Soviet Union 1991
Main text Chapter 591 Provoking conflict
First update
The issue of laying the oil pipeline project ended with the Soviet Union and Japan's concessions. The Soviet Union agreed to build a branch pipeline. Japan will pay 30% of the construction cost of this pipeline. And the Soviet Union promised that this pipeline will provide oil supply exclusively for Japan. Only then did Japan agree to the Soviet Union's next cooperation project.
The arduous negotiations finally ended. Yanayev and Hashimoto Ryutaro both breathed a sigh of relief and toasted the new cooperation between the Soviet Union and Japan.
However, the actions of the Soviet Union and Japan caused dissatisfaction in two countries, one was the United States, which wanted to be the world hegemon, and the other was Saudi Arabia, an oil exporting country. Saudi Arabia, which was originally preparing to sign a crude oil transportation contract with Japan, found that this time Japan reduced 28% of its previous oil imports because the oil cooperation project between Japan and the Soviet Union led to a reduction in Saudi Arabia's income.
Not only that, Saudi Arabia has already anticipated the new trend of the Soviet Union. It not only provides natural gas to European countries, but also actively develops the Asia-Pacific market using resources in the Far East. This is simply a nightmare for Middle Eastern countries.
This is not a good thing for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. After all, the Soviet Union's oil exports after 1991 were far less than the output of the exporting countries due to various reasons. However, according to Yanayev's current methods, it is clear that he is preparing to revive a resource-rich country. He will use the continued rise in oil prices after the 1990s to quickly accumulate capital for the Soviet Union and carry out industrial adjustments to adapt to the economic framework after the reform more quickly. Once the Soviet Union recovers, not to mention President Mario, even Roosevelt will be afraid.
Therefore, the small actions between the United States and its allies will become more and more frequent, especially after Turkey suffered a hidden loss in Cyprus, the United States began to use some small means to hinder the actions of the Soviet Union. Using financial means to put pressure on Japan is the fastest way, because Japan is now heavily in debt, like a shaky high-rise building, and it can fall to the ground with a slight push from the United States. When Japan has no funds, it will naturally not be able to intervene in the Far East project.
However, the United States' goal is not only that, it also wants to affect all the Soviet Union's allies in all oil-producing countries in the Middle East, so that they can't take care of it, and consolidate its political position in the petrodollar. Since the 1970s, the United States has reached an unshakable agreement with Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, to use the U.S. dollar as the sole pricing currency for oil, and this has been agreed upon by other members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Since then, the U.S. dollar has been closely linked to oil, and the two have been drawn into an invisible equal sign. Any country that wants to trade oil must have sufficient U.S. dollar reserves. Once the Soviet Union's oil-producing allies have been destroyed one after another, the remaining weak Soviet Union is no match for the oil-producing countries.
"Instigating Turkey to invade Syria? This is a very dangerous political action. And it may also affect our actions in Iraq. Is it really worth choosing such an adventurous action at this sensitive time?"
When Berger's political adviser heard President Mario's explanation, he instantly became nervous. Everyone felt the pressure from the gradual revival of the Soviet Union, but he did not expect Mario to take such a risky approach.
President Mario said, "We are just provoking a border dispute between Turkey and Syria to undermine the stability of the Assad regime. We will not launch a large-scale invasion. This is secretly led by the United States, supported by the Saudi government, and Turkey will be the vanguard. As long as the Syrian government is in turmoil, the opposition forces within them will take advantage of the situation. Believe me, Consultant Berger. This is undoubtedly a huge blow to the Soviet Union. By then, except for the Soviet Union, all other oil-producing countries that can speak will stand on our side, and it is not impossible to have another reverse oil shock strategy."
"Think about what will happen to oil prices if Syria goes to war? It will rise without surprise. In this way, if they want to buy oil, they will have to increase their savings in US dollars."
The benefits of disrupting the situation in Iraq have begun to emerge. After initially tasting the sweetness, in order to curb the large-scale export of Soviet oil, another insurance policy was started.
"Since we can't stop the Soviets from extracting their own oil, then at least we can stop them from selling it. We can't stop China from making this move, but as for Japan, most of their voice is still tightly controlled in our hands."
"Maziyel is not a fool. Turkey suffered a loss on the Black Sea issue before. Will they believe us this time?" said consultant Berger.
"Of course they will believe it, and Maziyel will definitely believe it." President Mario sneered, "After all, Ocalan is hiding in the Syrian border area now. If the CIA has specific intelligence about Ocalan, according to Maziyel's character, he will definitely start a war regardless of everything."
As a Turkish political strongman, Maziyel's ruthless strangulation of the Kurdistan Workers' Party can be said to be outrageous. Since the failure of the last rebellion, the Kurdistan Workers' Party has been bloodily suppressed because of Moscow's betrayal. In order to preserve its strength, the Kurdistan Workers' Party armed forces under the command of Ocalan retreated to northern Iraq to accumulate strength and wait for the next counterattack. Moreover, after the deterioration of relations with Moscow, the situation faced by the PKK is much more difficult than before.
The CIA, as a new partner, chose to sell out Ocalan at this time, giving the Kurdistan Workers' Party, which was in a difficult situation, the final fatal blow.
"Yes." Consultant Berger understood at this time, "You mean to use Ocalan as bait to provoke border conflicts between Syria and Turkey, thereby affecting the anti-government armed forces in Syria?"
"That's it."
The excuse of attacking the Kurdistan Workers' Party in Turkey sounds flawless. Even if Assad accuses Maziyel of war, the United States can confidently refute Syria with human rights above sovereignty.
All this is just Saudi Arabia paying money and Turkey working hard, and the United States just sits back and enjoys the fruits of its labor.
Even if it fails in the end, the United States still has not suffered much loss.
President Mario said proudly, "All deployments are ready, and we are now waiting to see the show. I don't know how angry Yanayev will be. After all, compared to the wavering Iran, Syria is the Soviet Union's staunch ally in the Middle East." (~^~)
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