"Before I tell my plan, I hope to hear the opinion of classmate Hong. Most importantly, I want to know whether you plan to make a safe or risky plan."

Fujiwara Yuri took apart a pudding, and unlike the crowd who seemed a little nervous, the two of them looked a little relaxed.

If I had known earlier, Boom was destined to be the No.1 target, but he actually followed Xueli in a good mood, eating snacks there, which is really surprising, and there is also a subtle anger of being looked down upon.

"I act as a rider, responsible for attacking and pinning. Fujiwara-san, you are on the left side as a horse, and use your personality to prevent the enemy from approaching. 800 million are on the right wing, responsible for making insulators and assisting defense and movement. Then you need a man with strong mobility, As the core driver of the whole movement and bear part of the defense needs."

After hearing this, Fujiwara Yuri nodded in agreement.

"Isn't this already arranged? It's a good plan." Of course she knew that the members of the Hong family were actually quite thoughtful. After becoming a classmate, she also took the time to get to know her in private. classmate.

He is a very thoughtful person, which can be seen from his insistence on not using fire.Just like Bakugo's wasteful use of personality before, there is obviously a problem with Hong Jiaodong, but her previous goal was not Hong, so she didn't care about this matter, but now, she feels that she should act sooner, now A little passive.

Hong Jiaodong pursed his lips and didn't answer her words. He could naturally hear some ambiguity in her words, but he didn't know what the problem was.

"Eight hundred!" Not in a hurry to explain to him, Fujiwara Yuri waved his hand and called out 800 million, "Shall we go together?"

She was smiling, and she seemed to be in a good mood after eating sweets. She was particularly eye-catching among a group of people who were talking nervously in low voices.

Both Hong and 800 million are students recommended by the school for admission without examination. Compared with others, Hong and 800 million are more familiar, and she has a good relationship with 800 million.

As expected, 800 million came over and agreed. She didn't care about forming a team with No.1 and No.2. Rather, she was very optimistic about such a combination, and she was not shy of other people's hostility and challenges to them. .

"Do you need to find any other classmates?" 800 million sat down, "Boom and Fujiwara, how do you plan to arrange it? I see that everyone seems to be forming teams one after another. If it's later..."

Fujiwara Yuri didn't hold back anymore, and put down the small fork for pudding.

"Let's first identify a concept. The purpose of this level 'horse riding battle' itself is to reflect the working environment and working conditions of professional heroes."

Seeing her talking about something serious, both of them became serious when they heard the words.

"This is a project that requires cooperation, which is different from the previous qualifiers. As a competitive competition, the nature of the Heroes Sports Festival is doomed. In this competition, whether it is friends or classmates, they have to face each other, even with swords. Opposite. This shows the competitive relationship between different professional firms under normal circumstances. Of course, there will also be competition between heroes."

"But at the same time, in many cases, professional heroes do not fight alone. They need to cooperate with professional heroes in their own firm and different firms to complete tasks and work. This is what our level reflects, and it is also What the horse riding battle tests is the cooperation and cooperation among the team members. The victory of the team is the victory of the individual.”

"Because the test is more about the cooperation and utilization of personalities, although the rule says that there are 2-3 teammates, it does not mean that the team with stronger personalities and more people will be able to win. Most importantly, we The goal is to get the tape with the score tied, not to beat the opponent."

Her fingers tapped three times on the table, forming a triangle shape.

"Regardless of who is the horse and who is the rider, let's look at the abilities and strengths of each member of our team. I agree with you, Mr. Hong, that you are looking for safety, judging from our situation. This is undoubtedly correct .”

"As the No.1 Hong Jiaodong, the score of 1000 million in your hand is too high, so that many teams will target you from the beginning. Then it is very likely that we will face a It’s a very unfavorable opening for being targeted, and considering that the total duration is one hour, we really need a teammate with relatively better stamina and defense, and stronger mobility.”

"To be honest, my first consideration is Iida Tenya, but..." Fujiwara Yuri spread his hands, and the two of them also saw Iida Tenya joining Midoriya Izuku's team.

Fujiwara Xueli glanced around, fixed his eyes on someone, then searched and looked at Hong Jiaodong, Hong Jiaodong nodded, although he didn't know who she liked, but she decided on the choice, and he believed her judgment .

When Fujiwara Yuri came back with Chang An Tayin, the expressions of both of them were not too surprised.

how to say?Chang An Ta Yin is an excellent student who is sometimes overlooked.

His score in the entrance examination was 9th, and his ranking in the first round of qualifiers just now was 7th.It can be seen that his strength is definitely passing the test, and he is a figure in the forefront of the class.However, his impression on everyone was not as deep as others.

Hong Jiaodong still has an impression of the classmate sitting in front of him, but he only vaguely remembers that he is a strange boy who can often use the second sentence to say some sharp things.

Chang An Ta Yin, whose personality is a black shadow, his own shadow is a bird-shaped creature that can be freely stretched and deformed. It has self-awareness, can communicate, and usually obeys the control of its master Chang An Ta Yin.

