015

"The wine is in that cabinet." Du Shen pointed in the direction with his chin.

Chen Yan went over and opened the metal cabinet on the far side. There were not many wines in it, only three bottles, but they were all Lafite, and they were all Grand Lafite in different years.Du Shen obviously didn't care much about them. Three boxes were placed randomly, and one was even placed vertically.

Chen Yan couldn't help feeling that this kind of behavior was as violent as Gu Xiaoyang's Wanglaoji against Lafite.

Du Shen didn't bother to explain the origin of the wine. This kind of luxury that represented status seemed to flood the whole of China overnight.It's as absurd as squeezing the subway with LV on your back.

Chen Yan picked out a bottle of 1985, cleaned the decanter glasses and wine glasses that had been placed in the cabinet, put the things on Du Shen's table, and poured the wine as soon as it was opened.

Du Shen stopped him: "Change the paper cup for Gu Xiaoyang." Then he dug out a can of Wanglaoji from the drawer, "Exchange it."

"..." Chen Yan really didn't want to take action, doing this kind of thing would just lower his taste.

I don't want Gu Xiaoyang to be happy, and took Wanglaoji like a baby, Xingxing looked at Du Shen: "It's Manager Du, you know me too!"

"Come on, I'm afraid you will be choked by Lafite's frown later, hindering my mood to speak." Du Shen despised.

Gu Xiaoyang didn't care about it: "You can't blame me for this, if you want to blame it, you can blame the taste of this wine, I am not satisfied with it."

"..." Chen Yan endured his full stomach, changed the paper cup for Gu Xiaoyang, and exchanged it for Wanglaoji.

"We've had a meeting for a few days, do you know what's offered?" Du Shen took a sip of the wine and gave the same look of disgust as Gu Xiaoyang, "They want to buy land and invest in it."

Gu Xiaoyang tapped his thumb: "A strong man, knowing that there are tigers on the mountain, he prefers to walk on the mountain."

"Look." Du Shen deliberately glanced at Chen Yan, "Even a small agency can see that something is wrong, and the decision-makers just don't take it seriously."

Chen Yan recalled that Gu Xiaoyang once expressed his opinion that he was not optimistic about the real estate market, but many good things came one after another, and the sales department was very lively, so he did not believe Gu Xiaoyang.Now not only Gu Xiaoyang, but even Du Shen, an experienced sales manager, also put forward unfavorable views, which made him very puzzled, so he humbly asked for advice.

Du Shen has given reasons for this matter many times in the past few days, he didn't want to say any more, so he glanced at Gu Xiaoyang: "You tell him."

Gu Xiaoyang poured out Wanglaoji's Lafite, and started the lecture: "We are all college students who study economics. We know what the troika drives economic growth: investment, consumption, and export. After more than 20 years of reform and opening up, we have The demographic dividend has gradually disappeared, international capital has gradually shifted to other countries with cheaper labor, and exports, due to the impact of the subprime debt crisis, the global economic downturn, and foreign trade orders have plummeted. What is left? Consumption, domestic demand, today What industry drives consumption and domestic demand the most? Real estate. Chinese people have pursued houses that are unmatched by other people in other countries in the world since ancient times. Houses are what people want most, and houses affect people's lifetime wealth. Once the industry is overheated and too much hot money pours in, it will cause fatal damage to the economy.”

"I understand what you are saying. Anyone who has studied economics understands it. But why do you think this industry is overheated?"

"It's very simple, judge based on the combination of the internal and external environment." Gu Xiaoyang took another sip of concoction, "First of all, internally, too many companies in the non-real estate industry have established real estate companies and started to participate in real estate development. There are too many people who didn't know how to speculate in real estate before. The common people are starting to participate in real estate speculation. Look at the piece of land opposite the lakeside famous garden, which is the piece of land next to a wetland park. The 15-2 lot was auctioned a few days ago. , This kind of price is not very profitable to directly call [-] at the opening. Looking at the outside world, the price of international bulk commodities has skyrocketed, especially iron ore, one of the most important parts of materials needed for building houses, and steel will follow suit Price, once it rises, other materials such as cement will also do so, which will raise the cost, and then raise the housing price. If this continues, the high housing price will scare away rigid demand, leaving only speculators in the entire market. Think about it like this What potential is there in the property market?"

