Soviet Union 1991

Second update

Perhaps it was Yanayev's words that inspired Dobrynin's fighting spirit. Dobrynin had been making preparations before starting his visit to South Korea. The elderly man burst out with the energy of his youth and began to Formulate various policies for South Korea.

In terms of the Soviet army, Yanayev is good at promoting young men, but in terms of politics, there is no exception for old = people-politics. Yanayev firmly believes that the experience needed in international affairs is far more than wild imagination. Strength is much more important. Therefore, whether it is the position of a member of the Central Political Bureau or other high-level central officials, Yanayev rarely promotes him. The only rising political star considered to be the most promising, Comrade Putin, is also the deputy minister of the Ministry of Internal Affairs. The position has never been moved or promoted.

Because Dobrynin was included in the inner circle of the delegation visiting South Korea by Yanayev, he had better access to certain high-level intelligence than when he was working under Gromyko. There are more secrets revealed. At least the arms sales negotiation process and political bargaining chips for this visit to South Korea have been arranged, which makes people have to admire the large amount of preliminary work invested by the central government.

"The 1134a-class guided missile cruiser, the Kenda-class guided missile cruiser, and the Type 956 Excellence destroyer were sold to the South Korean government. By the way, some retired bm21 multiple rocket launchers were also sold. It seems that this visit to South Korea is purely for exploitation. The other party’s residual value.”

Dobrynin could even imagine how Pavlov would intimidate the South Korean delegation at the negotiating table. It felt like if you don't buy our products, the Korean People's Army will march south. I wonder how Kim Young-sam, who has been treated as an abandoned son by President Mario, will feel when the time comes, trembling in front of the torrent of steel?

Pavlov didn't feel that way. In his eyes, weapons were just a way to exchange for foreign exchange. The Soviet Union's developed military industry contributed at least 10% to economic growth. The more unpredictable the situation abroad becomes, the more open the Soviet arms sales market will be.

"Okay, Advisor Dobrynin, actually, for you, these are not the important points. I want to know if the conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union really comes to an irreconcilable point, how will you solve it?" Pavlov asked Said, it was hard for him to imagine that the man in his seventies before him had played a key role in the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962. Although Moscow did not like him very much before and even considered Dobrynin to be a sympathizer of the Western world, Thune, the U.S. ambassador to the Soviet Union during the Carter period, bluntly pointed out that Dobrynin was not ours at any time Friend, he is a firm believer in Soviet ideology and national interests.

Although he once served as Secretary of the Central Secretariat and Minister of the International Department, Dobrynin is still a special presence among Moscow's top leaders.

"International political games are nothing more than a matter of interests. When interests conflict, one thing must be considered clearly: whether this interest is worth the cost to save. During the Cuban Missile Crisis, I was the first to realize The United States is defending their core interests, so when Cuba established a missile base, the United States showed such a crazy attitude compared to when Khrushchev dealt with the Turkish missile incident. "

Dobrynin was immersed in the memories of the past, "But the whole world has remembered the Cuban missile crisis, and most people don't know about the Turkish missile incident. Why? Because the United States has a tougher attitude than us. "

"You mean that the Soviet Union showed no less attitude in this Asia-Pacific crisis than the United States did in the Cuban Missile Crisis?" Pavlov asked.

"It's one thing to have a tough attitude, but another thing to handle it flexibly. At least everyone knows that this is a compromise of mutual interests and then reaching an agreement. The Taiwan issue does not belong to the core interests of the United States, but it is prohibited by China. The United States The aircraft carrier battle group provokes and tests China's bottom line again and again, which will only lead to the worst results."

Worst outcome? The only thing Pavlov could think of was that the Dongfeng missile landed on the deck of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier, and then completely wiped the Pacific Seventh Fleet off the map. Judging from China's current reaction, this possibility is as high as 170%. If the support of the Soviet Union is added, then this possibility will increase.

"The Soviet Union? Of course the Soviet Union will stand unswervingly on the side of the anti-American alliance, but there is still a very critical issue. That is, when both sides are about to hit the bottom line, the Soviet Union will step forward to act as an offshore balancer. After all, we can't let a world war break out." Dobrynin kept talking, but it was only half of the story.

"I think the most likely scenario is that the Soviet Pacific Fleet directly intervenes in the dispute, forming a tripartite situation in the strait area. The United States has three aircraft carrier battle groups, China and the Soviet Union control a Kiev-class and Ulyanno The Fusk is slightly at a disadvantage, but not so bad that it will be suppressed by the Americans.”

After listening to Dobrynin's story, Pavlov finally understood why he wanted to bring this retired old guy back into the Moscow political circle. The only way to guess the movements of the central government's top leaders in a few words was to study the situation. Dobrynin for life.

Indeed, according to the current situation, the worst plan is for a conflict to break out between three countries in the Asia-Pacific waters, and it is unclear how it will end.

"Prime Minister Pavlov, there is another very important point, you must not forget it. Letting go at the right time can actually bring greater profits. If you hold on tightly, it may change in the middle of the process."

This is the lesson Dobrynin summed up in the biggest crisis of the 20th century. Although Khrushchev did not choose to evacuate the ship at the beginning due to his personal face, after the two sides reached an agreement, Khrushchev also achieved his goal. The Americans withdrew the medium-range missiles deployed by Turkey, and Castro's regime still exists.

Cuba, a country located in a sensitive area of ​​the United States, threatens the throat of the United States like a needle.

Dobrynin said, "So the Soviet Union should know where it is. We originally wanted to take advantage of this Asia-Pacific crisis to expand our sphere of influence, and the final outcome is to calm the Asia-Pacific region. So in the end, the status quo is maintained. And the Soviet Union will win a steady profit from it. General Secretary Yanayev means that in this crisis, the United States can only be the loser, and the Soviet Union is the ultimate winner." (To be continued.)

Chapter 446 The final winner: