After a thousand years of trading, start a million barrels of oil
Chapter 25 The Current Situation
Chapter 25 The Current Situation
Arriving in the Middle East, after getting off the plane, everyone went to the reserved hotel first,
The negotiating teams of the three companies live together to facilitate communication.
After checking in, Jiang Fan went to the resident office first,
Because although Zhang Feng had emailed him the information about this negotiation, Wang Hai, the office staff who has been here, knows the most real-time news about the frontier.
Enter the office office.
"Brother Hai, I'm busy." Seeing Wang Haizheng lowering his head to write something on the paper, Jiang Fan greeted him and reminded him.
Wang Hai raised his head, saw that it was Jiang Fan, put down the pen in his hand, and turned around to face Jiang Fan: "Xiao Jiang, ah, that's not right, I should call Team Leader Jiang now, hahaha~"
Jiang Fan waved his hand: "What group leader Jiang, Xiao Jiang."
While speaking, he took out a pack of Huazi from his pocket, took out two and handed one to Wang Hai.
Wang Hai likes to smoke. He can only smoke local cigarettes in the Middle East all year round. CNOOC is not as frequent as the other two companies in the Middle East. He is very rare for cigarettes brought from China, especially Huazi.
So he was not polite to Jiang Fan, just took it over, put his nose and mouth to sniff twice,
The aroma and taste are very positive, and I gave it a little 'ah', I enjoyed it very much.
A little reluctant to smoke, he hesitated and clipped it to the ear.
"Come on, this pack is for you. I still have 3 packs in my hotel. I'll bring them to you later."
Seeing his reluctance, Jiang Fan directly put the whole bag on the table and pushed it in front of him.
"Yo, Team Leader Jiang, ah no, brother, you are too caring." Wang Hai didn't know what to call him, so he directly called brother, who didn't expect this buddy to be so troublesome.
This is what Jiang Fan thought about before he came, so he prepared it in advance. Although we are colleagues, we will not hide anything from you.
But Huaxia is a society of personal relationships after all, in addition to the information on the scene will be told to you, some private information, you don't know whether people tell you or not,
And to take a step back, others have worked so hard to stay here,
It's human nature to bring him a few packs of cigarettes, and it's not just a matter of trying to reciprocate.
Jiang Fan thought about these things when he was a member of the team, and saw Zhang Feng do similar things.
But when I actually sit in this position and think about these issues, and then actually operate it like this, the feeling is still completely different.
I feel that I have gained a great understanding of how to deal with people's sophistication and how to win people's hearts.
I bought this cigarette, it's not a loss.
Wang Hai took the cigarette pushed by Jiang Fan and put it in his pocket, as if he was afraid that he would repent and go back.
After picking it up, he raised his head and smiled at Jiang Fan.
Then he took the cigarette he had put away from his ear, put it in his mouth, took out the lighter and lit it,
I took a puff comfortably, closed my eyes and let out an 'ah' in enjoyment,
Then he opened his eyes and pointed to the chair beside him to signal Jiang Fan to sit down, let's have a good chat.
Jiang Fan knew that Wang Hai was a smart person, and he knew that he must be looking for him to ask about the oil situation in the Middle East.
So don't be too wordy, just sit down and wait for him to speak.
Wang Hai didn't write any ink, put the cigarette in his hand, and began to explain to Jiang Fan: "The current oil negotiation environment in the Middle East is not too optimistic."
Wang Hai gave Jiang Fan a warning at the beginning, and continued:
"Currently the international crude oil price has risen from US$112 last time to US$118, which you should know.
According to our previous thinking, because the petroleum and petrochemical companies have been cooperating with them all year round, and this time we are purchasing together, normally we can get a discount of about 7 or 8 dollars per barrel.
After all, if they don’t sell it, we can negotiate with other countries in the Middle East for such a price.
If they agree, they will lose a big deal, so they are not willing to take this risk.
But this time is different, because of the continuous changes in the international situation, and the recent problems in several other major oil-producing countries, the Middle East has become a more important source of world oil output in the short term.
So OPEC held an emergency conference call yesterday, agreeing to hold on to the price of oil, and no one will bargain, and they want to seize this opportunity to make a good profit.
I also happen to know someone who works among them, and I accidentally got this information out while chatting with him, so you have a heavy task this time. "
Jiang Fan nodded thoughtfully after hearing this,
Indeed, according to what Wang Hai said, others are equivalent to joining together to monopolize,
OPEC is an international oil organization, mainly in the Middle East countries,
However, other countries that can break its monopoly in the world, due to various reasons, the current oil output cannot meet the requirements, which indirectly contributes to the uniqueness of its monopoly.
This is really a bit difficult to do.
"Then what do you think?" Jiang Fan looked at Wang Hai.
Wang Hai took a puff of cigarette slowly, exhaled the smoke ring, and said one word: "Drag."
"Drag?" Jiang Fan was puzzled.
"That's right." Wang Hai went on to say, "As far as I know, OPEC's internal opinions are not unified.
Some countries have a solid foundation and want to hold back this round to make big money.
However, some countries have a weak foundation and wait for the money from selling oil to feed back the domestic economy, so how can they afford it?
According to the person I know, a lot of compensation was promised to each other during the conference call, and a consensus was barely reached.
But the premise is that some countries have to sell oil before they can compensate other countries.
So just drag them a little bit so that some countries can't hold on,
We send two more team members to conquer it, divide them internally, and let them form competition among themselves. Are we afraid that the price of oil will not drop? "
Jiang Fan smiled, Wang Hai's trick is good,
There will be some rules and compensation measures within the oil organization, so that no matter which oil you buy, the country where the oil is bought will give some compensation to other countries.
In order to avoid vicious competition among internal members and lower oil prices.
However, these compensations mainly occurred after the transaction. It does not mean that the oil has not been traded, so I will throw 500 billion US dollars to everyone and spend it.
So its weakness is that the two sides need to compete for endurance to see who can't bear it first,
In this way, the party that can bear it can gain an advantage in the negotiation and get more benefits.
This is why Wang Hai thinks that 'dragging' is a good strategy.
"Okay, I see. Then you go to work first. I'll go back and clean up." Jiang Fan said goodbye to Wang Hai after learning more about the situation.
"Okay, that smoke."
"Don't worry, I'll be back in two days, and I'll bring it to you." Jiang Fan thought he was an old smoker.
When returning to the hotel, Jiang Fan had already sent a message back to the headquarters, asking them to verify the credibility of Wang Hai's situation through other channels.
After all, he only obtained gossip from the other party's insiders, which can be regarded as providing an investigation clue and an entry point, but if it is really used as a bargaining chip, it needs more in-depth investigation and judgment.
After returning to the hotel, not long after entering the room, the other two company negotiating team leaders knocked on the door and came to his room to look for him.
(End of this chapter)
Arriving in the Middle East, after getting off the plane, everyone went to the reserved hotel first,
The negotiating teams of the three companies live together to facilitate communication.
After checking in, Jiang Fan went to the resident office first,
Because although Zhang Feng had emailed him the information about this negotiation, Wang Hai, the office staff who has been here, knows the most real-time news about the frontier.
Enter the office office.
"Brother Hai, I'm busy." Seeing Wang Haizheng lowering his head to write something on the paper, Jiang Fan greeted him and reminded him.
Wang Hai raised his head, saw that it was Jiang Fan, put down the pen in his hand, and turned around to face Jiang Fan: "Xiao Jiang, ah, that's not right, I should call Team Leader Jiang now, hahaha~"
Jiang Fan waved his hand: "What group leader Jiang, Xiao Jiang."
While speaking, he took out a pack of Huazi from his pocket, took out two and handed one to Wang Hai.
Wang Hai likes to smoke. He can only smoke local cigarettes in the Middle East all year round. CNOOC is not as frequent as the other two companies in the Middle East. He is very rare for cigarettes brought from China, especially Huazi.
So he was not polite to Jiang Fan, just took it over, put his nose and mouth to sniff twice,
The aroma and taste are very positive, and I gave it a little 'ah', I enjoyed it very much.
A little reluctant to smoke, he hesitated and clipped it to the ear.
"Come on, this pack is for you. I still have 3 packs in my hotel. I'll bring them to you later."
Seeing his reluctance, Jiang Fan directly put the whole bag on the table and pushed it in front of him.
"Yo, Team Leader Jiang, ah no, brother, you are too caring." Wang Hai didn't know what to call him, so he directly called brother, who didn't expect this buddy to be so troublesome.
This is what Jiang Fan thought about before he came, so he prepared it in advance. Although we are colleagues, we will not hide anything from you.
But Huaxia is a society of personal relationships after all, in addition to the information on the scene will be told to you, some private information, you don't know whether people tell you or not,
And to take a step back, others have worked so hard to stay here,
It's human nature to bring him a few packs of cigarettes, and it's not just a matter of trying to reciprocate.
Jiang Fan thought about these things when he was a member of the team, and saw Zhang Feng do similar things.