"According to your analysis, there is indeed a possibility of overheating." Chen Yan nodded.

"Is there a possibility of overheating?" Du Shen snorted coldly, "Do you know why my meeting is so difficult this time? It's because there are too many people with your views. You only admit the possibility, not the absolute. It’s never possible to overheat, it’s sure to overheat.”

Baoding Real Estate’s meeting this time convened the managers of hot-selling real estate and sales department managers from all over the country, and sat together to discuss the expansion plan. The specific cities to choose for the real estate will be discussed by the participants.

Du Shen could see the risks of the expansion plan at a glance, and after several days of discussion, he tried his best to avoid the board of directors from choosing H city.However, City H is located in a developed area with a large concentration of capital, and the board of directors is not prepared to give up. Du Shen explained many reasons: Although the capital of City H is concentrated, a lot of capital has been integrated, and he is ready to engage in real estate development by himself; the housing price of City H is close to its peak; The continuous auction of land prices has squeezed the profit margin.

However, the board of directors did not adopt Duchene's suggestion, and some people who have been jealous of Duchenne for many years also took the opportunity to add insult to injury and refute Duchenne's point of view on the grounds that the possibility is greater than the absolute.These people clearly saw the situation, but they insisted on dragging him into the water, putting their personal grievances above the interests of the company, and Du Shen was so angry that he returned to City H.

Chen Yan didn't know the specifics of the meeting, and his understanding of Du Shen's reaction was limited to the literal meaning, so he said: "The participants are all elites of real estate in various places. Since they think that the possibility is greater than the absolute, then there must be something you said. Neglected elements exist."

"I'd rather ignore this element!" Du Shen snorted coldly, raised his glass to clink with Gu Xiaoyang, "You should be able to guess what element it is, how about it? I'm still a Chinese with a conscience, right?"

Gu Xiaoyang held the cup in both hands, and said with great admiration: "I have always believed in you in this regard."

Chen Yan was confused by the slapstick between the two, and knew that the two would not answer him easily, so he had to think about it carefully.The result of pondering made him very depressed. He found that unless he found the element that Du Shen didn't want to talk about, Du Shen's point of view on this matter would be correct.

Chen Yan had no choice but to call his father.

Chen Ming was very surprised by Chen Yan's call. His son is smart, assertive, neither arrogant nor impetuous, and down-to-earth. He asked Du Shen to go to H City to understand the sales process of the property. Not only did he not complain, but he also learned humbly. Ask for advice patiently.Compared with the children of his partners, his son is really hard to find even with a lantern.

"Xiao Yan? Is there something wrong?"

"Dad, there is something I can't figure out, and I want to ask you for advice?"

"What's the matter? Tell me." Chen Ming said with a smile.

Chen Yan organized the views expressed by Du Shen and Gu Xiaoyang on China's property market in his own words, explained them to Chen Ming, and then asked: "Under such circumstances and pressure, why did Dad choose to continue invest?"

"Okay, you have studied very well over the past year. I would like to thank Du Shen if I have the opportunity." Chen Ming said gratifiedly, and then changed his tone, "Du Shen's vision is indeed good, but he made a mistake. This Mistakes can be made in terms of your knowledge. Dad will remind you today. To invest and start a business in China, you must not only master all kinds of knowledge in economics, but also keep abreast of and follow up on various policies and policies. The element that Du Shen refused to say is actually very simple, as long as the political examination index is still GDP, there will be no accidents in China's property market."

"..." Chen Yanmo, he seemed to understand the meaning of the conversation between Gu Xiaoyang and Du Shen.

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