When will I have a long tassel?

"We will study the situation you mentioned and make a detailed report to our superiors. Indeed, we should have extreme thinking, strategically despise the enemy, and tactically pay attention to the enemy to avoid being caught off guard by the enemy." Xie Tiancheng said seriously.

Hearing what Xie Tiancheng said, Tang Zifeng became a little nervous. At this period, no one in the world has seen through the prediction that he made such a prediction. Maybe one day the country will pull him into slices and study it.

In order to deceive others, he smiled awkwardly and said: "I have always been willing to speculate on Westerners with the greatest malice. This time, consider it my unfounded worries. The United States is also a superpower after all, so it still needs to be shameless. ?”

Xie Tiancheng shook his head: "You are not calling it unfounded worry, but you are prepared for danger in times of peace. In fact, there are already some clues to the situation you mentioned. In recent months, more than a dozen international big-name companies have invested in manufacturing bases in China. They moved to countries like India and Vietnam. What do you think about this matter?"

Tang Zifeng said: "I think this matter can be said to be normal or abnormal."

"Tell me first why it's normal?" Xie Tiancheng said.

Tang Zifeng said: "The production layout of enterprises has its own rules, either choosing areas with lower production costs, or being close to major target markets, as well as considerations such as freight, industrial policies, and safety.

“An important reason why many multinational companies choose China as their manufacturing base is that China has abundant cheap labor resources, and labor costs were once only a few tenths of those in Europe and the United States.

“China’s labor costs have risen rapidly in recent years. The wages of ordinary blue-collar workers in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions were only a few hundred yuan per month more than ten years ago, but now they have risen to seven to eight thousand yuan. Skilled blue-collar workers can earn It’s not surprising to have a monthly salary of 10,000 to 20,000 yuan.

"In comparison, labor costs in South and Southeast Asia are much lower. The salary level of a blue-collar worker is only 1/4 of ours or even lower. Capital is profit-seeking and will move manufacturing bases to places with lower labor costs. Place, not surprising.”

Xie Tiancheng nodded. Tang Zifeng's analysis is basically a consensus in the country at present. Whether it is industry insiders or economists, they all say the same thing. He continued: "Then, tell me about the abnormal side."

Tang Zifeng said: "The abnormal aspect is that the behavior of these companies is not completely rational. In fact, with the development of intelligent manufacturing, the impact of labor costs in industrial production has become smaller and smaller.

“Some companies that have relocated have relatively high-grade products and high added-value production. In fact, they no longer care much about the labor price difference, but are more concerned about the local industrial supporting level and safety environment.

“In comparison, countries in South Asia and Southeast Asia, apart from the advantage of low labor costs, are far inferior to China in other factors of production.

"It's easy to understand that some labor-intensive industries have moved overseas, and we don't feel bad about it. But some capital-intensive and technology-intensive enterprises have also moved overseas, which is abnormal."

"You are right, the behavior of these companies is indeed abnormal." Xie Tiancheng said, "We have learned that the reason why some companies have moved their manufacturing base to countries such as Vietnam and India is that the labor force there is cheap, and the second reason is that the labor force there is cheap. The second is the pressure.

"These companies were worried about the consequences, so they made the decision."

"This is called not respecting martial ethics." Tang Zifeng made a joke. Unfortunately, Xie Tiancheng was not a time traveler and did not understand this joke from later generations.

"Director Xie called me here just to talk about this matter?" Tang Zifeng asked Xie Tiancheng after finishing his cold joke.

Xie Tiancheng said: "Yes. The central government attaches great importance to this matter and requires us to study it carefully and propose countermeasures. You are the most discerning cadre in our committee, and I believe you will be different from ordinary people on this issue." views, so I’d like to hear your thoughts.”

"Director Xie praises me like this, which makes me very uneasy." Tang Zifeng said with a smile, "I would rather, Director Xie, you grab my ears and give me orders or something, so that I can adapt better."

Xie Tiancheng smiled and said: "Haha, if you like this, let's go to Mr. Xu's place another day and let him pull your ears, but I won't dare to pull them.