But when I actually sit in this position and think about these issues, and then actually operate it like this, the feeling is still completely different.
I feel that I have gained a great understanding of how to deal with people's sophistication and how to win people's hearts.
I bought this cigarette, it's not a loss.
Wang Hai took the cigarette pushed by Jiang Fan and put it in his pocket, as if he was afraid that he would repent and go back.
After picking it up, he raised his head and smiled at Jiang Fan.
Then he took the cigarette he had put away from his ear, put it in his mouth, took out the lighter and lit it,
I took a puff comfortably, closed my eyes and let out an 'ah' in enjoyment,
Then he opened his eyes and pointed to the chair beside him to signal Jiang Fan to sit down, let's have a good chat.
Jiang Fan knew that Wang Hai was a smart person, and he knew that he must be looking for him to ask about the oil situation in the Middle East.
So don't be too wordy, just sit down and wait for him to speak.
Wang Hai didn't write any ink, put the cigarette in his hand, and began to explain to Jiang Fan: "The current oil negotiation environment in the Middle East is not too optimistic."
Wang Hai gave Jiang Fan a warning at the beginning, and continued:
"Currently the international crude oil price has risen from US$112 last time to US$118, which you should know.
According to our previous thinking, because the petroleum and petrochemical companies have been cooperating with them all year round, and this time we are purchasing together, normally we can get a discount of about 7 or 8 dollars per barrel.
After all, if they don’t sell it, we can negotiate with other countries in the Middle East for such a price.
If they agree, they will lose a big deal, so they are not willing to take this risk.
But this time is different, because of the continuous changes in the international situation, and the recent problems in several other major oil-producing countries, the Middle East has become a more important source of world oil output in the short term.
So OPEC held an emergency conference call yesterday, agreeing to hold on to the price of oil, and no one will bargain, and they want to seize this opportunity to make a good profit.
I also happen to know someone who works among them, and I accidentally got this information out while chatting with him, so you have a heavy task this time. "
Jiang Fan nodded thoughtfully after hearing this,
Indeed, according to what Wang Hai said, others are equivalent to joining together to monopolize,
OPEC is an international oil organization, mainly in the Middle East countries,
However, other countries that can break its monopoly in the world, due to various reasons, the current oil output cannot meet the requirements, which indirectly contributes to the uniqueness of its monopoly.
This is really a bit difficult to do.
"Then what do you think?" Jiang Fan looked at Wang Hai.
Wang Hai took a puff of cigarette slowly, exhaled the smoke ring, and said one word: "Drag."
"Drag?" Jiang Fan was puzzled.
"That's right." Wang Hai went on to say, "As far as I know, OPEC's internal opinions are not unified.
Some countries have a solid foundation and want to hold back this round to make big money.
However, some countries have a weak foundation and wait for the money from selling oil to feed back the domestic economy, so how can they afford it?
According to the person I know, a lot of compensation was promised to each other during the conference call, and a consensus was barely reached.
But the premise is that some countries have to sell oil before they can compensate other countries.
So just drag them a little bit so that some countries can't hold on,
We send two more team members to conquer it, divide them internally, and let them form competition among themselves. Are we afraid that the price of oil will not drop? "
Jiang Fan smiled, Wang Hai's trick is good,
There will be some rules and compensation measures within the oil organization, so that no matter which oil you buy, the country where the oil is bought will give some compensation to other countries.
In order to avoid vicious competition among internal members and lower oil prices.
However, these compensations mainly occurred after the transaction. It does not mean that the oil has not been traded, so I will throw 500 billion US dollars to everyone and spend it.
So its weakness is that the two sides need to compete for endurance to see who can't bear it first,
In this way, the party that can bear it can gain an advantage in the negotiation and get more benefits.
This is why Wang Hai thinks that 'dragging' is a good strategy.
"Okay, I see. Then you go to work first. I'll go back and clean up." Jiang Fan said goodbye to Wang Hai after learning more about the situation.
"Okay, that smoke."
"Don't worry, I'll be back in two days, and I'll bring it to you." Jiang Fan thought he was an old smoker.
When returning to the hotel, Jiang Fan had already sent a message back to the headquarters, asking them to verify the credibility of Wang Hai's situation through other channels.
After all, he only obtained gossip from the other party's insiders, which can be regarded as providing an investigation clue and an entry point, but if it is really used as a bargaining chip, it needs more in-depth investigation and judgment.
After returning to the hotel, not long after entering the room, the other two company negotiating team leaders knocked on the door and came to his room to look for him.
(End of this chapter)
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