Through the first day, leading retail investors to harvest Wall Street

048 Financial pig killing plate, fish on the cutting board

Futures are linked to the spot price.

Crude oil is also a hard currency, and the market demand is huge. For this reason, it is okay for crude oil futures to fall, but it is absolutely impossible to fall into negative territory.

A negative value means that if the crude oil futures are delivered, the futures dealer will even give you money!

Not only do you buy for nothing, but also put money upside down?

It’s not a fantasy.

As a high-achieving student majoring in finance, Jiang Chen instinctively expressed doubt!

【WTI crude oil futures】

【The lowest price of the day: -25 US dollars / barrel】

[Investment advice: shorting].

[Investment amount recommendation: within 10 billion US dollars].

[Reason analysis: The world situation is tense, in order to increase economic aggregates and maintain people’s livelihood, major oil producers do not agree to reduce production, but increase the supply of oil, the imbalance between supply and demand, crude oil prices have a basis for continuous decline. Public health crisis, global economic deterioration, and declining demand for crude oil. Shipping routes are blocked, international trade barriers are strengthened, and crude oil transportation costs are increasing, exacerbating the risk of crude oil prices plummeting. Approaching the delivery month of WTI crude oil futures, the number of crude oil savings tanks in the world’s major crude oil storage areas is insufficient, the delivery cost has increased, coupled with the malicious shorting of consortium forces, crude oil futures have plummeted, and the main bulls have been bloodied. 】

However, after reading the analysis given by the system.

Jiang Chen was clear.

In a word, there is too much crude oil production, too much supply, the world economy is down, and now it is not needed that much. The storage environment of crude oil is very demanding, and now it is close to the delivery month to deliver spot, but what, there is no piggy bank, for this reason, where do you store the delivery crude oil? The composition of crude oil is very complex, through a series of chemical processing to produce oil and other chemical products for daily cars, crude oil can not be stored casually, let alone casually poured into the sea. High storage costs lead to delivery dates, and crude oil futures traders would rather pay you shipping fees to transport stored crude oil!

This gives the possibility of crude oil prices falling to negative territory!

Staring at the crude oil futures analysis page.

Jiang Chen sighed with emotion!

This must be a great opportunity for wealth to skyrocket and harvest leeks!

Moreover, this must be Wall Street setting up a game to harvest leeks! Because, despite this analysis, the value of crude oil is also very high, it is impossible to maintain a negative price for a long time, this negative price is just an extreme reaction of the market madness to lose its mind, or even think that it is under extreme control!

So.

If only Wall Street was harvesting leeks.

So, who is Wall Street’s counterpart?

“Little bottle! You check for me the top ten holding institutions in the world of crude oil futures now! No, it’s the top 20 holding institutions, and it’s a long one! ”

After thinking carefully, Jiang Chen ordered Mu Xiaohe on the side.

The small milk bottle can be regarded as Jiang Chen’s nickname for her. Because this woman’s ID is called the little bottle sour. Jiang Chen looked at Shunyan and simply called her a small milk bottle.

Mu Xiaohe was a little crying and laughing at this title, but after laughing, Jiang Chen couldn’t help but go.

Mu Xiaohe: “Boss.” Are you looking up this, are you ready to invest in crude oil futures? ”

Jiang Chen: “Not bad. I’m going to go short. ”

Mu Xiaohe was slightly startled and dissuaded: “Short? Now the price of crude oil has fallen from a peak of $45 to $22 a barrel, which has fallen below the cost line of crude oil companies. In terms of value analysis, there is no basis for continuing to fall. ”

“The owner. Instead, I think that going long, waiting for the economy to recover, crude oil prices rebound, and very solid in the long term, is an investment that can be considered. ”

Jiang Chen shook his head, Mu Xiaohe’s analysis was not unreasonable.

However, this is also what most people know.

Financial markets, most of what they think is right, is wrong.

As for the long-term crude oil price, it will not stay as low as $22 per barrel, because the world economy will certainly recover. However, how long this time is, even Buffett does not dare to pack tickets. No one can pack tickets.

Crude oil futures trading costs are not cheap, at the same time, this market in the economic turmoil, price fluctuations are also very large, if the use of leverage is too high, encounter extreme markets, such as this public health crisis, it is easy to burst positions.

In addition, even if leverage is not applied and there is no risk of liquidation, this holding cost, this opportunity cost is also very high.

Perhaps, with 100 million funds invested in crude oil futures, you can make a 100% profit in ten years. However, take this 100 million, invest in precious metals, and maybe earn 50% in the first year.

In contrast, long-term investment in crude oil futures may not be how correct.

“You go check the information.” Jiang Chen shook his head and didn’t explain much to Mu Xiaohe.

Seeing the boss so resolute, as an employee, this recognition of Mu Xiaohe still has it.

Information on open positions in WTI crude oil futures is not difficult to find, as it is often published on the Internet.

“The owner. Here is the latest list of the top 20 institutions with long positions. ”

“The other is the latest list of the top 10 institutions with short positions.”

Worthy of being a financial elite, Mu Xiaohe is very thoughtful, Jiang Chen asked her for a long list, and Mu Xiaohe was clever enough to give Jiang Chen a short list.

Taking Mu Xiaohe’s document, Jiang Chen bowed his head slightly, affirmed her, and looked up.

Mu Xiaohe also analyzed on the side:

“The owner. In this list, the number one long position is Longguo Bank. In the remaining top twenty, the domestic institutions of the Dragon Kingdom also reached as many as three. As for short positions, the most held are Morgan, Citi, Goldman Sachs. ”

Listen to Mu Xiaohe’s words and follow this list.

Jiang Chen sighed: “Sure enough.” But I didn’t expect that this time Wall Street wanted to kill pigs was actually the banking institutions in the Dragon Kingdom. At this moment, Long Xing is going to be cut leeks. ”

Mu Xiaohe was stunned: “Boss.” Are you saying that Wall Street wants to short crude oil futures and reap the dragons? ”

Jiang Chen bowed.

Mu Xiaohe said anxiously: “Now this price is still short? There’s not much space. Wall Street is so stupid? ”

Listening to Mu Xiaohe’s words, Jiang Chen laughed in his heart.

Wall Street is not stupid.

Stupid is the leek of the Dragon Kingdom!

Wall Street is not stupid, but smart and bad!

“The market is always capable of surprises. This time, I plan to smash all my net worth, twenty times the leverage, into crude oil futures. ”

Airplanes!

All net worth smashed in?

That’s too fierce!

What a gambler!

Mu Xiaohe once again recognized Jiang Chen’s madness!

Also when Jiang Chen said this, the system voice sounded again.

[Ding-dong. Issue system tasks: earn tens of billions in the crude oil futures market, reward: bank reserves! 】

…….