"The leader said that this time is a big test for China, and it is also a small test for you, Xiao Tang. We can test whether you can withstand the test when facing this complex situation. We, Can the old guy safely hand over the burden to you?

"Think about it, you are the person named by the leader to shoulder a heavy burden. Can I just pull your ears?"

Tang Zifeng heard the subtext in Xie Tiancheng's words. In fact, he also knows this. With his achievements and influence in the industry, it is only a matter of time before he takes on a heavier responsibility. Now it seems that the leader's intention is to let him perform more brilliantly. This is the purpose of the exam.

He did not accept what Xie Tiancheng said about carrying the burden, but pretended to be pitiful and said: "Look what Director Xie said, I am a pig, and I was born with a pair of big ears, which are used for pulling people." Yes, you can pull it anytime you want, I just want you to be gentle."

"This is what you said, so I owe it to you first." Xie Tiancheng said, "First tell me your views on the current industrial relocation issue. That's good. I won't prick your ears. If you don't use your brain, If you do it perfunctorily, I will pull your ears for Mr. Xu."

"Don't dare." Tang Zifeng apologized. After that, he returned to the topic and said: "As I said before, it is actually unwise for some multinational companies to move their manufacturing bases out of China. Since it is unwise If they do this, there will always be a day when they regret it. By then, they will definitely have to move back, and they may even have to pay a large amount of atonement.

"There are many reasons why China can become the world's factory. Low labor costs are only one aspect, and it has gradually become a less important aspect. We have an advantage that neither South Asian nor Southeast Asian countries can match or obtain, and that is Strong industrial supporting capabilities.

"When multinational companies build manufacturing bases in places like the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, water, electricity and water lines are ready, spare parts are ready, and equipment is ready. As long as funds are invested, all production factors can be gathered within 5 kilometers. , how can South Asia and Southeast Asia learn this?"

Xie Tiancheng said: "Yes, this is the focus of publicity in many places in China when attracting investment. In contrast, countries such as India and Vietnam are still in the initial stage of industrialization, and their domestic industrial supporting capabilities are very weak."

Tang Zifeng said: "The industrialization stage is only one aspect. They have no possibility of forming industrial supporting capabilities. This is more critical. Whether Vietnam or India, give them 70 years, they will not be able to go from a state of poverty to nothing. Develop into a modern country with a complete industrial system."

"Oh, so confident?" Xie Tiancheng said with a smile, "Tell me why it is impossible for them to develop into a modern country with a complete industrial system."

Tang Zifeng said: "This is obvious. Vietnam is a small country and it is impossible to support an industrial system as large as ours. Needless to say, India has a population of more than one billion, but its people have low education levels. Especially the lack of organization is the biggest difference between it and China.

"In addition, there is another very important point, that is, the opportunity for global industrial transfer has disappeared. It is impossible for two industrial countries with a population of one billion to exist on the earth at the same time. Now that China has taken the lead, India will no longer be able to obtain this opportunity. ”

"This is an interesting idea. Did you come up with it?" Xie Tiancheng asked.

Tang Zifeng was stunned for a moment, vaguely remembering that this seemed to be a statement on the Internet in later generations. As for whether this statement had a theoretical basis, he couldn't say. He shook his head and said: "This formulation cannot be regarded as my originality. When I discussed it with some colleagues, what everyone said one by one did not form a complete system.

"Maybe this statement is not rigorous. With the development of human technology, the scope of industry will continue to expand. Maybe one day, the earth will really need several industrial countries with a population of one billion. It is unknown.

"But, at least in the foreseeable future, there is no such opportunity. As far as we know, India has been promoting industrialization in recent years, but more and more Chinese products are used in the market.

"Take our machine tool industry as an example. It is probably impossible for India to build a machine tool industrial system like ours. We have many types of machine tools, good quality, and low prices. How can they replace them if they start from scratch? us?

"In other words, they may have a chance to replace us, but this requires stable policies and the determination to be lonely. Do they have it?"

"You are right." Xie Tiancheng said with deep feeling, "We also started from scratch, but we have a firm belief that the industrial machine must be in our own hands. No matter how good or cheap other people's products are , we will not give up on ourselves. Without this energy, I am afraid we would have to rely on others today."