After a thousand years of trading, start a million barrels of oil

Chapter 106 I'll be waiting for you
Jiang Fan was using the female teacher's words in the class as the background sound to hypnotize him, but suddenly he heard the female teacher mention "Fengtian CNC machine tool". Want to hear her opinion.

The female teacher continued: "The reason why I chose this company is because this company has a lot of recent developments, and the stock price fluctuates greatly, which is good for our analysis."

"Brother Fan, it's the one where you go to be a consultant." Lin Wan also pushed Jiang Fandao a little excitedly when she heard the female teacher mention Fengtian CNC's name.

Because of Jiang Fan, she has paid special attention to this company recently, and she didn't expect such a coincidence.

"Oh, listen to what she said." Jiang Fan said.

The female teacher said: "Let's talk about the most basic things today, what are the three 'sides' that the stock market should pay attention to?
Yes, the fundamentals, the news, and the technicals.

The recent news of this stock has a lot of content, so let's analyze it from its news.

Three months ago, 6 models of high-performance new products comparable to those of foreign countries were launched. This is good news, so everyone saw that the stock price rose very quickly on the day of the announcement.

And as you can see, judging from this curve, there is no obvious mouse trap in this news.

The mouse position refers to the part of the funds that know the news in advance during the transmission of the news. His position must be bought enough before the good news will be released.

The purpose of diffusion is to pull another wave of funds in the future so that they can benefit from it. "

Jiang Fan thought in his heart that, of course, it was a confidential matter that both the local government and the government were involved in. At most, there were some clues and someone relied on speculation to pull a little mouse.

The engineers were locked in the R&D workshop at the time. If anyone knew the information and dared to play the mouse warehouse, the water meter checker would have come to the door long ago.

The female teacher continued: "However, after Daoguo Shanma and Deguotong Chopsticks announced the dumping of these 6 models, the share price of Fengtian CNC dropped significantly.

Recently, Fengtian CNC once again launched 20 new models, stretching the stock price again.

But this time, Shanma and Tongchoi acted faster, and repeated the same trick again, directly dumping the same big price cuts on these 20 models, causing the stock price to plummet again.

Do you think we should start Fengtian CNC at this time? "

The students were also discussing this question:
"You should start. If you look at the K-line chart, it has risen twice. After this trough, there is a high probability that there will be another rise."

"I feel like hanging. If you look at it from another angle, after every rise, the opponent will immediately launch a policy to suppress it, and the effect will be immediate. I don't think they can counterattack successfully."

"Even if they can't win in the end, as long as they can effectively counterattack this round and push the stock up a wave, at least we can make a short-term profit."

"I think it's difficult in the short term. With two such amazing operations, it is estimated that the cards are almost used up. What else can I do? Unless the above subsidizes."

"That's what you said, but if the higher-ups directly subsidize, they will definitely be criticized, so the higher-ups don't want to use this trick unless it is really needed."

Lin Wan also asked Jiang Fan: "Brother Fan, do you think Fengtian CNC can win this round?"

"Yes." Jiang Fan spread his hands and replied.

"How to win?"

"It's not difficult to win anyway."

"Pfft~" Lin Wan laughed and said, "I just like the way you brag without being able to make sense."

Jiang Fan thought for a while, am I such a person?For the remaining ninety or so machines, because the R&D factory is closed, only He Shan and I know that the news can be brought out, but I do know.

After the discussion among the students, the female teacher asked everyone for their opinions.

After hearing everyone's discussion, I also expressed my own opinion: "What everyone said is very reasonable, and my point of view is not suitable for buying.

On the one hand, everyone said that unless the national team makes a move, Fengtian CNC will hardly have a hole card to counter the opponent's dumping this time.

But we also analyzed just now that due to other constraints, the national team needs to pay a lot of money to make a move.

On the other hand, you may not have mentioned that Fengtian CNC must have invested a lot of research and development funds in order to develop these 26 high-performance CNC machine tools this time, and there is a high probability that the cash flow is running out.

In this case, the available methods are even more limited, and I am afraid that it is impossible to even fight a price war with the other party.

Therefore, based on these two reasons, I think it is difficult for the stock price of Fengtian CNC to further increase, and there is even a risk of continued decline.

It is not ruled out that it will collapse directly in extreme cases. "

The female teacher elaborated her point of view rigorously and solemnly, well-founded and able to withstand scrutiny. When she finished, she looked at everyone and asked:
"Do you have any comments on this conclusion?"

The others nodded unanimously to express their approval. They had checked a lot of public information just now, and there was no evidence to support Fengtian CNC's successful counterattack again.

"Brother Fan, look, the teacher disagrees with your statement." Lin Wan looked at Jiang Fan and smiled mischievously.

Jiang Fan was too lazy to tell the teacher right from wrong, but in order to save Lin Wan from teasing him with this question later, he decided to talk about it.

He raised his hand and said, "Teacher, I disagree."

The female teacher was taken aback by Jiang Fan's gesture. After waiting for a long time, someone suddenly started to make comments, and she was ready to continue with the following content.

The students were also very surprised when they saw Jiang Fan get up. He didn't know him, he wasn't from our major, so why did he even give his opinion when he was in class.