"I found Chang Yayin, the diversity of his personality can make up for our lack of space, as well as some problems that may exist in coordination. The most important thing is that the use of Sombra's personality seems to have no time limit .”

"Yes," Chang An Tayin nodded, "but the shadow's attack power will increase sharply in the dark, but it will also become difficult to control; while in the sun, the attack power will be weaker."

He spoke out his weaknesses very frankly, and several people explained their personality one after another. It was just that when Hong Jiaodong emphasized that he would never use the fire personality, everyone was a little surprised, but not very surprised.

He has always been very resistant to using fire. Since he has his own considerations, everyone is not reluctant.

"Then let's make a battle plan." Fujiwara Yuri handed him a cup of Coke, "Here, before the carnival, let's share the 'Power of Darkness' condensed product."

"So that's how it is." Chang An Ta Yin looked at the drink with a thoughtful expression, 800 million gave her a helpless look, and Fujiwara Yuri blinked mischievously.

These words really suit his appetite, I really don't know what to say.

Fujiwara Yuri didn't waste time and quickly analyzed it.

"Whether to take certain actions depends on the behavior expectations of the parties. Theoretically, the individual's expectation of a certain behavior in a certain situation is determined by both special expectations and generalized expectations. Special expectations Refers to the individual's expectation of the success rate of a certain behavior in a particular situation, based on the individual's individual experience in the special situation. Generalized expectations refer to the individual's expectations of the general, related or similar behavior of the individual The expectation of the success rate of performing a certain behavior in a certain situation, based on the accumulation of experience of the individual in the relevant situation.

As soon as he looked up, facing the blank faces of the last three people who seemed to understand but half understood, Fujiwara Yuri felt helpless like suffocation for a long time, and finally he could only sigh.

"Let's put it this way, when everyone doesn't know us very well, the students who ranked first or second in the first round form a team, giving everyone a very different feeling. This will reduce their special expectations to a certain extent , that is to say, they will be more cautious. Similar experiences in the past will make them make judgments about taking No.1 points, but whether to take such behaviors is related to the success rate of their past attempts, and the second is related to It’s about their judgment on the field.”

"We can't control their past experience and lessons. What we can do is to make them have a similar psychological feeling of 'I can't succeed' on the field, so that they dare not make shots, or hesitate to make shots."

The three of them understood the words and nodded in approval.

"In order to feel and control the rhythm of the game more intuitively, let us quantify and subdivide the one-hour game time."

"The time for horseback riding is one hour, let us make a simple judgment."

"Under the special conditions of the game, when you haven't scored for a long time, everyone will be more anxious and change their decisions faster. My estimation of everyone's psychological expectation time is about 10 minutes to 10 minutes. Let me explain the reason for my estimation. "

Hong Jiaodong nodded very seriously, and refilled the Sprite for her.

"I have seen the second round matches and data analysis of previous Heroes Sports Festivals before this. Generally speaking, after the initial trial that may last for three to five minutes, if they cannot win immediately, about 5% of the teams will lose Already starting to look for some other ways - such as snatching other groups, the remaining 30.00% may have found a way to win - they already have a way to get the highest score and will continue to try, among the rest , except for those who give up directly or are eliminated, most of them will choose to continue to wait and see and test."

"But this kind of wait-and-see will not exceed 10 minutes. If there is still no action after 10 minutes and about 15 minutes of the game has passed, this is a very bad omen. Even if you bite the bullet and have no plan Randomly find enemies to try, and in this case, you will basically start to fall into the stage of a big melee. Excluding some firm beliefs—the special situation of always focusing on the highest score, in our project, it looks like this.”

"There are about ten groups of 42 people, with 10 as the base, and everyone's ranking as the strength index for the time being... When the game is about to start, we will be able to know who and who form a team, so how their team's coefficient should be. Of course It’s not enough to just consider their individual strength, I will then judge their ability to cooperate based on the first 2 minutes or so of testing each other, and make a rough estimate.”

"Next, I will ask everyone to carry out a defense according to the simulated situation I estimated."

"What does this mean?" Chang Antayin still had doubts about her so-called "defense", "If they make a move, of course we have to defend."

"But this kind of defense is not endless, neither overreaction nor underreaction." 800 million understood, and then explained, "That is to say, we have to show our strength just right, so that everyone thinks we are not good enough." It's so annoying, don't stare at us. Is that what you mean?"

"But this 'not easy to mess with' performance..." Hong Jiaodong frowned, "Are you telling me not to use all my strength?"

"If their combined data is within some of the intervals I inferred, then we only need to make a response that this interval believes in a higher level of strength. In other words, in the opening 15 minutes or so, we What we have to do is to intimidate the other groups with the least amount of effort, and let the rhythm of the game further enter the stage of chaos, instead of letting them all stare at us."

"I understand." Hong Jiaodong nodded obediently.

"How to distinguish the degree of deterrence?" Chang An asked again.

"What should I do?" 800 million asked more simply.

The author has something to say: Psychophysical method, using physical methods to carry out psychological quantity statistics.

My background is in the future, assuming that psychophysical calculations of such behavioral expectations already exist and are validated.

Concepts such as behavioral expectations in this article come from Rohner, a psychologist.

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