslavia had actually lost control over the Muslims and Croats. The situation in Yugoslavia is different from that of the Soviet Union. Although the Soviet Union was almost disintegrated, in the final analysis, a major country with control over nuclear weapons is also one of the characters that the West is afraid of. However, Yugoslavia, which did not have any bargaining political capital, had no choice but to admit defeat when faced with NATO and United Nations sanctions.

"So these arms sales are all aimed at Croatia and Serbia?" Victor asked. He could vaguely guess what the General Secretary wanted to do, but he did not dare to say it too explicitly.

"The first list, yes, is mainly a list of light weapons, mortars and some anti-infantry mines. It is provided to the Croatian army. Of course we will not let them get these things for free, although it is half-sold and half-given. price, but they still need to spend US dollars to buy it. If they are unwilling? Then tell the Croatian resistance leaders that we will selflessly donate these weapons to the Serbian army. Pay attention to the word, "Donation."

"The second list is, of course, provided to the Serbian army. The war is about to begin. Their army needs to have enough weapons to defeat the enemy. And the outbreak of war will definitely attract the attention of NATO and the United Nations, and may also be It’s good to provide them with enough anti-aircraft weapons for the United Nations air strikes. Although they are some aging and outdated models, they are better than nothing, right?”

Historically, the United Nations Security Council has passed a series of resolutions since May 1992, including imposing comprehensive sanctions on the Serbs of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Yugoslavia, dispatching peacekeeping troops to Bosnia and Herzegovina, establishing a no-fly zone in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and establishing a safe zone for the Muslim ethnic group. . NATO imposed a total blockade on Bosnia and Herzegovina and provided air protection for the safe zone. The United Nations and the European Community have also conducted mediation many times, but to no avail.

"Besides, the unrest in Serbia will affect many countries. Neighboring Hungary and Romania are countries that have just joined the bourgeoisie, and the refugees displaced by the war will be their biggest headache. So the longer the war in Serbia drags on and the more turbulent the situation is, the more benefits we will get."

"It doesn't matter if the Bosnian Serb armed forces lose the war in the end. You can tell Milosevic and Karadzic for me that if you are willing to follow the Soviets, then even if the Serbs fail to maintain the entire country in the end, we can turn the Yugoslav issue on Bosnia into something similar to the North Korea-South Korea ceasefire agreement at the United Nations."

"North Korea-South Korea ceasefire agreement?" Victor didn't quite understand what Yanaev meant.

"Before the formal signing of the ceasefire agreement, whoever's troops occupied more land would have more initiative at the negotiation table. Since you Serbs cannot guarantee the integrity of the entire territory, then the second best option is to occupy most of the territory, expel the Muslims and Croats on the territory, and drive them out of the Bosnian Serb land. Although they cannot realize their nationalist dream of Greater Serbia, at least they did not end up in a miserable situation."

The method given by Yanayev is compromise and compromise. Since it is impossible to swallow a whole piece of the cake, maximizing the benefits is the best choice. After the war, Serbia, which was severely damaged, was also willing but unable to face Western sanctions. In addition to joining the Soviet Union, do they have any other choice?

"Is this going against the West? Can the Western world really allow us to do this?" Victor asked. Everyone can see the meaning of this Soviet agreement. Unless forced by reality, Western Europe will not agree to divide the Bosnian sphere of influence with the Soviet Union.

"Whether it is allowed or not is not up to the West or us, but the bargaining chips on the negotiating table. Sarajevo has been a powder keg since the First World War. The conflict of ethnic contradictions and the suppressed hatred and conflict between countries will be ignited and become a fuse that disrupts democratic countries."

"Because of the social instability in Eastern Europe, the newly formed bourgeois government will suffer a great blow. The soil of communism has not yet disappeared from this land. As long as the people see the corruption and incompetence of the government, they will take up arms to resist corruption, just as they opposed communism in the past."

The Soviet Union has not yet disintegrated, and the shadow of redism still looms over the land of Eastern Europe. As long as Yanayev can handle the unrest in Yugoslavia well, just like Libya after the death of Gaddafi in 2011, the displaced refugees caused by the war, especially those Muslim refugees, will become a nightmare for Europe.

No refugees would think of going to communist countries. For decades, the West has vigorously promoted that in the eyes of religious groups in other countries, it is a world without gods and beliefs. Instead, it is the good welfare society in Europe that attracts the greedy eyes of these people.

What Yanayev did was to ignite the powder keg of war with hundreds of millions of dollars in arms orders, and then guide the refugees to flow to Western Europe, giving the white left saints a headache. (To be continued.)