Looking next to him, oh, it's probably Lin Wan's friend, and hearing her roommate say that she has a boyfriend, it's probably this one.

Interesting to hear what he has to say.

The female teacher also said: "Then tell me about this classmate, what is the reason for your disagreement?"

Jiang Fan said: "Teacher, think about it, if the time of this class is advanced to the moment when Shanma and Tongchoi first dumped the 6 products of Fengtian CNC, will you also judge that they can't do it?" Turn over?"

"That's it?" The female teacher thought about it carefully, and it really is.

Huaxia Machine Tool has lagged behind foreign countries for decades. It is very rare to be able to launch 6 high-end machine tools that surpass foreign performance at one time. Who would have thought that it would be followed by 20 CNC machine tools of the same magnitude.

Therefore, if this class was referred to the previous point in time, the analysis she made might still be similar to the present, thinking that Fengtian NC has run out of cards and it is impossible to stand up again.

But now that the facts are in front of her, it is the same reason, will Fengtian NC make some unexpected moves this time to make a comeback again?

'No no no, it can't be like this, it's too unreasonable. The female teacher quickly denied her doubts.

The only thing they can do is to fight price wars in the same way, and to fight price wars for a long time.

Until their products have been used in the market for a long time and customers really recognize their value, then they can increase their prices and profits by making differentiation.

But on the one hand, at this point in time, the official subsidy will be very costly. Secondly, if the company itself subsidizes sales at a loss, even if their original cash flow is not lost, it is impossible to PK at the same time. Not to mention the research and development of so many high-end products, they must have invested a lot of money.

Impossible, absolutely impossible.

So the female teacher raised her head and said firmly: "What you said makes sense, but although it is difficult to have 6 machines, it is indeed possible in theory.

But this time there are a total of 20 units, and the other party has jointly made a firm response, that is, to block it in the bud at any cost. It has been squeezed to the extreme, and all conceivable means have been exhausted. Chance.

And you can see from the market feedback that this time the drop was worse than last time, which shows that the market not only predicted that they would no longer have cards, but also judged that they should use the new models for these two times. The vast majority of cash flow goes into it.

So for them, it may not be whether they can survive a desperate situation, but whether they can survive.

The market does not lie! "

The last few words of the female teacher were resounding.

Jiang Fan smiled, the female teacher made a judgment based on objective fact analysis and market reaction.

But the market can judge that he used the wristband to directly trade the data after a thousand years, so there are as many sets as there are, and it only costs a little interpretation cost, and the other cash flow is not spent.

Has the market judged it?

Including the official intervention to help block the news, so you probably didn't expect that there wasn't too much leakage.

But these are not easy to tell her, but he also became playful, thought for a while and said:
"Then teacher, let's take a gamble. We each pay 1000 yuan to go long and short this stock.

You don't need to go to the futures market to go short, just make a verbal agreement, within two weeks, if Fengtian CNC stock rises by more than 50% after two weeks, and stays stable for more than 3 days, then the money will be mine.

If the drop exceeds 10%, as long as it can be stabilized for 1 day, the money will belong to you at that time.

Others can also participate, and those who participate will pay 100 yuan to choose to go long or short, and all the money will be placed with you for safekeeping.

At that time, the winning party will share all the cash of the other party according to the amount of investment. What do you think? "

On the one hand, Jiang Fan played the game. On the other hand, since the female teacher said that the financial major needs to participate in and experience stocks more personally, such a game with camps and opponents is undoubtedly the best teaching.

"Hey, this is interesting."

"Okay, okay, this game is fun, I want to participate."

"Me too, I want to pay 200."

"I gambled half a month's meal money, and lost half a month of instant noodles."

When the students heard about Jiang Fan's game, they were really interested and asked to participate.

The female teacher probably also understood Jiang Fan's intentions, and felt that this teaching method was feasible, and 1000 yuan was not too much, and she really didn't believe that she could lose, especially since the conditions offered by the other party were basically giving in to her.

"Are you so confident in your judgment? Give me such a modest condition." The female teacher said with a smile without losing her aura.

"If you need, I can give some more." Jiang Fan replied with a smile.

The two of them already had the posture of saying a few words of rivalry before the start of the ring.

"Okay, just as you said, if I win, the winning money belongs to everyone, and I only get back the capital." The female teacher smiled lightly.

"Me too." Jiang Fan didn't lose.

Classmates began to choose, except for some who did not participate due to family poverty and other reasons, everyone else participated.

But the gap is also obvious, 90% of the students chose to short Fengtian Holdings, and only 10% chose Jiang Fan's side, including Lin Wan's roommates and some supporters they canvassed.

"Brother Fan, can you win?" Lin Wan was also very excited to participate in this small PK based on the real business operation status, and asked Jiang Fan excitedly.

"You will add a sum of money to your small coffers." Jiang Fan laughed.

After playing in Rongcheng for a few days, Jiang Fan returned to Fengtian and interpreted the imitation plan based on the information He Shan told him. It should be almost the same in these two days.

After arriving at Fengtian CNC, Jiang Fan came to He Shan's office: "Mr. He, how is the progress?"

"The supplier has been notified to launch a new product launch, and I'll be waiting for you." He Shan looked at Jiang Fan and smiled.

(End of this chapter)