Treasure Appraisal: My eyes can identify all things

Chapter 185 The Fed raises interest rates

Gu Zhixia explained: "Brother Chengzi, I have said before that futures have a time limit. When the contract time expires, there is a delivery link. In other words, retail investors like us generally will not participate in delivery. Therefore, If the position is not closed before delivery, the position will be forcibly closed.”

"Of course, apart from this reason, the most important thing is that the futures market is too deep, and there are hidden methods of capital everywhere. It would be good if we retail investors can avoid being cut off by capital!"

"Also, in the long run, I am not optimistic about the international crude oil futures market!"

Jiang Cheng was a little confused: "Not optimistic? Zhixia, didn't you say that the international crude oil price has risen sharply because of the Russia-Ukraine incident? Isn't this just a small outlet?"

"Brother Chengzi, I wonder if you paid attention to the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates in March?"

Jiang Cheng scratched his head, a little embarrassed. He really didn't understand this kind of financial incident.

Qin Xiaoshu and Zheng Xinxin had similar expressions, with question marks on their foreheads.

There is always a sense of immediacy like a chicken and a duck.

Jiang Cheng said: "I really haven't paid attention to this, Zhixia, does this have anything to do with the international crude oil price?"

Gu Zhixia smiled: "To the outside world! The beautiful country's interest rate hike is said to be to deal with domestic inflation, but in fact the purpose of raising interest rates is not that simple, and it is quite insidious."

"insidious?"

Jiang Cheng and the others were a little confused.

Gu Zhixia paused and bit her lip, thinking about how to explain Jiang Cheng so he could understand.

Then he said: "As the core management agency of the reserve system of the United States, the Federal Reserve controls the lifeblood of all banks in the United States. All banks in the United States have to look at the face of the Federal Reserve.

To put it simply, the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is to increase interest. Deposit interest increases, and loan interest also increases. Brother Chengzi, if you were one of the following banks, what would you do if the Federal Reserve faced an interest rate hike? "

Jiang Cheng thought for a moment: "Then I will definitely increase deposits, reduce loans, and deposit the money in the Federal Reserve to earn interest!"

Gu Zhixia nodded: "That's right! If the bank deposits more money into the Federal Reserve, the money it can lend out will also be reduced accordingly. Companies or individuals can no longer borrow money from the bank, so they have no money to invest. Then There will be less funds entering the stock market, and the corresponding stocks will plummet.

Similarly, if you don’t have money to invest, you can’t buy equipment, open factories, or open companies, so fewer people will be hired, and the unemployment rate will greatly increase. Therefore, no one will buy the production equipment on the market, and prices will fall. The cost of production will be reduced, the products produced will become cheaper, and the money in the hands of ordinary people will be able to buy more goods, which means that money will be more valuable, the dollar will appreciate, and the inflation mentioned on the surface will be corresponding. ease.

So if the U.S. dollar appreciates, the stock market falls, and the interest on bank deposits increases, Brother Chengzi, if you were a citizen of a beautiful country, what would you do? "

Jiang Cheng touched his chin: "I will deposit the money in the bank!"

"So, when the deposits of depositors in the bank increase, the bank will deposit the money back to the Federal Reserve. This will cause dollars from all directions to flow back to the major banks in the United States, and the major banks will deposit the money into the Federal Reserve. Then This means that the world’s dollars will flow back to the Federal Reserve!

Similarly, the appreciation of the U.S. dollar. In the past, one hundred U.S. dollars could buy one pair of sneakers, but now it can buy two pairs. This directly led to the depreciation of the currencies of other countries. This means that the purchasing power of beautiful Chinese people has increased, and beautiful Chinese people have become richer. Likewise, wages, but can buy more foreign goods.

This will cause a large number of foreign markets to collapse and the market to be depressed. At this time, if beautiful American capital brings a large amount of US dollars to these countries with economic collapse, they will buy the bottom and take over those enterprises or assets that are on the verge of collapse..."

At this point, Gu Zhixia stopped.

I won’t talk about the following.

Qin Xiaoshu gasped: "Good guy! This... isn't this equivalent to harvesting the wealth of other countries by bargain hunting!"

Zheng Xinxin couldn't help but swallow a mouthful of saliva, her mouth was a little dry.

Jiang Cheng was stunned for a long time before he came to his senses. The water in this capital was too deep.

What an old sow wearing a bra—one set after another!

However, after listening to Gu Zhixia's explanation, I originally only thought of listening to the Book of Heaven, but now I find it quite interesting.

Gu Zhixia looked at everyone's shocked expressions and smiled: "Actually, if you check the impact of several interest rate hikes in the beautiful country over the years, it will be clear at a glance!

The corresponding impact of the interest rate hike in 83-84 was the Latin American debt crisis.

The interest rate hike in 88-89 resulted in an economic crisis for the island nation.

94-95, Southeast Asia crisis.

Interest rates were raised from 99 to 20, and the technology and Internet bubbles occurred.

And our most impressive subprime crisis that swept the world in 08 was the product of the interest rate hikes from 04 to 06. "

Jiang Cheng and others were stunned for a moment after hearing this. They never expected that this simple economic method could have such a huge impact.

Jiang Cheng asked curiously: "But if the world economy is detonated, won't the beautiful country also be affected? Isn't he afraid that his own economy will also collapse?"

Gu Zhixia sighed: "Brother Chengzi, don't forget, this is just a small move by the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. The beautiful country will naturally not let its economy collapse. Correspondingly, as long as the interest rate policy is tightened again, the economic crisis in the beautiful country will be It will gradually ease, but the money gained in the process is real!”

Qin Xiaoshu was also filled with hatred: "Oh! It's so frustrating. The weak have to be beaten, even the financial lifeline has to be controlled by others, everything depends on other people's faces, and they are bullied!"

Jiang Cheng then smiled and said: "Xiaoshu, it's better not to be too pessimistic about everything. Our country has grown to be the second largest economy in the world. It is no longer the existence that can be manipulated and bullied by others. Over the years, large and small Didn’t we all get through the financial crisis safely under the leadership of the country? Faced with the impact of foreign capital, didn’t we turn the corner again and again, and become stronger and better? I believe that the country is our most important Solid backing!”

Several people listened with enthusiasm. Looking back on the past, wasn't it just like what Jiang Cheng said, the country faced challenges and crises again and again, rose to the occasion, got better and better, and didn't its national strength and international status get higher and higher? ? The whole world is marveling at the country's development and progress!

Everyone is proud to be a citizen of Dragon Kingdom!

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